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EUR/CHF

  • #3,921
  • Mar 29, 2012 1:15pm Mar 29, 2012 1:15pm
Quoting LarryDarrell
All this wishful thinking... we can't know how the price will behave, and it's absolutely possible, if not highly probable, that the 1,20-barrier won't hold.
dont agree at all. if there is only one thing here u can bet on it is that the 1,2 line will be hold at least for some months. this is the only reason why im so confident.
  • #3,922
  • Mar 29, 2012 1:16pm Mar 29, 2012 1:16pm
We have up trend on daily chart..If today's candle closed under 1.2050, this means the trend is broken and we will go to 1.2030. Else we go to 1.2080, and higher.
I am long, but I wish the first scenario is achieved as this will force SNB to intervene.
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  • #3,923
  • Mar 29, 2012 1:21pm Mar 29, 2012 1:21pm
Quoting engcu90
We have up trend on daily chart..If today's candle closed under 1.2050, this means the trend is broken and we will go to 1.2030. Else we go to 1.2080, and higher.
I am long, but I wish the first scenario is achieved as this will force SNB to intervene.
this is exactly my opinion too, i agree with all ur words.
  • #3,924
  • Mar 29, 2012 1:27pm Mar 29, 2012 1:27pm
Quoting LarryDarrell
All this wishful thinking... we can't know how the price will behave, and it's absolutely possible, if not highly probable, that the 1,20-barrier won't hold.

I'm a bit scared by the fact we see so much confidence here, especially in the first posts of recent members. I'm long as well, but you can never be sure in this business!

As well I noticed we didn't get back any reply by Mr. '34 lots long'. I'm still interested to hear about his borker.
Yes, the future don't exist right now, so the number of possible scenarios is unlimited.
I just like to have my plan and stick to it, with utmost confidence (utmost, what a nice word).
  • #3,925
  • Mar 29, 2012 1:37pm Mar 29, 2012 1:37pm
my broker has big swap for long position on eur/chf !!!!!!
look at that my frend's in your broker's
  • #3,926
  • Mar 29, 2012 2:17pm Mar 29, 2012 2:17pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: echforecast.jpg Size: 89 KB


I know that TA is not so good in this pair. But there is some interesting thing on the H4 chart.

1 - downtrend
2 - bottom
3 - double top before month end
4 - bottom spike
5 - consolidation
6 - big uptrend

If it is true we will see 1.2150-1.22 soon

may be when new president named next week, or after
  • #3,927
  • Mar 29, 2012 2:40pm Mar 29, 2012 2:40pm
Quoting Simon73
Attachment
i like ur analysis, only one thing im not really agree with no. 6.
imo its not uptrend but only a spike upwards so we cant wait anything else this time.
  • #3,928
  • Mar 29, 2012 2:43pm Mar 29, 2012 2:43pm
Quoting worsttrader
absolutely agree. i we r going down, as i think, the last day will be tomorrow. next week is uptrend.

why do you think that next week is uptrend ?
  • #3,929
  • Mar 29, 2012 3:17pm Mar 29, 2012 3:17pm
Quoting daka
why do you think that next week is uptrend ?
we cant go any lower (~2030) because of the peg.
  • #3,930
  • Mar 30, 2012 1:25am Mar 30, 2012 1:25am
Everybody sells this pair obviously, that's why the price is going down. I don't think that any central bank is stronger than the market... We are dangerously close and if a major events happens, the SCB would not be able to sustain the pressure...
go go go
  • #3,931
  • Mar 30, 2012 1:47am Mar 30, 2012 1:47am
A lot of people still doesn t understand this peg (cap actually).
It works both way... it should be ceiling for franc, franc can weaken but can t get stronger then EURCHF 1.20 - SNB can "print" whatever market wants...

Why both ways? Well, if there was no cap, we could be seeing EURCHF in 0.70 -0.90 range and collapse of Switzerland in all markets..

After that, we would see EURCHF over 2.00 in short term...
  • #3,932
  • Mar 30, 2012 2:10am Mar 30, 2012 2:10am
So, the KOF is positive and better than expected, showing a low turning point in the swiss economy.
Looks like no reasons at all for an imminent snb intervention, maybe the idea of sell eurchf isn't soo mad..
  • #3,933
  • Mar 30, 2012 2:17am Mar 30, 2012 2:17am
Quoting tunera
So, the KOF is positive and better than expected, showing a low turning point in the swiss economy.
Looks like no reasons at all for an imminent snb intervention, maybe the idea of sell eurchf isn't soo mad..

Yes pls go ahead, sell lots of EURCHF to 1.20 so that SNB will come in and that will fulfill all our wishes.
  • #3,934
  • Mar 30, 2012 2:18am Mar 30, 2012 2:18am
Quoting multi888
Yes pls go ahead, sell lots of EURCHF to 1.20 so that SNB will come in and that will fulfill all our wishes.
Yeah i will sell unlimited quantities of eur
  • #3,935
  • Mar 30, 2012 2:41am Mar 30, 2012 2:41am
Quoting tunera
Yeah i will sell unlimited quantities of eur
Sound very familiar...
  • #3,936
  • Mar 30, 2012 2:42am Mar 30, 2012 2:42am
i thought im the only one here who has the right and the capability to print money
  • #3,937
  • Mar 30, 2012 2:44am Mar 30, 2012 2:44am
Comeon, KOF or not KOF, the chart speak. Let's see if he say the truth.
  • #3,938
  • Mar 30, 2012 2:52am Mar 30, 2012 2:52am
Quoting tunera
Comeon, KOF or not KOF, the chart speak. Let's see if he say the truth.
i would rather think the chart is female, as unpredictable is...
  • #3,939
  • Mar 30, 2012 2:55am Mar 30, 2012 2:55am
Quoting worsttrader
i would rather think the chart is female, as unpredictable is...
Looks like she is joking us all, "i go up.." "kidding! i go down instead.." "kidding!"
  • #3,940
  • Mar 30, 2012 3:11am Mar 30, 2012 3:11am
Ok now some serious post, looks like we're heading now to 1.40 / 1.30, chances are we'll end the week there



edit:
---there or at 1.15 lol
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