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  • #601,421
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:06am Feb 29, 2012 2:06am
Quoting forexings
When ECB will inject $500M?
Anyone knows the timeline?
money supply increase means depreciation of the currency, yes? and why is ECB doing this?
  • #601,422
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:09am Feb 29, 2012 2:09am
Quoting KillerWhale
No, I just don't want to read more stupid comments than absolutely necessary.
take some rest bro
Mohan
  • #601,423
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:16am Feb 29, 2012 2:16am
Quoting yperite
money supply increase means depreciation of the currency, yes? and why is ECB doing this?
So that more people who want to start up a business, buy a house and get a loan for what ever reason can now do so. Subprime all over again.
Over thinking over analyzing separates the body from the mind.
  • #601,424
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:18am Feb 29, 2012 2:18am
I think the 2nd LTRO could see net new liquidity of
EUR 275-300bn - significantly higher than the EUR 193.4bn from the December operation.

The MRO and 1-day operations essentially saw banks switch liquidity from
the former to the latter. The 1-day allocation of 133.9bn is likely to be
fully rolled into the 3-year operation. Keep in mind that in December the
MRO still had 169bn outstanding, which is considerably higher than the
current 29.5bn. This is another indication that the stigma of going to the
ECB has diminished, increasing the prospect of a large take-up at the LTRO.

In addition to the 1-day operation, there are also liquidity shifts related
to how much of the maturing 3-month (38.6bn) and 6-month (49.8bn) are
rolled not only into the 3-year LTRO but also into the 3-month LTRO.
Overall, the net adjustment to the headline 3-year is likely to be in the
region of around 200bn. I think that the net new liquidity will be around
275-300bn.
  • #601,425
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:21am Feb 29, 2012 2:21am
Quoting mohan76
this is my (wishfull) way (i know maximum damage , so take it easy)
http://guywhotypes.files.wordpress.c...ing.jpeg?w=590
must be male leopard, monk is painful smiling
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #601,426
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:27am Feb 29, 2012 2:27am
Think it's best to wait till after 10.15GMT before any serious commitment today.
  • #601,427
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:27am Feb 29, 2012 2:27am
Quoting PokerPlayer
Sitting on hands... big time

Given the swings that we get when the unemployment figures et al get released, I don't want to have my £££ at risk for this announcement.

(unless of course you could guarantee which way it was going to go )

I will rarely do this and leak most secret of forex secret, it will go UP DOWN UP DOWN UP DOWN SIDEWAYS UP DOWN, Please keep this to yourself only
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #601,428
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:27am Feb 29, 2012 2:27am
Quoting FXMastermind
This has nothing to do with Greece really, noone in the City gives a sh_t about Greece anymore, these risks are all priced in or hedged and insured.

The impact of LTRO is a very complex issue, we are talking about some serious maths here. Plenty of aspects involved, EUR fair value, ECB balance sheet, impact on economy expectations etc. etc. All that will brew the outcoming market sentiment which will in the end result in move up or down (which one it´s going to be I dare not say...).

Frankly, lower amount = short term bull (belief in positive...
Depends on a definition of short term and long term. Very short term (day or two) I think bull (we are currently in Elliot 5 wave of the upper trend from feb 16 and the question is how high can it go).

Some of those bln will go to riskier assets (at least market thinks so). So (short term within a week) if LTRO <400 then it means less into riskier assets and USD stronger, we will try to reach maybe 1.352 and then down.

If LTRO>500 then it means more into riskier assets and maybe we can squeeze to 1,36 or even 1,37 and then down.

On long term (month or two) there are too many variables to make a good guess.

Thats just my opinion. We will see how it goes...
  • #601,429
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:29am Feb 29, 2012 2:29am
Quoting KiwiTrada
must be male leopard, monk is painful smiling
it's a tiger
why equity shooting up ?

edit : German Unemployment Change in 20 m , may be expecting better data ?
Mohan
  • #601,430
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:30am Feb 29, 2012 2:30am
Thanks! LOL!

Quoting KiwiTrada
I will rarely do this and leak most secret of forex secret, it will go UP DOWN UP DOWN UP DOWN SIDEWAYS UP DOWN, Please keep this to yourself only
  • #601,431
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:32am Feb 29, 2012 2:32am
looks like today it's going to be in range & sideways moment, torturing traders...
  • #601,432
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:35am Feb 29, 2012 2:35am
While I wait, I just scalp the noise. Leaving no pip behind.

Quoting disegnosys
Thanks! LOL!
  • #601,433
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:36am Feb 29, 2012 2:36am
The headlines and focus today is clearly on the
ECB's 3-year LTRO but we should also remember that there are plenty of BoE
speakers on tap today.

BoE Governor King along with Bean, Tucker and Posen are all speaking at
09.45GMT before the TSC hearing on the inflation report. All the members
except for Posen are likely to stick to BoE Fisher's view of needing to
stay "open minded" with regards to further easing.

While the BoE members will give nothing away in terms of what happens in
May they will be asked as to how to make QE more effective, as well as
whether their view on inflation has changed now that the price of oil in
GBP hit a record high.

Later in the day we also have BoE's Weale speaking at 18:30GMT. Having
flip-flopped on his view, it is likely that Weale will look to play it safe
and stick with the majority that does not hold a strong opinion as to the
next move.
  • #601,434
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:38am Feb 29, 2012 2:38am
Quoting turmaz
good morning losers and traders!

____________________
High risk, high reward: It takes balls of steel to play this game
problem over here is....every loser thinks he is a trader
Trade responsiblypatience is the key/Swing trader
  • #601,435
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:51am Feb 29, 2012 2:51am
I'm expecting a drop in EUR prices after the LTRO results come in.

I will short after unemployment comes out because I'm expecting good results there.

Euro goes up in 5min I short.

then wait for LTRO.
Daily Target: 20 pips
  • #601,436
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:55am Feb 29, 2012 2:55am
Quoting fxanonymous
I'm expecting a drop in EUR prices after the LTRO results come in.

I will short after unemployment comes out because I'm expecting good results there.

Euro goes up in 5min I short.

then wait for LTRO.

or not
Daily Target: 20 pips
  • #601,437
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:56am Feb 29, 2012 2:56am
so where are u ppl taking the euro today?
any trading idea? any wild guess??
short long???

______________
High risk, high reward: It takes balls of steel to play this game
  • #601,438
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:57am Feb 29, 2012 2:57am
Quoting disegnosys
While I wait, I just scalp the noise. Leaving no pip behind.
yes is a good plan, try leave a runner or 2, ladies looking ripe for plucking if is rocket change pl for f
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #601,439
  • Feb 29, 2012 2:59am Feb 29, 2012 2:59am
Quoting turmaz
so where are u ppl taking the euro today?
any trading idea? any wild guess??
short long???
I'm shorting it longwards.
I'm just a small fish in a large pond; forever swimming against the tide.
  • #601,440
  • Feb 29, 2012 3:00am Feb 29, 2012 3:00am
already have short position 1.3475

Quoting turmaz
so where are u ppl taking the euro today?
any trading idea? any wild guess??
short long???

______________
High risk, high reward: It takes balls of steel to play this game
follow the flow of music $
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