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  • #221
  • May 11, 2012 7:09am May 11, 2012 7:09am
Quoting PeterE
I have been stopped -5%

But for the week +15%; with a tweak to SL, and just taking the first trade on Euro, each session.

……..+15% each week, that would be enough!
Flimsy logic, 25 days of data and you are trading this daily!

You really think 1 week of data means anything at all! This is just pure entertainment. You people need to wake-up and do the math.
  • #222
  • May 11, 2012 5:02pm May 11, 2012 5:02pm
ignorant troll

Quoting Porkpie
Flimsy logic, 25 days of data and you are trading this daily!

You really think 1 week of data means anything at all! This is just pure entertainment. You people need to wake-up and do the math.
Quoting PeterE
………of course much bigger sample required
Quoting PeterE
this system may have an edge, but i need a large sample size before i can get enthusiastic about it.........as i'm sure is the same for you Paulus.
  • #223
  • May 11, 2012 5:09pm May 11, 2012 5:09pm
here and the TP is 1:3 in most cases

Quoting howard
Could you explain your tweak to SL and TP once again
  • #224
  • May 12, 2012 12:11am May 12, 2012 12:11am
Quoting Paulus
yes that look good to me

Now we just sit and wait .. might as well have some breakfast

P
Paulus the result was a loss .... am I correct?

So far the sequence is LLLWL ?
  • #225
  • May 12, 2012 4:30am May 12, 2012 4:30am
Quoting fugly
Paulus the result was a loss .... am I correct?

So far the sequence is LLLWL ?
That is correct I will update my stats soon..


Porkpie..people are trying and evaluating I never ridicule some one who tries and fails .. but agree 25 days of data is nothing and the 1st thing I said on page 1 is that this could just blow up ..

I need people to look try and break..from the bits some times comes the fix

Looking forward to next week ..

P
  • #226
  • May 12, 2012 4:31am May 12, 2012 4:31am
Equity £9071
5% £453

Equity- £8618

LLLWLL

hey ho

P
  • #227
  • May 12, 2012 6:13am May 12, 2012 6:13am
Quoting Paulus
Equity £9071
5% £453

Equity- £8618

LLLWLL

hey ho

P
Hi Paulus,
Just noticed a little mistake in your results sequence. For the week just gone it was LLLWL. You sneaked in an extra loss on your sequence.
  • #228
  • May 12, 2012 6:51am May 12, 2012 6:51am
Hello

Sorry that is not the subject! Really need help!

Please give me a link, you can create your own theme on this forum!?

Regards Dennis!
  • #229
  • May 12, 2012 12:33pm May 12, 2012 12:33pm
Quoting Paulus
That is correct I will update my stats soon..


Porkpie..people are trying and evaluating I never ridicule some one who tries and fails .. but agree 25 days of data is nothing and the 1st thing I said on page 1 is that this could just blow up ..

I need people to look try and break..from the bits some times comes the fix

Looking forward to next week ..

P
I am not knocking you and you have rightly warned people of the limited data which was the biggest hint you gave your followers to help you out imo. Your followers should be back testing this for at least 12 months. It's non-discretionary so a forward test day by day isn't going to tell you any more than a back test, which would be a lot quicker.

You NEED this data. You need to find out its expectancy after several months. You need to know the max number of losses in a row in any number of successive months. You can then adjust your position size based on an average expected draw down. Or add to this data by looking at adjusting stops then gather the results. How does this affect overall expectancy.

What about the logic? How does it consider for frankie hour fakeouts for example?
  • #230
  • May 12, 2012 12:36pm May 12, 2012 12:36pm
Quoting PeterE
ignorant troll
Ok then smart arse put knowledge to action and help the man out instread of providing daily results which are totally meaningless. I'd be very interested to know where the edge is. Good luck.
  • #231
  • May 12, 2012 2:03pm May 12, 2012 2:03pm
Quoting Jpr
Hi Paulus,
Just noticed a little mistake in your results sequence. For the week just gone it was LLLWL. You sneaked in an extra loss on your sequence.
Yikes thanks sequence is def

LLLWL

P
  • #232
  • May 12, 2012 5:36pm May 12, 2012 5:36pm
don’t be so lazy, read the thread, then you will realise your comments are childish

…………everybody, except you it seems, knows that what’s going on here, is an experiment

Quoting Porkpie
Ok then smart arse put knowledge to action and help the man out instread of providing daily results which are totally meaningless. I'd be very interested to know where the edge is. Good luck.
  • #233
  • May 13, 2012 5:54am May 13, 2012 5:54am
sorry porkpie your on ignore

Ive had too many threads destroyed by such comments

This is an experiment..the system will change if need be

We do have an edge every one who attempts to trade with the trend has an edge because you will trading in the direction with many against those of the few

Once we pick the trend we then pick the entry but done mechanically so we can be consistent.





