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USD/CHF

  • #3,081
  • Nov 12, 2011 7:56am Nov 12, 2011 7:56am
USD/CHF – Neutral

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=837&h=379
  • #3,082
  • Nov 14, 2011 3:43pm Nov 14, 2011 3:43pm
Buy above 0,93 level with a target 1,00/1.03 it's quite achievable in my opinion.
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  • #3,083
  • Nov 14, 2011 8:28pm Nov 14, 2011 8:28pm
Why do you think it's going to brake out of the trend?

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  • #3,084
  • Nov 26, 2011 2:20pm Nov 26, 2011 2:20pm
Hi people, i hope what i'm doing right now is legal, if not please just delete the post. I've been writing my trades down in some website in my country but i quit writing there, so i created a blog instead. It's all about xxx/chf pares and some other majors less frequently, i thought i would be helpful for some people in case, i'm open for all objections and comments, hoping you all a good weekend, enjoy!

http://swissknifefx.blogspot.com/

Ps: It's in my native language but pictures added tells pretty much all the story there.
  • #3,085
  • Nov 26, 2011 3:28pm Nov 26, 2011 3:28pm
Daily:
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NS followed by a demand bar.

First target: 50fib
Second target: Supply zone (red rectangle)
  • #3,086
  • Nov 29, 2011 8:24pm Nov 29, 2011 8:24pm
Looking for new weakness as technical barriers are now broken, see chart,

Also USD weakening across the board. And US economy still fundamentally fuct.

My favorite pair to get short the buck.

Green dashed potential target. Waiting for some real BLOODSHED>!!!!!
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XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #3,087
  • Nov 30, 2011 6:04am Nov 30, 2011 6:04am
Quoting glopfel
Hi people, i hope what i'm doing right now is legal, if not please just delete the post. I've been writing my trades down in some website in my country but i quit writing there, so i created a blog instead. It's all about xxx/chf pares and some other majors less frequently, i thought i would be helpful for some people in case, i'm open for all objections and comments, hoping you all a good weekend, enjoy!

http://swissknifefx.blogspot.com/

Ps: It's in my native language but pictures added tells pretty much all the story there.
Great blog charts and thanks for posting. Since your English is better than my Turkish (and I thank you for that) would it be possible to provide a translation of your words here or on the blog? I have used various web services and I am not getting much sense. Thank you.
Gone to a better place
  • #3,088
  • Nov 30, 2011 6:24am Nov 30, 2011 6:24am
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Gone to a better place
  • #3,089
  • Edited 9:53am Nov 30, 2011 8:49am | Edited 9:53am
Went Short on USD/CHF yesterday
I am expecting some support at 0.8951 level but it will probably be breaken out by the long downtrend,
although i will probably close the trade at the 0.8951 support level if i see lots of "resistance" on that area. Since i'm a VSA "guy" if it doesn't break the resistance it will for a spring pattern. In that case i will go long because there will probably be the reversal of that long downtrend
  • #3,090
  • Dec 2, 2011 6:28pm Dec 2, 2011 6:28pm
Quoting 2046
USD/CHF is unchartered territory for me but I thought I'd give it a testrun with a technical outlook, would not mind to get hammered for it.

Analysis weekly chart:
- Weak bullish TK cross
- Resistance at current level from lower kumo line and from Chikou line (green) crossing PA 26 candles in past

Outlook weekly chart
- a close above 93140 is required for confirmation of bullish trend
- retrace to lower levels possible before bullish continuation
- a close below 81896 TK line (blue)...
Just reviewing analysis and charts from Oct 10:

In line with analysis, kumo resistance has pushed PA lower to level of daily chart (see post below) before resuming bullish trend.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #3,091
  • Dec 2, 2011 6:50pm Dec 2, 2011 6:50pm
Quoting 2046
D1 Analyis:
- strong bullish TK cross with confirmation from CS (chikou sen) around 79250

- Stochastics and RSI suggest bearish divergence

D1 Outlook:
- inconclusive with S/R levels at:
R1 91448
R2 93140
S1 89175
S2 86731
Review of D1 Analysis/Chart from Oct 10:

PA turned bearish, S1 was respected at first, eventually failed and PA went below S2. projected S2 was close but should have been revised to sit at kumo level which marked the bounce.

