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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #24,521
  • Mar 15, 2012 12:51pm Mar 15, 2012 12:51pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Good question. Not sure I would call it a H/S. At best a malformed one. However I do expect gold to make a lower low.
What the F is happening to Gold.... Bouncing with a rage... Luckily i didn't short it.....
  • #24,522
  • Mar 15, 2012 12:53pm Mar 15, 2012 12:53pm
Quoting halkins
Hmmm, don't you want to wait until price settle down...
I had my SELL order but cancled it seeing 4H candle.
Now waiting for price to "relax and calm"
No.. I'm fine with this. I'm selling in a supply zone after a strong momentum and a sudden rejection. Even if it goes further up from here, it's coming back anyway.

If it breaks 3130, then that's a different story. No problem for me taking a 20 pip loss if I decide to abort.

Cheers
PT

P.S. Appreciate the caution.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #24,523
  • Mar 15, 2012 12:56pm Mar 15, 2012 12:56pm
Quoting FX Tsunami
What the F is happening to Gold.... Bouncing with a rage... Luckily i didn't short it.....
look at the bigger picture (H4 or Daily) and you'll see that it is normal swings. Nothing goes in a straight line. Sure it could do a complete reversal from here and head back up to 1750 but calling that would be very premature.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #24,524
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:12pm Mar 15, 2012 1:12pm
Quoting PipTrapper
look at the bigger picture (H4 or Daily) and you'll see that it is normal swings. Nothing goes in a straight line. Sure it could do a complete reversal from here and head back up to 1750 but calling that would be very premature.
I ain't touching it for now. I am considering to short E/U.
  • #24,525
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:15pm Mar 15, 2012 1:15pm
Quoting FX Tsunami
I ain't touching it for now. I am considering to short E/U.
yeah Gold is a tricky one

As for shorting E/U, I think it may be done for the day... but then who knows?
I'm holding all my shorts for now and then I'll decide what to do later. I'm way in the green so I can afford to risk a few pips.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #24,526
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:22pm Mar 15, 2012 1:22pm
Quoting PipTrapper
yeah Gold is a tricky one

As for shorting E/U, I think it may be done for the day... but then who knows?
I'm holding all my shorts for now and then I'll decide what to do later. I'm way in the green so I can afford to risk a few pips.
Hmmm... I can't lose much.... I'm only +110 for this month as of now... Failed to hold a couple of good trends from 3210 and 3170 because of emotion.... Else i would have got more green pips to float.

Price has strongly pierced through 4H bollinger middle. So staying in sidelines for now... May be, i'll try during JPY open....
  • #24,527
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:25pm Mar 15, 2012 1:25pm
Quoting FX Tsunami
Hmmm... I can't lose much.... I'm only +110 for this month as of now... Failed to hold a couple of good trends from 3210 and 3170 because of emotion.... Else i would have got more green pips to float.

Price has strongly pierced through 4H bollinger middle. So staying in sidelines for now... May be, i'll try during JPY open....
okay. Best of luck to you as always. Trade safe

ADD: I think the E/U pair had a heart attack. It's flat lining
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #24,528
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:28pm Mar 15, 2012 1:28pm
Quoting PipTrapper
okay. Best of luck to you as always. Trade safe

ADD: I think the E/U pair had a heart attack. It's flat lining


May be E/U itself could not believe how it went up so far
  • #24,529
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:41pm Mar 15, 2012 1:41pm
2:30 pm EST, I think we're done for the day. Time to go and enjoy the day instead of watching this computer screen. Going to watch a movie

Just kidding, going to try and install the new saddle bags for the motorcycle. Have a great day! See ya around Asian open for a bit.
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #24,530
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:47pm Mar 15, 2012 1:47pm
Quoting Cgb
2:30 pm EST, I think we're done for the day. Time to go and enjoy the day instead of watching this computer screen. Going to watch a movie

Just kidding, going to try and install the new saddle bags for the motorcycle. Have a great day! See ya around Asian open for a bit.
Thanks for the vouch. Much appreciated
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #24,531
  • Mar 15, 2012 2:17pm Mar 15, 2012 2:17pm
From Dukascopy analysts

Received via email: No link

European vehicle sales plunged in February driven by Peugeot Citroen, Fiat and Renault as region's consumers suspended large scale purchases amid economic uncertainty. February registrations dropped 9.2% on annual basis to 923,381 million cars, the fifth straight monthly drop. Deliveries in France tumbled 20% whereas sales in Italy plummeted 19%. BMW and Toyota forecast a 5% decline in Europe region for 2012.


