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Circular Trend-Waves 414 replies

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Circular Trendlines

  • #2,041
  • Jun 28, 2012 9:21am Jun 28, 2012 9:21am
http://wahai.com/rocket...png
Patience Pays
  • #2,042
  • Jun 28, 2012 5:53pm Jun 28, 2012 5:53pm
target in the crosshairs (price and time):
http://s015.radikal.ru/i330/1206/d2/2008ae613151.png
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: sshot-1.PNG Size: 44 KB
  • #2,043
  • Jun 28, 2012 6:47pm Jun 28, 2012 6:47pm
The pair has established its downtrend...so it will be nice to refresh the circles and the trendlines ...this is my screenshot and my next target is 1,2240-1,2210s..

Regards...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_downtrend.gif Size: 34 KB
Imagination rules the world ...
Selym Hyll Return This Year: na
  • #2,044
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:38pm Jun 28, 2012 11:38pm
http://wahai.com/coulditbe.png
Patience Pays
  • #2,045
  • Edited 9:42am Jun 29, 2012 9:12am | Edited 9:42am
wow
I almost lost my patience for up move and my PC stopped so i wasn't care to open it
but i open now and my half long position from 25 now PA 2680 LOL
LIFE....
Locked my ++

AUD Your Blood is mine
Gold Your blood is mine
Euro ....
Inserted Video
  • #2,046
  • Jun 29, 2012 9:15am Jun 29, 2012 9:15am
I usually dont forecast on days where price action does opposite to what I thought it would.

My estimate of a action/reaction zone happening around June 28 was right:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...98#post5791898

but my levels were 100 pip off. I try to improve and make it more accurate.

The upward movement will continue beyond the 2743 high and will contour itself around the dotted blue line at around 2850-2900 level, before deciding on another wave of downard action.

For now its best to keep a long position
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_H4.jpg Size: 150 KB
  • #2,047
  • Jun 29, 2012 9:21am Jun 29, 2012 9:21am
In regard to fdjauzak comment on going to 3800:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...43#post5800243


I dont think it would go that high, just because we are in the summer months, and during these times it basically becomes very rangebound within a range of 400-600 pips,

One month it will go up, next month it will come down, until end of august.

Major moves start around Labour day long weekend, probably last week of august till first week of september is the time to decide where its gonna move.

Right now add 400-600 pip to 2413, and that is where we will be ending before coming back.

Also a feature of summer months is false breaks of levels, and expanding regions and formatinos, so expect that at some point in time.

High probability of triangulation is another word for the above sentence

Quoting fdjauzak

http://wahai.com/coulditbe.png
  • #2,048
  • Jun 29, 2012 9:40am Jun 29, 2012 9:40am
In continuation of the question of a strong bounce to 3800, here are some more details on the weekly chart:


Quoting Kambooj
In regard to fdjauzak comment on going to 3800:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...43#post5800243


I dont think it would go that high, just because we are in the summer months, and during these times it basically becomes very rangebound within a range of 400-600 pips,

One month it will go up, next month it will come down, until end of august.

Major moves start around Labour day long weekend, probably last week of august till first week of september is the time to decide where its gonna move.

Right now add...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_Weekly.jpg Size: 192 KB
  • #2,049
  • Jun 29, 2012 9:44am Jun 29, 2012 9:44am
Most tricky market i ever seen
PA goes as it should goes but Delay in time my Pain
  • #2,050
  • Jun 29, 2012 9:45am Jun 29, 2012 9:45am
I concentrate too much on technicals, and not a person who can combine fundamentals with technicals very good, but that is a area that I am trying to explore, but I had someone tell me a very interesting thing and that is the fact that its much more cheaper to pay your debt with a depreciating currency than with a currency that is strong and increasing in strength, which makes total sense.

EUR is in debt crisis and I wouldnt be surprised from a fundamental point of view that they are trying to push this pair to the 1=1 level.

That means 1 EUR = 1 USD

But that would take time and wouldnt be instantaneous.

Wherever it will make a high at the end of august, subtract a 1000 pip from it and that is where we will be heading.

Quoting Kambooj
In continuation of the question of a strong bounce to 3800, here are some more details on the weekly chart:
  • #2,051
  • Jun 29, 2012 9:54am Jun 29, 2012 9:54am
Here is additional comments from daily chart in regards to motion going to 3800:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_Daily.jpg Size: 205 KB
  • #2,052
  • Jun 30, 2012 4:51am Jun 30, 2012 4:51am
Hi ;

I want to share my weekly perspective with you.I also sometimes use circles , but the difference between you and I is :

- You adjust the circles in accordance to the support and resistence
- I locate the circles centered at the point where the trend started

(I am not offensice...do not misunderstand me.I am just trying to explain my perspective)

When we locate the center of the circles at the point where the downtrend started , then we can get more meaningful circles (I think)...Now the pair is in correction , and this correction will encounter strong sellers at the junction of fan resistences at 15-20th July (1,2850-1,2900) , then the price might retest the bottom of the circle again , and might even break it...

