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EUR/CHF

  • #7,761
  • Edited 9:31am Jun 13, 2012 9:18am | Edited 9:31am
My advise to Jordan: If you want to play peg, learn the Denmark way, bear a little lost to the speculators is actually less costly. Peg always costs money!Just spend it wisely, for the benefit of your country!Letting huge amount of longs and shorts piling around the floor is very stupid. Just paly in a range and get rid of the speculators and focus on tackling the real mony that flows into CHF.
  • #7,762
  • Jun 13, 2012 9:28am Jun 13, 2012 9:28am
Quoting Luigi111
Guys when u think the Spike in EUR CHF will start. ?

3 months ago it started 36 hour before the SNB Report. It was a 90 Pips Spike

Well right now it only left 18 hour until that Report and EUR CHF did not Spiked yet not even 5 pips.

3 Questions:

1- Do u think will have any spike ? If yes how much pips and when starts ?

2- Do u think in the report they will put the peg in 1.10 ?

3- Do u think they will introduce any new measure like capital controls in the report ?
In the best of my opinion,

1- yes, 30pips, when Asia wakes up & Europe is still asleep.
2- no, for sure not.
3- yes, at best they just mention that they will seriously consider capital controls, but won't impose tomorrow. No given timeframe, but likely after Greece results.

So you guys going to stay awake tonight?
  • #7,763
  • Jun 13, 2012 9:30am Jun 13, 2012 9:30am
Quoting alaneth
In the best of my opinion,

1- yes, 30pips, when Asia wakes up & Europe is still asleep.
2- no, for sure not.
3- yes, at best they just mention that they will seriously consider capital controls, but won't impose tomorrow. No given timeframe, but likely after Greece results.

So you guys going to stay awake tonight?
I'm lucky enough to pull the baby feeding nightshift so i always have a peek at whats going on during the asian session
  • #7,764
  • Jun 13, 2012 9:51am Jun 13, 2012 9:51am
I think You re more wisely and pro than Jordan, snb got wrong candidate.. Haha! Are you holding short?
  • #7,765
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:20am Jun 13, 2012 10:20am
8:30CHF
Libor Rate

<0.25%
<0.25%

8:30CHF
SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

8:30CHF
SNB Press Conference

9:00CHF
SNB Financial Stability Report

any expectation?
  • #7,766
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:25am Jun 13, 2012 10:25am
Quoting worsttrader
8:30CHF
Libor Rate

<0.25%
<0.25%

8:30CHF
SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

8:30CHF
SNB Press Conference

9:00CHF
SNB Financial Stability Report

any expectation?
In the last >50 posts
  • #7,767
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:30am Jun 13, 2012 10:30am
SNB are having there bluff called this time
  • #7,768
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:32am Jun 13, 2012 10:32am
Quoting pipxster
In the last >50 posts
sry, im running, had no time to read 'em.
  • #7,769
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:37am Jun 13, 2012 10:37am
Quoting worsttrader
8:30 CHF
Libor Rate

<0.25%
<0.25%

8:30 CHF
SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

8:30 CHF
SNB Press Conference

9:00 CHF
SNB Financial Stability Report

any expectation?
The market thinks that nothing will happen thats why price is where it is at the moment
  • #7,770
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:39am Jun 13, 2012 10:39am
Quoting Swisswarrior
I think You re more wisely and pro than Jordan, snb got wrong candidate.. Haha! Are you holding short?
Nope we hope he's smarter but he's hiding it very well so far...
  • #7,771
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:40am Jun 13, 2012 10:40am
on the forexlive the forecast rate 0.13%..
it would be good
  • #7,772
  • Edited 10:57am Jun 13, 2012 10:41am | Edited 10:57am
My broker just called me to say to me that they will increase the margin from 1% to 2.5% in weekend. It's funny cause I have an opened position at 1.20100 and by increasing the margin to 2.5%, I will be automatically in "margin call". I argue why not to give me my money back from this position and I will close it...they are saying it's too risky even if my SL will be near the peg, but I can afford even a loss till 1.19...So it's my risk not him...wtf..
What's your opinion?
Speculation converts one man's capital into another man's income
  • #7,773
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:43am Jun 13, 2012 10:43am
Hi guys:

