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EUR/CHF

  • #8,301
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:06pm Jun 28, 2012 11:06pm
It moves up 4 pips to 1,2014 with volume of 6000 lots, and moves it all the way down with only 400. That's crazy....
  • #8,302
  • Jun 29, 2012 12:31am Jun 29, 2012 12:31am
Quoting Napoleon180
It moves up 4 pips to 1,2014 with volume of 6000 lots, and moves it all the way down with only 400. That's crazy....
Yep this thing just can't go up the selling pressure on any little upmove is just to strong
  • #8,303
  • Jun 29, 2012 1:35am Jun 29, 2012 1:35am
tim10167

what are you thinking?

Start of a bigger move?

or is this just because of the euro buying in other pairs?
  • #8,304
  • Edited 2:06am Jun 29, 2012 1:52am | Edited 2:06am
The thing to focus in the very short term is to watch how strong the real money outflow away from CHF into EUR will be. This big can created by EU summit will only last for a short while unless they agreeed to inject enough funding into ESM. (which will not happen beacuse of Germany)
  • #8,305
  • Jun 29, 2012 2:04am Jun 29, 2012 2:04am
A better than expected KOF wont help
  • #8,306
  • Jun 29, 2012 2:05am Jun 29, 2012 2:05am
Quoting brinks
tim10167

what are you thinking?

Start of a bigger move?

or is this just because of the euro buying in other pairs?

with the EU summit statement we saw today, I think its an important change that Germany and the northern countries are accepting "joint liability", but the funding in ESM/EFSF is currently not enough to convince the market. But I think it will have a certain degree of effect to push the Italian and Spanish yield down in the short term, which is positive for EUR/CHF.

With Greek election out of the way, and if they successfully push those yields down, there is a good possibility for the real money in CHF to return back to EUR. (only in the short term if EU dont do more)
  • #8,307
  • Jun 29, 2012 2:12am Jun 29, 2012 2:12am
Quoting brinks
tim10167

what are you thinking?

Start of a bigger move?

or is this just because of the euro buying in other pairs?

And I think if the real money outflow really begins, it will attract more longs to join in the party and short stopped out. The EU summit result and the market reaction these few days are very crucial.
  • #8,308
  • Jun 29, 2012 2:14am Jun 29, 2012 2:14am
Quoting tim10167
And I think if the real money outflow really begins, it will attract more longs to join in the party and short stopped out. The EU summit result and the market reaction these few days are very crucial.
I'm going to have to stick with my longs wont get much chance to check them over the next couple of weeks.

And dont really want to set a TP .
  • #8,309
  • Jun 29, 2012 2:20am Jun 29, 2012 2:20am
Having said all these, Iam still very curious about the detail of the EU summit statement. It didnt show a lot of detail, and has some unfriendly words like "conditional".
  • #8,310
  • Jun 29, 2012 2:35am Jun 29, 2012 2:35am
If the Euro summit doesn't come up well the Swiss might just be forced into action. Could be an interesting ride.
  • #8,311
  • Jun 29, 2012 4:51am Jun 29, 2012 4:51am
Its coming up...
  • #8,312
  • Jun 29, 2012 4:52am Jun 29, 2012 4:52am
Quoting multi888
Its coming up...

Lets see this time....
  • #8,313
  • Jun 29, 2012 4:55am Jun 29, 2012 4:55am
Quoting lonis7
Lets see this time....
Its down again...
  • #8,314
  • Jun 29, 2012 5:14am Jun 29, 2012 5:14am
WOw..... 12 pip jump.... what happened??? No news.... no nothing....
  • #8,315
  • Jun 29, 2012 5:18am Jun 29, 2012 5:18am
Quoting max888
WOw..... 12 pip jump.... what happened??? No news.... no nothing....

SNB raised the peg from 1.2000 to 1.2010........
  • #8,316
  • Jun 29, 2012 5:46am Jun 29, 2012 5:46am
It's too strange, this pair never move such a huge! pips without any rumor, statement etc. maybe SNB wants to clear all longs, and after that...
I've closed almost all my longs, I hope it comes back below 1.2010 to reload.
  • #8,317
  • Jun 29, 2012 5:48am Jun 29, 2012 5:48am
Hehe it is going up. Get ready for launch!
  • #8,318
  • Jun 29, 2012 5:58am Jun 29, 2012 5:58am
Must come down again.

In fact, I've put 10% of my margin into SHORT now @ 1.2017.
  • #8,319
  • Jun 29, 2012 6:07am Jun 29, 2012 6:07am
Quoting alaneth
Must come down again.

In fact, I've put 10% of my margin into SHORT now @ 1.2017.

Be carefull playing with fire.... your stops are ??
  • #8,320
  • Jun 29, 2012 6:17am Jun 29, 2012 6:17am
Intervention later this afternoon?
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