Price bounced just as chikou span was giving confirmation for a weak short, but that would have been in contradiction to the chart in weekly TF where still a bullish continuation was anticipated.
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  • #3,092
  • Dec 2, 2011 7:04pm Dec 2, 2011 7:04pm
Quoting 2046
H4 Analysis/Outlook

bearish TK cross at around 91650
add to short pos at supply zone around 91440
SL 91720
S/R levels as D1
TP open at moment
H4 Review of Analysis and Chart from Oct 10:

9144 was not reached but PA was close enough to enter short upon rejection of resistance. A bullish TK cross on Oct 18 with invlalidatedbearish trend with renewed bearish signal on Oct 22, with exit signal on Nov 11...
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  • #3,093
  • Dec 4, 2011 3:03am Dec 4, 2011 3:03am
Hello people, just updated the status for Usd/Chf, enjoy the weekend!

http://swissknifefx.blogspot.com/

Ps: Probably next week i'll start publishing in English as well, sorry for this week already.
  • #3,094
  • Dec 4, 2011 5:01am Dec 4, 2011 5:01am
Here is my view if anybody may find is useful to their analysis.

GBP/CHF is forming a bearish pattern. USD/CHF is showing signs on a reversal.
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  • #3,095
  • Dec 4, 2011 5:12am Dec 4, 2011 5:12am
Quoting Tyoon
Here is my view if anybody may find is useful to their analysis.

GBP/CHF is forming a bearish pattern. USD/CHF is showing signs on a reversal.
i see uchf potential to long after the ib follow by a bullish candle last fri nfp +ve news

just my 2 cents.

happy trading.
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  • #3,096
  • Edited 5:46am Dec 4, 2011 5:30am | Edited 5:46am
Quoting tradpat
i see uchf potential to long after the ib follow by a bullish candle last fri nfp +ve news

just my 2 cents.

happy trading.
I'm watching EUR/USD for USD's moves. It looks like USD is taking EUR south which could have an impact on CHF.

Second chart; CHF green, EUR red.
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  • #3,097
  • Dec 4, 2011 6:05am Dec 4, 2011 6:05am
How do you think about my thoughts USDCHF:
The USD/CHF confirmed further consolidation interior the negative outside day with 0,9265 – 0,9055 still the levels to follow in the coming hours. A possible break of the support confirmed by a daily closing will extend the corrective move toward the 200 days line, now found at 0,8883, scenery that I do not favour!!
The indicators of the daily chart are still below the line while those of the s/t ones are mixed this morning suggesting further consolidation. While below the 200 hours line at 0,9193 I expect the dollar to remain under some pressure.
  • #3,098
  • Dec 7, 2011 12:04am Dec 7, 2011 12:04am
Will it break or wont it?

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Pity the fool who thinks they'll make it overnight...
  • #3,099
  • Edited Dec 11, 2011 4:54am Dec 10, 2011 1:46pm | Edited Dec 11, 2011 4:54am
Quoting glopfel
Hello people, just updated the status for Usd/Chf, enjoy the weekend!



Ps: Probably next week i'll start publishing in English as well, sorry for this week already.

Another week, another update!

As we promised, from this week forward you can also find the comments in English!

Enjoy!
  • #3,100
  • Dec 10, 2011 4:07pm Dec 10, 2011 4:07pm
Overlayed USD/CHF onto the EUR/CHF monthly chart.

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SNB clearly said that they will defend the 1.20 floor and I do believe them because they have too (no choice). I believe they will be not alone in defending this floor.

I think we have seen the bottom for the USD/CHF as the Euro is really in shambles, that means risk off after the Santa rally (equity tumbling positive for USD).
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