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EUR/CHF

  • #2,061
  • Jan 4, 2012 10:48am Jan 4, 2012 10:48am
Quoting _BBKing_
good question!
i would really have an idea about it!

there is good TL and supply area going between 5680 and 5750.
today while EU stoned heavy, GU stopped and ranging between 5580 and 5635.

im 50% for short and 50% for long. so im waiting something more clear.
maybe daily closing price will open my eyes!
Ok, if you found something let me know...thanks in advance.
  • #2,062
  • Jan 4, 2012 10:57am Jan 4, 2012 10:57am
Quoting multi888
Ok, if you found something let me know...thanks in advance.
ok, same you if you see something clear is welcome!
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  • #2,063
  • Jan 4, 2012 11:17am Jan 4, 2012 11:17am
In reference to the previous post..
IMO
Looking at the smaller TF's like M5 and M15, (after this 10 pip pop from 1.2173's... some 5min back)
if we STILL do not see a new daily high i.e break of 1.2198, today itself..
then its soon going down to 1.2150 and other levels down there...before going anywhere else.
(Break of 1.2170's soon will make sure latter happens)

Of course News Read/Listen/Watch is important!
Lets WaitnWatch
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  • #2,064
  • Jan 4, 2012 11:53am Jan 4, 2012 11:53am
Quoting forexsaint
In reference to the previous post..
IMO
Looking at the smaller TF's like M5 and M15, (after this 10 pip pop from 1.2173's... some 5min back)
if we STILL do not see a new daily high i.e break of 1.2198, today itself..
then its soon going down to 1.2150 and other levels down there...before going anywhere else.
(Break of 1.2170's soon will make sure latter happens)

Of course News Read/Listen/Watch is important!
Lets WaitnWatch
yes 2170 becoming again important.
lets see!
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  • #2,065
  • Jan 4, 2012 12:31pm Jan 4, 2012 12:31pm
interesting idea about rumored downgrade in france.
if anything, he is right: it should happen today!
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2012/0...ady-priced-in/
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  • #2,066
  • Jan 4, 2012 12:33pm Jan 4, 2012 12:33pm
Quoting Mosq
Yeaah...all we need is to have a plan and be stick to it. I agree 100%.
I predict one more retreat to 1.2165 area where i see a suuport as FE61.8
This could be possible into coming hrs and tomorrow possible move up in case of rumours regarding Friday's data.

App 1.2185 is also important as now there is 200MA as a resistance on H1. We still have to wait....
  • #2,067
  • Jan 4, 2012 1:15pm Jan 4, 2012 1:15pm
this h4 setup doesn't allow me to short.
i mean: whole day i was thinking about opening an hedge in short but still not doing.

imo near 2230 is a better level for shorts.
im totally ignoring rejection at ema60 since it find good demand near 2170.

im hoping to get some profit in this trade. maybe only a dream.

what i need is a stronger euro and today's crash to 1.29 area didn't help!
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  • #2,068
  • Jan 4, 2012 1:28pm Jan 4, 2012 1:28pm
Quoting _BBKing_
this h4 setup doesn't allow me to short.
i mean: whole day i was thinking about opening an hedge in short but still not doing.

imo near 2230 is a better level for shorts.
im totally ignoring rejection at ema60 since it find good demand near 2170.

im hoping to get some profit in this trade. maybe only a dream.

what i need is a stronger euro and today's crash to 1.29 area didn't help!
The upper bollinger band expansion looks promising but this is not the most active time of day for a rally
  • #2,069
  • Jan 4, 2012 3:00pm Jan 4, 2012 3:00pm
Trend will have to break 1.2245 to signal a bull market. NFP and bond auctions coming up should bring us pretty close but we'll need to gain strength to dissuade the bears who would want to challenge the SNB and trigger stops sending it way down if we don't get a strong push above the resistance at that level.
  • #2,070
  • Jan 4, 2012 4:06pm Jan 4, 2012 4:06pm
Quoting werido
Trend will have to break 1.2245 to signal a bull market. NFP and bond auctions coming up should bring us pretty close but we'll need to gain strength to dissuade the bears who would want to challenge the SNB and trigger stops sending it way down if we don't get a strong push above the resistance at that level.
yes the 2240-50 lvl need to be broken for further strong up-move.
im still asking myself what im doing in this sloooooooooooow trade.
euro really not helping me!!!
will hold till tomorrow, hopefully it print another bullish daily candle!
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  • #2,071
  • Jan 4, 2012 4:54pm Jan 4, 2012 4:54pm
Quoting _BBKing_
yes the 2240-50 lvl need to be broken for further strong up-move.
im still asking myself what im doing in this sloooooooooooow trade.
euro really not helping me!!!
will hold till tomorrow, hopefully it print another bullish daily candle!
It's been the slow train ever since the last intervention fake-out on dec. 15 which sent it tumbling down and so far unable to show any momentum back up. It is just a matter of time so long as swiss politics doesn't do anything stupid...again.
  • #2,072
  • Jan 4, 2012 5:01pm Jan 4, 2012 5:01pm
This trend line is very important at the present time since it has made a double dip and can't simply just level off here. It needs to push up with some real buying and break some of the longer time frame resistance to get out of this long slow slide.
  • #2,073
  • Jan 4, 2012 5:12pm Jan 4, 2012 5:12pm
Quoting werido
This trend line is very important at the present time since it has made a double dip and can't simply just level off here. It needs to push up with some real buying and break some of the longer time frame resistance to get out of this long slow slide.
uhm im more inclined in technical tradig.
looke gbp chf for example: heavy buy today out there! same in usd chf.
what is holding fukking down here is the poor euro.

