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  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Edited Oct 18, 2012 12:17pm Jun 20, 2012 10:51pm | Edited Oct 18, 2012 12:17pm
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
Hi Everybody,

1. This thread is for people that use or want to use Elliott Wave (EW) as a tool to improve his/her trading.

2. This thread is for people that want to work as a team to make money.

The idea is to share different points of view and technics, not only EW, to reach a consensus.

3. This thread is for people that think to know about EW and dont know that it is a psyco tool.

A lot of "master of trading" or "people that never lose a call" like to talk about EW as a trash. That is because dont know anything about it.

4. This thread is not for MORONS, people that think "they are the last glass of water in the desert"

5. Here we going to talk about key fundamentals, no everyday noise fundamentals


Good Luck!


Elliott Wave Theory

Ralph Nelson Elliott developed the Elliott Wave Theory in the late 1920s by discovering that stock markets, thought to behave in a somewhat chaotic manner, in fact traded in repetitive cycles.

Elliott discovered that these market cycles resulted from investors' reactions to outside influences, or predominant psychology of the masses at the time. He found that the upward and downward swings of the mass psychology always showed up in the same repetitive patterns, which were then divided further into patterns he termed "waves".

Elliott's theory is somewhat based on the Dow theory in that stock prices move in waves. Because of the "fractal" nature of markets, however, Elliott was able to break down and analyze them in much greater detail. Fractals are mathematical structures, which on an ever-smaller scale infinitely repeat themselves. Elliott discovered stock-trading patterns were structured in the same way.

Market Predictions Based on Wave Patterns
Elliott made detailed stock market predictions based on unique characteristics he discovered in the wave patterns. An impulsive wave, which goes with the main trend, always shows five waves in its pattern. On a smaller scale, within each of the impulsive waves, five waves can again be found. In this smaller pattern, the same pattern repeats itself ad infinitum. These ever-smaller patterns are labeled as different wave degrees in the Elliott Wave Principle. Only much later were fractals recognized by scientists.


In the financial markets we know that "every action creates an equal and opposite reaction" as a price movement up or down must be followed by a contrary movement. Price action is divided into trends and corrections or sideways movements. Trends show the main direction of prices while corrections move against the trend. Elliott labeled these "impulsive" and "corrective" waves.


Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/articles...#ixzz1yOSMdHBB


BOOKS OF INTEREST

THE ELLIOTT WAVE PRINCIPLE by Frost

'Technical Analysis of The Financial Market " By John J Murphy
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • Post #2
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  • Jun 20, 2012 11:00pm Jun 20, 2012 11:00pm
  •  RMiranda
  • | Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Trading from Costa Rica | 42 Posts
Hello Carlos, congrats for your own thread! I just started reading Neo EW so im looking forward to see real time examples (not the ones in the book). I am subscribing to this thread. Exitos!!
 
 
  • Post #3
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  • Jun 20, 2012 11:46pm Jun 20, 2012 11:46pm
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
Quoting RMiranda
Disliked
Hello Carlos, congrats for your own thread! I just started reading Neo EW so im looking forward to see real time examples (not the ones in the book). I am subscribing to this thread. Exitos!!
Ignored
Por favor Roberto borra el comentario que me faltaron poner mas fotos. Gracias
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #4
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  • Jun 20, 2012 11:48pm Jun 20, 2012 11:48pm
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
Theory Interpretation
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #5
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  • Jun 20, 2012 11:50pm Jun 20, 2012 11:50pm
  •  BFSGcapital
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Apr 2012 | 1,121 Posts
It's about time you made this thread!

Thanks and will be a regular reader for sure

Let me know if you need me to delete this post..
An opportunity lost is not a capital cost.
 
 
  • Post #6
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  • Jun 21, 2012 12:02am Jun 21, 2012 12:02am
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
Quoting BFSGcapital
Disliked
It's about time you made this thread!

Thanks and will be a regular reader for sure

Let me know if you need me to delete this post..
Ignored
Thank you man! Dont worry I need just the two above.
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #7
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  • Jun 21, 2012 12:03am Jun 21, 2012 12:03am
  •  balanced2012
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2012 | 415 Posts
Quoting Luis Carlos
Disliked
Theory Interpretation
Ignored

Congratulations Carlos

Please keep the good posts which been educating many of new traders and me one of them .... good luck and all the best !!
“Don't cry because it's over, smile because it happened.”
 