In case the circle is broken , then a stronger downtrend will be established...but for now the EURUSD weekly is not completed yet...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur_weekly.gif Size: 35 KB
Imagination rules the world ...
Selym Hyll Return This Year: na
  • #2,053
  • Jun 30, 2012 5:19pm Jun 30, 2012 5:19pm
Quoting selym_co
- I locate the circles centered at the point where the trend started
How is the distance between each circle determined?
"GIVE ME 3 POINTS IN SPACE IN TIME AND WATCH ME CREATE MAGIC."
  • #2,054
  • Jun 30, 2012 7:09pm Jun 30, 2012 7:09pm
Quoting kapital
How is the distance between each circle determined?
Well , the distance between each circle ....

The center of each circle must be at the point where the trend and the manual drawn fan starts , and ı just enlarge the circle keeping the center at the same point.And I stop enlarging each circle where it matches a significant support or resistence level.

In fact i am worried that kambooj will misunderstand me that I am offending his thoughts , I have been one of his followers for a long time , but I spend too much time by watching the charts and developing a bunch of tools in order to make sniper targets After watching the price I noticed that the trend starter points (where the fan starts and where the circles are centered) are great energy points , and they send out the price as in forms of rays , like the sun ! And the price travels between these rays , and each explosive shock makes the price skip to another circular level.Now EURUSD (weekly chart) has not completed its final explosion , and i think it will be completed after a retracement towards 1,2850-1,2900s (as shown in the picture). If you look at the left side of the picture you can see the circle set on a significant low , that is how i adjusted the distance between the final (biggest) circle and the previous (smaller) circle .

In short...the price moves in circular shocks like the picture below (the circular waves on the surface of the water).The price obeys some rays starting from the center of those circles until it reaches the target.
Attached Image
Imagination rules the world ...
Selym Hyll Return This Year: na
  • #2,055
  • Edited 5:49am Jul 1, 2012 1:20am | Edited 5:49am
can we say, it's monhtly bullish , not just weekly..
http://wahai.com/try-monthly.png

and euro-index on D1

http://wahai.com/euro-index-D1.png
Patience Pays
  • #2,056
  • Edited 8:40am Jul 3, 2012 8:25am | Edited 8:40am
Sorry for the late reply, but it was a holiday yesterday in Canada, and I was off the thread.

I dont get offended by any posts that are contradicting the methods of the circles that I have laid out on this thread, because every other technical method that might involve circles as well, is a learning experience that everyone can benefit and it comes out of the creativity of the author and the results that they have been getting off their methods.

I hope the circles can ignite creativity in other people and more sharing can take place.

Anyways here is the forecast for today as I see it...

Quoting selym_co
Well , the distance between each circle ....

The center of each circle must be at the point where the trend and the manual drawn fan starts , and ı just enlarge the circle keeping the center at the same point.And I stop enlarging each circle where it matches a significant support or resistence level.

In fact i am worried that kambooj will misunderstand me that I am offending his thoughts , I have been one of his followers for a long time , but I spend too much time by watching the charts and developing a bunch of tools in order to make...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_H2.jpg Size: 135 KB
  • #2,057
  • Jul 3, 2012 2:36pm Jul 3, 2012 2:36pm
Hi, Kambooj!
I have long searched for people who use ellipses in the trade. Like me. Hooray!
My posts on the Russian forum:
http://smart-lab.ru/blog/57916.php
http://smart-lab.ru/blog/33865.php
Use the Google translation.
I use only MT4.
Have a nice day!
  • #2,058
  • Jul 3, 2012 11:19pm Jul 3, 2012 11:19pm
Looking forward to your posts

Quoting oossaa
Hi, Kambooj!
I have long searched for people who use ellipses in the trade. Like me. Hooray!
My posts on the Russian forum:
http://smart-lab.ru/blog/57916.php
http://smart-lab.ru/blog/33865.php
Use the Google translation.
I use only MT4.
Have a nice day!
  • #2,059
  • Jul 4, 2012 8:38am Jul 4, 2012 8:38am
Today I would not be posting anything, unless market does a huge unexpected move.

The US markets are closed due to the 4th of July, Independence day, and wouldnt expect much movement till next week either, since a lot of traders take either the 2 days before (Monday, Tuesday) or 2 days after (Thursday, Friday) as vacation days from their work to enjoy a extended vacation too.

The stance of keeping short till the lows of 2500 still remains in place until close to the end of today, where the timeline would be reanalyzed again to see whether a expected turn around will occur or not.
  • #2,060
  • Jul 5, 2012 9:24am Jul 5, 2012 9:24am
Here is the view...

Upward reaction expected some time soon
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_H2.jpg Size: 109 KB
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