P
  • #234
  • May 13, 2012 6:12am May 13, 2012 6:12am
Quoting Porkpie
I am not knocking you and you have rightly warned people of the limited data which was the biggest hint you gave your followers to help you out imo. Your followers should be back testing this for at least 12 months. It's non-discretionary so a forward test day by day isn't going to tell you any more than a back test, which would be a lot quicker.

You NEED this data. You need to find out its expectancy after several months. You need to know the max number of losses in a row in any number of successive months. You can then adjust your...
Porkpie,

Out of curiosity, what are the stats related to the Frankie hour fakeouts, I mean how often do they occur over a given period etc. Do you have figures?

Regards,
  • #235
  • May 13, 2012 7:16am May 13, 2012 7:16am
he cant post here your better off sending a pvt or an email direct

P
  • #236
  • May 13, 2012 7:47am May 13, 2012 7:47am
As its sunday thi will be just a few ideas thrown in the original system will still be traded

take a losing day last week

take the hi lo of the previous session as always mark the direction as always.

Now put a fib tool across those 2 points ..all very mechanical all very easy

Our Golden Fib is 61.8

As long as hi or lo not broken ... ( re look at other trend direction)

then we wait until fib point hit use stoch to enter

1st chart plot the fib
2nd chart entry
3rd cahrt another entry from this week

I will try to check all previous signals but have loads of personal admin to do..
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  • #237
  • Edited 8:37am May 13, 2012 8:15am | Edited 8:37am
I am newbie few weeks for manual trading, For me, with my low manual trading skill level, no-way to win during USA session because price movement is so unpredictable, but I can win before London time as manual trading.

I did test A free EA while ago which will do the same thing but trigger on opening time of USA, It will win big money before year 2009, After that , It doesn't work anymore.

Since your have your manual system for Recently 6 weeks, I did quick visual test it manually from Last year

- Nov/11/2011 till Mar/14/2012 (16 weeks)
- It should win 45 times, Lose 36 times
- I use win 45 pip/lose 15pip method
Or Win 2025 pip, Lose 540 pip,
- Therefore, Actual win 2025 - 540 = 1485 pips,
- However, I assume that each trade spread lose is about 2 pips in and 2 pips out, 81 trades = 324 pips spread
- Therefore, Winning = 1485 - 324 = 1161 pips,
- Since full 1 lot/ 10 pip = $100 profit, Player should win $11,610 in 4 months
- This Methods can be done by simple EA, However, I am not coder so I don't know how to do it.

I hope that other people can see the value of this Idea, I understand that there are lots of waste your time systems around but you should do your test first, This system will not help you to Win big money in one day to Turn your $500 to 1 million, but you should win some money for long run without high skill level.
  • #238
  • May 13, 2012 8:46am May 13, 2012 8:46am
Quoting Ricky101
I am newbie few weeks for manual trading, For me, with my low manual trading skill level, no-way to win during USA session because price movement is so unpredictable, but I can win before London time as manual trading.

I did test A free EA while ago which will do the same thing but trigger on opening time of USA, It will win big money before year 2009, After that , It doesn't work anymore.

Since your have your manual system for Recently 6 weeks, I did quick visual test it manually from Last year

- Nov/11/2011 till Mar/14/2012 (16 weeks)
-...
Did you adjust your times for non Daylight Saving Time, which would have been in effect during your test period.

I know we are not supposed to discuss time, but I don't know how in hell it can be avoided for a system which is based on time. I don't know why it SHOULD be avoided.

I have yet to figure that out.

That's like discussing a zoo without ever mentioning the animals.
  • #239
  • May 13, 2012 8:51am May 13, 2012 8:51am
Good idea, It is a quick visual backtest, It is based on broker data which I assume that daylight saving time was done right.

If it is a EA, you can fine tune it to sweet spot.

Quoting billbss
Did you adjust your times for non Daylight Saving Time, which would have been in effect during your test period.

I know we are not supposed to discuss time, but I don't know how in hell it can be avoided for a system which is based on time. I don't know why it SHOULD be avoided.

I have yet to figure that out.

That's like discussing a zoo without ever mentioning the animals.
  • #240
  • May 13, 2012 8:53am May 13, 2012 8:53am
Quoting Paulus
he cant post here your better off sending a pvt or an email direct

P
Whoops, sorry, just caught up with messages...

Regards,
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