EUR/CHF | Page 272 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

EUR/CHF

Similar Threads

GBP/CHF and USD/CHF 955 replies

Correlation EUR/USD, USD/CHF, EUR/CHF (Humour me please... Thx) 8 replies

EUR/CHF, USD/CHF turning up? 1 reply

Using usd/chf - eur/usd correlation to see moves in EUR/USD 46 replies

Ranging pairs? EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, AUD/CAD? 0 replies

Attachments: EUR/CHF
Exit Attachments

EUR/CHF

  • #5,421
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:17pm Apr 13, 2012 12:17pm
markets r still very optimistic. like.
  • #5,422
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:24pm Apr 13, 2012 12:24pm
I think if they will rise the peg, firstly they have to break peg of 1,20, because it's cheaper for them

What would you do if you were the SNB? what would you do if you have to use your money? it would be better for you if the peg was broken because you can take a lot of SL and it would be easier and cheaper for you.
  • #5,423
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:29pm Apr 13, 2012 12:29pm
Quoting alesss
I think if they will rise the peg, firstly they have to break peg of 1,20, because it's cheaper for them

What would you do if you were the SNB? what would you do if you have to use your money? it would be better for you if the peg was broken because you can take a lot of SL and it would be easier and cheaper for you.
Good idea, an ideal trade would be to sell right now, tp 1.20, no stoploss.
  • #5,424
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:30pm Apr 13, 2012 12:30pm
Quoting worsttrader
markets r still very optimistic. like.

Last month the rally started on 13th in the evening..
I wonder if it's just a coincidence...
What do you guys think?
  • #5,425
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:30pm Apr 13, 2012 12:30pm
Quoting tunera
Good idea, an ideal trade would be to sell right now, tp 1.20, no stoploss.
u lil sarcastic
  • #5,426
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:33pm Apr 13, 2012 12:33pm
Quoting rcrist
Last month the rally started on 13th in the evening..
I wonder if it's just a coincidence...
What do you guys think?
i was born on 13th. conspiracy...
  • #5,427
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:33pm Apr 13, 2012 12:33pm
Quoting worsttrader
u lil sarcastic
I will start selling now, and add sells as price goes up. And when i finish the money on account, i will fund another one, and continue the selling.
  • #5,428
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:34pm Apr 13, 2012 12:34pm
seeing that snb hasn't got a clue, in order to help them, I would also offer some candidates:

upside: tough man enough with hard balls for the job without any doubt, for sure no peg break if he is involved

downside: serious conflict of interest as he migh possess some assets in Switzerland, and besides quite busy at the moment
Attached Image
  • #5,429
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:38pm Apr 13, 2012 12:38pm
Quoting tunera
Good idea, an ideal trade would be to sell right now, tp 1.20, no stoploss.
ideal trade would be to set a order to buy at 1,21 EURCHF. If they intervene and they rise the peg to 1,30, you can gain 900 pips
  • #5,430
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:40pm Apr 13, 2012 12:40pm
No seriously, it the peg get broken it means that the snb lost the game with big losses also, for sure (sure? nothing is sure) the snb is not going to break its own peg and suicide it's worldwide financial credibility.
As some say remain true that, fight against a whole market is a dangerous game, so anything can happen, but i just have my own theories and trade strictly them.
Yes an ideal trade would be a stoporder at 1.21 and another at 1.19, so whatever happen you are on the right side.
But once again, price may go to 1.21, and fall back to 1.20, and then down.
Or can go to 1.19, and from there start to go up.
There is not an "ideal" trade, no free lunch!
  • #5,431
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:40pm Apr 13, 2012 12:40pm
Quoting alesss
I think if they will rise the peg, firstly they have to break peg of 1,20, because it's cheaper for them

What would you do if you were the SNB? what would you do if you have to use your money? it would be better for you if the peg was broken because you can take a lot of SL and it would be easier and cheaper for you.
Never knew what would be their interest in this, as they have to buy back from lower, instead they should encourage the buyes to do the job instead of SNB. IMO the best would be to raise the peg to 1,22 or 1,25 with a strong verbal hint for further raise to 1,3.

