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  • #648,001
  • May 26, 2012 1:13pm May 26, 2012 1:13pm
Just my point of view.
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Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd2.jpg Size: 103 KB
  • #648,002
  • May 26, 2012 1:17pm May 26, 2012 1:17pm
Quoting Napoleon180
I think euro will move up a little bit on monday without american down selling pressure.
Nothing will happen on Monday. Both Europeans and Americans will be laundring and ironing.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #648,003
  • May 26, 2012 1:20pm May 26, 2012 1:20pm
Quoting Fudomyo
The only people who care are those who want to make money

Weekend gaps are meaningless discrepancies when a broker is offline. Real gaps are a price barrier that has been compromised by a large sum of money to take out an order block. Once you understand the difference and the reaction of the market to it, you will understand 1% more about how to trade.
I will ignore the insulting nature of your reply and stick to the data.

Who cares why there is a gap?

I will give you the data if you want to justify the numbers to your own satisfaction. Weekend gaps are not meaningless because they are very predictive in the very near term.

I would rather trade a gap that is counter-trend.
  • #648,004
  • May 26, 2012 1:21pm May 26, 2012 1:21pm
Quoting Chicky
Nothing will happen on Monday. Both Europeans and Americans will be laundring and ironing.
And recovering.
  • #648,005
  • May 26, 2012 1:26pm May 26, 2012 1:26pm
Quoting Snarkalarker
I will ignore the insulting nature of your reply and stick to the data.

Who cares why there is a gap?

I will give you the data if you want to justify the numbers to your own satisfaction. Weekend gaps are not meaningless because they are very predictive in the very near term.

I would rather trade a gap that is counter-trend.
it's your trade. gl.
fyi. even if the price moves up, there's a blockage around 2700.
  • #648,006
  • May 26, 2012 1:27pm May 26, 2012 1:27pm
Quoting Fudomyo

Weekend gaps are meaningless discrepancies
Maybe but keep track of those gaps. When the tides turn, the gaps will be filled eventually. Even if it takes months. It will become a great target.

I've seen it time and time again.

Happy Holiday
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #648,007
  • May 26, 2012 1:29pm May 26, 2012 1:29pm
Quoting pkimnyc
it's your trade. gl.
Thanks. No hard feelings but I have yet to make the trade and might not ever will.
  • #648,008
  • Edited 9:01pm May 26, 2012 1:31pm | Edited 9:01pm
Quoting pkimnyc
lol. there's little more to that.
lol... yes.

btw sorry for being a hard ass.

I stopped trading. I closed out all my accounts except one for a bit of fun.

There are people here I care about and want to see make it.

When we saw Rob blow up big time, and a few other traders here we know, I doubled down to accomplish my goals so my tolerance for nonsense dropped quite a bit too.

This is community, but it's about our business first, so kindness sometimes is a deficit.

anyway, all the best.

  • #648,009
  • May 26, 2012 1:34pm May 26, 2012 1:34pm
Quoting Slim Buffett
Even if it takes months. It will become a great target.
Happy Holiday
If it does not get get close to filling within 8 hours....a decision has to be made. A Weekend gap should never be the basis of a long term trade. We want in and out and will settle for 1/2 the gap.


Cheers!
  • #648,010
  • May 26, 2012 1:34pm May 26, 2012 1:34pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd3.jpg Size: 125 KB
  • #648,011
  • May 26, 2012 1:36pm May 26, 2012 1:36pm
Quoting Snarkalarker
I will ignore the insulting nature of your reply and stick to the data.

Who cares why there is a gap?

I will give you the data if you want to justify the numbers to your own satisfaction. Weekend gaps are not meaningless because they are very predictive in the very near term.

I would rather trade a gap that is counter-trend.
I wasn't being insulting. 1% was generous.

you can draw an arbitrary line inside the weekly ATR and that's meaningful too. It's called perception based bias, but you see it as a tradable metric. Because you think it's valid you grow a bit of balls to take a trade and stick to it.

