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EUR/CHF

  • #8,061
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:10am Jun 19, 2012 8:10am
Quoting brinks
I thought the spike up on the 24th was because of the negative interest rates discussion
yes, negative interest rate and SNB's work
  • #8,062
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:18am Jun 19, 2012 8:18am
Quoting tim10167
If SNB hold at $1.20, the trade balance should still be positive longer term, but if below $1 = Partial deindustrialization, we colud see the trade balance turn negative.
I expect to turn negative even with 1,2 I live in the EU imagine +400m people thinking about selling goods services to the swiss. border are quite open, no distances..


  • #8,063
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:24am Jun 19, 2012 8:24am
Quoting pipxster
I expect to turn negative even with 1,2 I live in the EU imagine +400m people thinking about selling goods services to the swiss. border are quite open, no distances..


woher genau?
  • #8,064
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:34am Jun 19, 2012 8:34am
Quoting pipxster
I expect to turn negative even with 1,2 I live in the EU imagine +400m people thinking about selling goods services to the swiss. border are quite open, no distances..


I hope ur right too, as this will be the game changer for us too. But since last september (introduction of 1.20) till now, trade balance were in positive territory, looks like Swiss are copping ok. Therefor I see $1.20/positive trade balance if EU and world economy ok, but if EU and world economy is going to recession (highly likely), I then see $1.20/negative trade balance.
  • #8,065
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:42am Jun 19, 2012 8:42am
Something is brewing.

As you can see at 1.20: last week there was a order of 541,5 and today just 52,3.

Maybe they set the peg up to a higher level!
Attached Image
  • #8,066
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:53am Jun 19, 2012 8:53am
Quoting tomplank
Something is brewing.

As you can see at 1.20: last week there was a order of 541,5 and today just 52,3.

Maybe they set the peg up to a higher level!

Can you share with us, where you have this graphic from?
Thanks!
  • #8,067
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:58am Jun 19, 2012 8:58am
It's a software called OrderBookFX
  • #8,068
  • Jun 19, 2012 9:03am Jun 19, 2012 9:03am
Quoting tomplank
It's a software called OrderBookFX
and it shows what orders are at what levels?
  • #8,069
  • Jun 19, 2012 9:07am Jun 19, 2012 9:07am
Quoting brinks
and it shows what orders are at what levels?
Yes.

I have 1/2 point in my settings, but you also can show 1/10 points.
  • #8,070
  • Jun 19, 2012 9:11am Jun 19, 2012 9:11am
Quoting tomplank
Yes.

I have 1/2 point in my settings, but you also can show 1/10 points.

nice.. thank you!
can you also show a development of those orders through the past weeks?
specially the orders of the peg level at 1.20 would be for interest.
  • #8,071
  • Jun 19, 2012 9:25am Jun 19, 2012 9:25am
Quoting tomplank
Something is brewing.

As you can see at 1.20: last week there was a order of 541,5 and today just 52,3.

Maybe they set the peg up to a higher level!
why would you think that means they may set the peg up to a higher level?
  • #8,072
  • Jun 19, 2012 9:28am Jun 19, 2012 9:28am
Quoting brinks
why would you think that means they may set the peg up to a higher level?
Because they took out their BIG order which was at 1.20000.

They have to place a new order and I think the new order will be at a higher level. Why should they take out their order at 1.20000 when the price is at 1.20100?
  • #8,073
  • Jun 19, 2012 9:31am Jun 19, 2012 9:31am
Quoting tomplank
Because they took out their BIG order which was at 1.20000.

They have to place a new order and I think the new order will be at a higher level. Why should they take out their order at 1.20000 when the price is at 1.20100?

Didnt they just have a massive order in at that level because of the greece elections over the weekend.

Now the risk event is over they can reduce the size of the order
  • #8,074
  • Jun 19, 2012 9:32am Jun 19, 2012 9:32am
no, the order was in 3 weeks ago too.
  • #8,075
  • Edited 9:50am Jun 19, 2012 9:34am | Edited 9:50am
Quoting tomplank
no, the order was in 3 weeks ago too.
Ahhh ok thanks.

I'm still not sure it means they are gonna put the same order in at a higher level
  • #8,076
  • Jun 19, 2012 9:56am Jun 19, 2012 9:56am
EUR/CHF: Bids 1.2000/10(SNB), Offers 1.2025/35 buy stops through 1.2050

Quoting brinks
Ahhh ok thanks.

I'm still not sure it means they are gonna put the same order in at a higher level
  • #8,077
  • Jun 19, 2012 12:37pm Jun 19, 2012 12:37pm
eur/usd eur/jpy eur/gbp all up on the day

I have got these trades on as long term but i'am seriously thinking about cutting them.
  • #8,078
  • Jun 20, 2012 4:05am Jun 20, 2012 4:05am
ZEW -43.4 forecasted -15

eur/chf didnt budge
  • #8,079
  • Jun 20, 2012 4:08am Jun 20, 2012 4:08am
Quoting brinks
ZEW -43.4 forecasted -15

eur/chf didnt budge

this should be good for longs, right?
  • #8,080
  • Jun 20, 2012 4:08am Jun 20, 2012 4:08am
Quoting rcrist
this should be good for longs, right?
In any normal time yes it should be
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