Nevertheless there might be much more stoploss of the bears around 1,207 and 1,215 as this is bear market...
  • #5,432
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:52pm Apr 13, 2012 12:52pm
Some encouraging thoughts for the weekend
http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/...2012/04/13/05/
  • #5,433
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:54pm Apr 13, 2012 12:54pm
Quoting tunera
No seriously, it the peg get broken it means that the snb lost the game with big losses also, for sure (sure? nothing is sure) the snb is not going to break its own peg and suicide it's worldwide financial credibility.
As some say remain true that, fight against a whole market is a dangerous game, so anything can happen, but i just have my own theories and trade strictly them.
Yes an ideal trade would be a stoporder at 1.21 and another at 1.19, so whatever happen you are on the right side.
But once again, price may go to 1.21, and fall back to...
we don't know what will happen but we should run the lower risk possible and it's dangerous to buy now
  • #5,434
  • Apr 13, 2012 1:03pm Apr 13, 2012 1:03pm
Quoting alesss
we don't know what will happen but we should run the lower risk possible and it's dangerous to buy now
True, it's dangerous of course, it's all about the risk appetite of each investor/trader, and about strategy that each investor/trader decide to adopt.

I mean, if you want to buy low, you are going to have a better R:R but a less probability of winning as you enter against a trend or with a lack of momentum, on the other side if you enter high (supposing we're talking about a buy trade) you have some kind of momentum behind your position, but still you may end up buying at a top.
Every trade is potentially dangerous, risk is the foundamental part of the trading job, if you are willing to trade you should be willing to take risks.
  • #5,435
  • Apr 13, 2012 1:09pm Apr 13, 2012 1:09pm
strange to see that, despite of the cancelled announcement from snb, the euro is still getting stronger. i would think that sthing is happening behind the scenes, made by big players, but it makes no sense; if this would happening because of hedge funds we would see higher moves upward. so my only idea is that, retails trust in snb so they started to buy.
  • #5,436
  • Apr 13, 2012 1:11pm Apr 13, 2012 1:11pm
Quoting pipxster
Never knew what would be their interest in this, as they have to buy back from lower, instead they should encourage the buyes to do the job instead of SNB. IMO the best would be to raise the peg to 1,22 or 1,25 with a strong verbal hint for further raise to 1,3.

Nevertheless there might be much more stoploss of the bears around 1,207 and 1,215 as this is bear market...

but it doesn't matter, firstly they will take the stoploss of the bulls around 1,1999-1,1850 and then the SNB will take the stoploss of bears around 1,2050-1,2150.
  • #5,437
  • Apr 13, 2012 1:20pm Apr 13, 2012 1:20pm
I wonder....
What will happen, and is it not in the interest of the SNB, if they announce a peg raise over the weekend?

And why did they not announce the 1.2 peg on a Saturday/Sunday but on Monday?

The same is true for a peg removal announcement
  • #5,438
  • Apr 13, 2012 1:23pm Apr 13, 2012 1:23pm
Quoting alesss
but it doesn't matter, firstly they will take the stoploss of the bulls around 1,1999-1,1850 and then the SNB will take the stoploss of bears around 1,2050-1,2150.
Ok, but if they totally destroy bulls, who will hold the line after the higher peg? If they prospect further rise, that could be bull magnet. just an opinion. of course we dont know.
Hope closes above 1.203.
  • #5,439
  • Apr 13, 2012 1:23pm Apr 13, 2012 1:23pm
Quoting Igrach
I wonder....
What will happen, and is it not in the interest of the SNB, if they announce a peg raise over the weekend?

And why did they not announce the 1.2 peg on a Saturday/Sunday but on Monday?

The same is true for a peg removal announcement
Wednesday is the day to look for, if the candidate is approved it will happen on wednesday, and probably they will use the same moment to elect the new president, at that point a new change in the monetary policy can be made.
Chances are that any new change will be then decided on 27 of april, but i see that the market want something new and want it fast, so maybe wednesday will be the day.
  • #5,440
  • Apr 13, 2012 1:24pm Apr 13, 2012 1:24pm
Quoting tunera
True, it's dangerous of course, it's all about the risk appetite of each investor/trader, and about strategy that each investor/trader decide to adopt.

I mean, if you want to buy low, you are going to have a better R:R but a less probability of winning as you enter against a trend or with a lack of momentum, on the other side if you enter high (supposing we're talking about a buy trade) you have some kind of momentum behind your position, but still you may end up buying at a top.
Every trade is potentially dangerous, risk is the foundamental...
of course. The monetary management is very important and the psicology too. we must consider all time the profitability/risk ratio positive.
13 traders viewing now