This works out part of the time too. No doubt.
  • #648,012
  • May 26, 2012 1:37pm May 26, 2012 1:37pm
Quoting Fudomyo
lol... yes.

btw sorry for being an ass.

I stopped trading. Towards the end it was very high pressure. My last position was 50 full lots on gold. I hit my target and closed out all my accounts except one for a bit of fun. But I'm out.

There are people here I care about and want to see make it.

When we saw Rob blow up big time, and a few other traders here we know, I doubled down and became a complete hard ass on FF.

This is community, but it's about our business first, so kindness sometimes is a deficit.

anyway, all the...
  • #648,013
  • May 26, 2012 1:37pm May 26, 2012 1:37pm
totally agree ,gap through support (1.3)


Quoting Fudomyo
The only people who care are those who want to make money.

Weekend gaps are meaningless discrepancies when a broker is offline. Real gaps are a price barrier that has been compromised by a large sum of money to take out an order block. Once you understand the difference and the reaction of the market to it, you will understand 1% more about how to trade.
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #648,014
  • May 26, 2012 1:46pm May 26, 2012 1:46pm
not my chart btw just I think good pic on the importance of that gap long term
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gap.gif Size: 13 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #648,015
  • May 26, 2012 1:51pm May 26, 2012 1:51pm
Quoting Fudomyo
I wasn't being insulting. 1% was generous.
That speaks for itself.



Quote
This works out part of the time too. No doubt.

The data does not lie.

To be certain it is important that we are talking about the same thing here. A weekend gap. It varies with the 7 different pairs that I follow but we are talking about a gap of 20--25 pips, anything less is ignored, between Fridays close and Sundays open.

Nevermind, I have the data.

Do you want the exact percentile rates?
  • #648,016
  • May 26, 2012 1:54pm May 26, 2012 1:54pm
Quoting Snarkalarker
If it does not get get close to filling within 8 hours....a decision has to be made. A Weekend gap should never be the basis of a long term trade. We want in and out and will settle for 1/2 the gap.
Cheers!
I don't care about 8 hours. What I was saying was that eventually the gap will be filled. Thus, when the tide has turned it can become the basis for a long term trade.
Just one case in point is AUD/USD in NOV '11, a gap up @ .9734 has now been filled. I've saw the ame thing in other currency pairs, oil, etc., etc.

So it eventually can become the basis for a long term trade.
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #648,017
  • May 26, 2012 2:00pm May 26, 2012 2:00pm
Quoting Slim Buffett
I don't care about 8 hours. What I was saying was that eventually the gap will be filled. Thus, when the tide has turned it can become the basis for a long term trade.
Just one case in point is AUD/USD in NOV '11, a gap up @ .9734 has now been filled. I've saw the ame thing in other currency pairs, oil, etc., etc.

So it eventually can become the basis for a long term trade.
the gap you are looking at in euro isn't probably going to be filled unless we get a good momentum shift at least on daily tf. as for now, we got none so far.
  • #648,018
  • May 26, 2012 2:02pm May 26, 2012 2:02pm
I appreciate your opinion SLIM but hat just is not the way I trade that gap.
  • #648,019
  • May 26, 2012 2:07pm May 26, 2012 2:07pm
Quoting Slim Buffett
Maybe but keep track of those gaps. When the tides turn, the gaps will be filled eventually. Even if it takes months. It will become a great target.

I've seen it time and time again.

Happy Holiday
Happy holidays to you too

gaps come back as a target eventually because they were hard to break in the first place.

I think there are two discussions going on here, so it can get confusing. If you have an interbank feed, there are typically no weekend gaps because the market doesn't close.

A market maker stops their price feed over the weekend, so if someone is arguing winning percentages of something that only exists on their market maker chart, and wants to say it's tradable, that's their choice.

some things make sense and others don't.
  • #648,020
  • May 26, 2012 2:09pm May 26, 2012 2:09pm
How or where I find the biggest daily move in the history of EUR / USD
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