Does anyone know if is really true that FXCM is paying 2.66$ per lot in EUR/CHF longs ?
  • #7,774
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:46am Jun 13, 2012 10:46am
Quoting daka
on the forexlive the forecast rate 0.13%..
it would be good
The rate is already 0 %

Maybe someone knows something we dont who would be selling into a interest rate decision when they could pull something out of the bag
  • #7,775
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:53am Jun 13, 2012 10:53am
previous 0.25%
forecast 0.13%
will see what will be
  • #7,776
  • Jun 13, 2012 10:59am Jun 13, 2012 10:59am
Quoting daka
previous 0.25%
forecast 0.13%
will see what will be

The rate is 0 % the SNB are worried about the housing market over heating because of it.
source: Goldman Sachs

"On the monetary policy front, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will meet on Thursday. We expect interest rates to remain on hold at 0%. At the end of May, we changed our call on Swiss monetary policy: we now no longer expect the SNB to weaken the CHF against the Euro. At the same time, given the SNB’s commitment to the current peg, we think a re-peg to a lower exchange rate is unlikely." Goldman Sachs Global Economics, Commodities and Strategy Research.
  • #7,777
  • Jun 13, 2012 11:09am Jun 13, 2012 11:09am
Quoting Luigi111
Hi guys:

Does anyone know if is really true that FXCM is paying 2.66$ per lot in EUR/CHF longs ?
No, its 0,03 per day (pips)
  • #7,778
  • Jun 13, 2012 11:29am Jun 13, 2012 11:29am
Quoting cipid2012
My broker just called me to say to me that they will increase the margin from 1% to 2.5% in weekend. It's funny cause I have an opened position at 1.20100 and by increasing the margin to 2.5%, I will be automatically in "margin call". I argue why not to give me my money back from this position and I will close it...they are saying it's too risky even if my SL will be near the peg, but I can afford even a loss till 1.19...So it's my risk not him...wtf..
What's your opinion?
my opinion is we really dont have to worry about a peg break at the moment, if something dramatic happens with Greek election, iam sure SNB will act by policy controls immediately. and iam sure all the implementation plans are ready, it is just a press of a button for SNB.

Mr. Jordan, please understand, there is no free lunch in this world, if you want to save your country, please press the button

so, if your broker is scared, change to another broker.

-just my humble opinion
  • #7,779
  • Jun 13, 2012 11:50am Jun 13, 2012 11:50am
Quoting brinks
The rate is 0 % the SNB are worried about the housing market over heating because of it.
source: Goldman Sachs

"On the monetary policy front, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will meet on Thursday. We expect interest rates to remain on hold at 0%. At the end of May, we changed our call on Swiss monetary policy: we now no longer expect the SNB to weaken the CHF against the Euro. At the same time, given the SNB’s commitment to the current peg, we think a re-peg to a lower exchange rate is unlikely." Goldman Sachs Global Economics, Commodities...
I think SNB still under internal pressure to weaken CHF against EUR, but they have to first tackle the hot cash inflows first. SNB's priority to weaken the CHF is still important.

Pity Jordan- he's under tremendous pressure.
Can he sleep well tonight?

But maybe he'll sleep better than us speculators, at least he knows what's in the bag tomorrow.
  • #7,780
  • Jun 13, 2012 11:54am Jun 13, 2012 11:54am
It's just 5%(by bloomberg) that SNB will introduce capital control. They will use that measure just in case that some countries of PIGS will exit from eurozone, in other case I think just verbal threat that everybody know "we will buy unlimited ...." Speculators will just have to break peg to provoke SNB
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