EUR/USD
Daily maximum: 1.3081
Daily minimum: 1.3003
After forming a descending wedge on a 1-hour chart, EUR/USD has rallied up to 1.3075. However, this bullish move is likely to be short-lived, since the pair is now facing a formidable resistance area at 1.3119/49, while most of the indicators reinforce this view. Daily Resistance: 1.3091; 1.3119/25; 1.3138/49. Daily Support: 1.3058; 1.3040; 1.2999/90. Daily Bias: Strongly bearish.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #24,532
  • Mar 15, 2012 2:42pm Mar 15, 2012 2:42pm
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting PipTrapper
From Dukascopy analysts

Received via email: No link

European vehicle sales plunged in February driven by Peugeot Citroen, Fiat and Renault as region's consumers suspended large scale purchases amid economic uncertainty. February registrations dropped 9.2% on annual basis to 923,381 million cars, the fifth straight monthly drop. Deliveries in France tumbled 20% whereas sales in Italy plummeted 19%. BMW and Toyota forecast a 5% decline in Europe region for 2012.


[b][i][color="DarkSlateBlue"]EUR/USD
Daily...
Hopefully we get enough action tomorrow for 1.30 to break - I doubt though. 1.30 is tough cookie to cross. It need some news or big player to kick some action before it crosses - currently there is nothing spectacular becoming.
  • #24,533
  • Mar 15, 2012 2:57pm Mar 15, 2012 2:57pm
Quoting AFXFin
Hopefully we get enough action tomorrow for 1.30 to break - I doubt though. 1.30 is tough cookie to cross. It need some news or big player to kick some action before it crosses - currently there is nothing spectacular becoming.
Agreed. PA tells me we will at least take another shot at it tomorrow. Probably we will not break it but at least I feel very confident we are not looking at a major upward correction... at least not yet anyway.

I'm still holding my current shorts. I took profit on my 3050 and 3090 shorts this morning but opened a new one at 3110

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu-h4.gif Size: 57 KB
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #24,534
  • Mar 15, 2012 3:27pm Mar 15, 2012 3:27pm
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting PipTrapper
Agreed. PA tells me we will at least take another shot at it tomorrow. Probably we will not break it but at least I feel very confident we are not looking at a major upward correction... at least not yet anyway.

I'm still holding my current shorts. I took profit on my 3050 and 3090 shorts this morning but opened a new one at 3110

Attachment
I dropped my shorts already and I'm now bare naked
I'll wait and see where price goes and if tomorrow morning looks like price starts crawling down I'll kick a new one. Otherwise I'll let robots scalp. Robots homed 1.5% today for existing capital, so I'm not in rush with spots.
  • #24,535
  • Mar 15, 2012 4:55pm Mar 15, 2012 4:55pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Thanks for the vouch. Much appreciated
Well deversed my friend!
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #24,536
  • Mar 15, 2012 9:31pm Mar 15, 2012 9:31pm
Quoting Cgb
In a past life (as an equity trader) I found a book that talked about indication candles and started to look around in my daily scans for them. An Indication Candle is one that has a long wick (more than twice the body length) which points to the direction the stock will move to. Now I know this is Forex and not yet a convinced to their occurance here, but I thought I would share two articles I wrote over a year ago about them in a newsletter I used to publish.

The first one talks about the setup for the stock and article concludes the trade I...

In Forex you'll often see indication candles. All you need to do is wait for a high volume critical News like US NFP, lower your TF to M5 or M15 and take the trade by reading indication candle (Optional).

But, this is very tricky, when the candle started forming in M5 it goes to the direction with Trend so many people lose money by doing contra action ... then the Actual volume feed-in the system and only few able to pick the Extreme point!
  • #24,537
  • Mar 15, 2012 9:32pm Mar 15, 2012 9:32pm
Quoting rekon67
In Forex you'll often see indication candles. All you need to do is wait for a high volume critical News like US NFP, lower your TF to M5 or M15 and take the trade by reading indication candle (Optional).

But, this is very tricky, when the candle started forming in M5 it goes to the direction with Trend so many people lose money by doing contra action ... then the Actual volume feed-in the system and only few able to pick the Extreme point!

I forget to attach the chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.png Size: 37 KB
  • #24,538
  • Mar 15, 2012 9:34pm Mar 15, 2012 9:34pm
Morning guys,

If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #24,539
  • Mar 15, 2012 9:38pm Mar 15, 2012 9:38pm
Quoting FXMindset
Morning guys,

Lets sip the Morning!
Attached Image
  • #24,540
  • Mar 15, 2012 9:40pm Mar 15, 2012 9:40pm
Quoting rekon67
Lets sip the Morning!
green tea
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
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