tomorrow last chance: there is efsf or what da hell its called selling bonds. if no reactions up in euro (i mean euro, not eur-usd!) this ting will stay around this 1.21 lvl until friday nfp, whne they will probably kick me out @be if price will be still here around.

meanwhile im shorting GU and AU and waiting an entry in gbp aud.
lol
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  • #2,074
  • Jan 4, 2012 5:23pm Jan 4, 2012 5:23pm
Quoting _BBKing_
uhm im more inclined in technical tradig.
looke gbp chf for example: heavy buy today out there! same in usd chf.
what is holding fukking down here is the poor euro.

tomorrow last chance: there is efsf or what da hell its called selling bonds. if no reactions up in euro (i mean euro, not eur-usd!) this ting will stay around this 1.21 lvl until friday nfp, whne they will probably kick me out @be if price will be still here around.

meanwhile im shorting GU and AU and waiting an entry in gbp aud.
lol
I think the euro will get stronger against the dollar on fundamentals. The US wants a weak dollar (example: they didn't like japan buying so much of it) because US debt is very high in relation to GDP. The Euro has a lot of options to get their debt under control even if the bond sales aren't too strong. They don't really have to keep all the 17 countries in the eurozone. Just getting rid of Greece, Spain, or Italy will shore up the euro, imo.
  • #2,075
  • Jan 4, 2012 5:55pm Jan 4, 2012 5:55pm
Quoting werido
I think the euro will get stronger against the dollar on fundamentals. The US wants a weak dollar (example: they didn't like japan buying so much of it) because US debt is very high in relation to GDP. The Euro has a lot of options to get their debt under control even if the bond sales aren't too strong. They don't really have to keep all the 17 countries in the eurozone. Just getting rid of Greece, Spain, or Italy will shore up the euro, imo.
well, lets see next 24hours what happen!
then is nfp's

i was asking myself how much down can eu go this week if it does no react here 1.29 to get back into 1.30 2moro:
few pips below 2870 and we go straight to 1.27 area imo.
heavy buyers lined up near that area... so, a reversal can happen before the 1.25
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  • #2,076
  • Jan 4, 2012 5:58pm Jan 4, 2012 5:58pm
Quoting _BBKing_
well, lets see next 24hours what happen!
then is nfp's

i was asking myself how much down can eu go this week if it does no react here 1.29:
few pips below 2870 and we go straight to 1.27 area imo.
heavy buyers lined up near that area... so, a reversal can happen before the 1.25
should be an interesting event for euro dollar..hehehe
Bismillah
  • #2,077
  • Jan 4, 2012 6:17pm Jan 4, 2012 6:17pm
Quoting krunfx
should be an interesting event for euro dollar..hehehe
yes!
i hope they will find out something to move it up!!! just to give me some 200-300 pips in my eru chf long.
lol
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  • #2,078
  • Jan 4, 2012 6:33pm Jan 4, 2012 6:33pm
Quoting _BBKing_
yes!
i hope they will find out something to move it up!!! just to give me some 200-300 pips in my eru chf long.
lol
eur swiss long?huhu....before that we must watching carefully i heard today hildebrand will make a conference...dont know what time
Bismillah
  • #2,079
  • Jan 4, 2012 6:42pm Jan 4, 2012 6:42pm
Quoting krunfx
eur swiss long?huhu....before that we must watching carefully i heard today hildebrand will make a conference...dont know what time
yes it's about the matter about his wife forex long position in usd chf before interventetion in september.
i dont think will affect a lot.. who knows?!
anyway im holding a long in eur chf since so much time that another 2-3 days and the swap will be same as equity i used for the trade!
lol

well i closed my gu and au shorts.
nice +20+30 pips just end of the day. (pure luck!)

i go sleep.
good luck with your trades!
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  • #2,080
  • Jan 4, 2012 6:46pm Jan 4, 2012 6:46pm
Quoting _BBKing_
yes it's about the matter about his wife forex long position in usd chf before interventetion in september.
i dont think will affect a lot.. who knows?!
anyway im holding a long in eur chf since so much time that another 2-3 days and the swap will be same as equity i used for the trade!
lol

well i closed my gu and au shorts.
nice +20+30 pips just end of the day. (pure luck!)

i go sleep.
good luck with your trades!
sleep tigh..sweet dream..hehe
Bismillah
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