 
  • Post #8
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  • Jun 21, 2012 12:10am Jun 21, 2012 12:10am
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
Quoting balanced2012
Disliked
Congratulations Carlos

Please keep the good posts which been educating many of new traders and me one of them .... good luck and all the best !!
Ignored
Thank very much. I will try to the best.
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #9
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  • Jun 21, 2012 12:20am Jun 21, 2012 12:20am
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
This is my weekly timeframe count. I try to do the best using the rules.

You must find out thousands of different counts of this pair and that is because the count depends of the view or interpretation that who is doing it.

You can see some targets for EUR/USD low, which ones could be differents in lowers timeframes.
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Edited 1:03am Jun 21, 2012 12:47am | Edited 1:03am
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
Here is another example.

Looking for a ABC correction uses a fib expantion and we can find some targets for the next years. That is good to know because if you are a buyer and you are in those levels next years, the risk is too high to buy because we expect a swing down.

Also look at that could have FLAT correction. Using fib expantion we try to look at the equal wave as a target, that is 70.68 as a correction ending, but could be other targets like 1.272 or 1.618 fib levels or a good support. So you cant buy there before look a confirmation that the cycle is over.
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #11
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  • Jun 21, 2012 1:01am Jun 21, 2012 1:01am
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
I posted this early when I saw the possibility of a new high, but when the market overlap the wave 1 I confirmed no more highs before get more lower.

The line in the chart has no measure.

To confirm the resume of bears, with this count we need to break 1.2555

Good Nite!!!
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #12
  • Quote
  • Jun 21, 2012 3:21am Jun 21, 2012 3:21am
  •  polatok
  • | Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Trend is Friend | 669 Posts
Congratulations luis for this thread. this will be a great place for the ew traders.

Good luck.
 
 
  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Jun 21, 2012 8:42am Jun 21, 2012 8:42am
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
This is a near term outlook. Everybody knows that is it hard to count corrections, but this could be happening right now.

1. Yellow: we finish 2 and then go higher
2. White: break 1.2657 and finish the correction @(1.26-1.2630)
3. Break 1.2555 confirm bears.

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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #14
  • Quote
  • Jun 21, 2012 12:07pm Jun 21, 2012 12:07pm
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
The white count doesnt gonna make it. So we need to be prepare with the yellow one.
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #15
  • Quote
  • Jun 21, 2012 12:18pm Jun 21, 2012 12:18pm
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
I will tell you how I use paths in EW. For example: Yesterday I had to path remaining and both should go down, but could return. So If both should go down then I shorted at 1.2703 a nice lot after US market. Then when the market was 1.2670 I put a stop at 1.2700 to protect me of the possible come back. What happened? I stopped out at 1.27003 and I missed all the profits.

What was my mistake, my mistake was put the stop thinking in 1.27 because is a round number, and not good technical price. At least I have a small short in aussie.

We still have good opportunities un EU to get short in the wave 2
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #16
  • Quote
  • Edited 1:42pm Jun 21, 2012 12:46pm | Edited 1:42pm
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
Until now I dont anything more. Wave 3 is near to finish or is done (if there is not more extensions).

The 1h chart is done. Now we need to watch this down trend to determinate if this is definitive or is just a ABC correction of big yellow (A)
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #17
  • Quote
  • Jun 21, 2012 12:50pm Jun 21, 2012 12:50pm
  •  polatok
  • | Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Trend is Friend | 669 Posts
Luis, form where is the Big a coming now ? i don't see any 12345 complete yet. we are at wave 4 right ?
 
 
  • Post #18
  • Quote
  • Jun 21, 2012 12:55pm Jun 21, 2012 12:55pm
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
Quoting polatok
Disliked
Luis, form where is the Big a coming now ? i don't see any 12345 complete yet. we are at wave 4 right ?
Ignored
Yes, could be if we reach @ 1.2585 if wave 4
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #19
  • Quote
  • Jun 21, 2012 1:03pm Jun 21, 2012 1:03pm
  •  Luis Carlos
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jun 2009 | 5,468 Posts
If somebody has another view should be good to know!
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
 
 
  • Post #20
  • Quote
  • Jun 21, 2012 1:05pm Jun 21, 2012 1:05pm
  •  polatok
  • | Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Trend is Friend | 669 Posts
I am counting abc only with channel and fib.
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