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EUR/CHF

  • #7,261
  • May 30, 2012 3:50am May 30, 2012 3:50am
Quoting pipxster
SWITZERLAND: In the wake of SNB Pres Jordan's weekend comments that the
SNB was considering controls on capital inflows, Credit Suisse
strategists maintain that "the most effective capital control measure
would be a very large tax on the total bank reserves held by Swiss
clearers on deposit at the SNB." The tax would have to be geared so that
the forward prices in EURCHF are below the 1.03 lows seen in August 1011
(the last freely traded pre-intervention price for the cross). "Swiss
clearing banks would then face severely negative interest margins...

The threat of capital controls hasnt done a lot so far
  • #7,262
  • May 30, 2012 5:19am May 30, 2012 5:19am
I would go LONG now!!
  • #7,263
  • May 30, 2012 5:23am May 30, 2012 5:23am
it's breakout-time!
  • #7,264
  • May 30, 2012 5:27am May 30, 2012 5:27am
Quoting tomplank
I would go LONG now!!
Why?
  • #7,265
  • May 30, 2012 6:02am May 30, 2012 6:02am
maybe you will see in 2 hours
  • #7,266
  • May 30, 2012 6:30am May 30, 2012 6:30am
the SNB will make a big intrusive before the news about greece!!
  • #7,267
  • May 30, 2012 6:37am May 30, 2012 6:37am
CHF looks good (in the eyes of SNB) vs any other pair but EUR. If they make any kind of intervantion, they would have to depreciate CHF against all currencies and I dont see that possibility at current levels CHF vs all others (except EUR).
  • #7,268
  • May 30, 2012 6:59am May 30, 2012 6:59am
Quoting Mishko212
CHF looks good (in the eyes of SNB) vs any other pair but EUR. If they make any kind of intervantion, they would have to depreciate CHF against all currencies and I dont see that possibility at current levels CHF vs all others (except EUR).

you work for SNB?
  • #7,269
  • May 30, 2012 7:04am May 30, 2012 7:04am
Quoting tomplank
maybe you will see in 2 hours
Anything important in 2 hours, well I guess a hour now?

Thanks
  • #7,270
  • May 30, 2012 7:06am May 30, 2012 7:06am
Quoting mjomha
Anything important in 2 hours, well I guess a hour now?

Thanks
He said the SNB would intervene big before the greece news

very cryptic

could be a she
  • #7,271
  • May 30, 2012 7:09am May 30, 2012 7:09am
any specific greece news today or this is a hint for some "suprise" greek news?
  • #7,272
  • May 30, 2012 7:13am May 30, 2012 7:13am
Quoting pipxster
any specific greece news today or this is a hint for some "suprise" greek news?
just a hint as far as i can see
  • #7,273
  • May 30, 2012 7:15am May 30, 2012 7:15am
Quoting brinks
just a hint as far as i can see
would be interesting if that "long" story ends up with a kind of hint like that
  • #7,274
  • May 30, 2012 7:24am May 30, 2012 7:24am
Quoting brinks
He said the SNB would intervene big before the greece news

very cryptic

could be a she
They're not gonna do a thing...IMO if EU crsis is solved than maybe but for now we'll probably see spikes nothing else.
  • #7,275
  • May 30, 2012 7:24am May 30, 2012 7:24am
Quoting tomplank
the SNB will make a big intrusive before the news about greece!!
what news are y waiting for ?

what will happen ?
  • #7,276
  • May 30, 2012 7:27am May 30, 2012 7:27am
they could depreciate the chf only against the euro and others will follow, just look at last years intervention...
Trade what you see not what you hope
  • #7,277
  • May 30, 2012 7:37am May 30, 2012 7:37am
KOF is too good today for CHF. Was hoping for a lower than expected KOF for a spike.

Another 2 shots to go....
Tmrw (Thu) we got GDP & Danthine speaks.
Friday we got Retail sales & SVME PMI.

Hoping for a spike these 2 days. Then sell all, let the pair drop to 1.2010, then buy like crazy & wait till pre-SNB monetary meeting spike on 14 June.
  • #7,278
  • May 30, 2012 7:49am May 30, 2012 7:49am
Quoting tomplank
maybe you will see in 2 hours


2 hours will be over soon
  • #7,279
  • May 30, 2012 8:00am May 30, 2012 8:00am
they could depreciate the chf only against the euro and others will follow, just look at last years intervention...
__________________

That is my point. They will not depreciate CHF (yet) because it has ok levels with other currencies. Only EUR is the problem but cant be done excluding the rest of the pairs
  • #7,280
  • May 30, 2012 9:16am May 30, 2012 9:16am
no spike today I guess...
that means I can enjoy 3xswaps tonight
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