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AUD/USD

  • #36,681
  • Nov 29, 2011 10:32pm Nov 29, 2011 10:32pm
15min 200ema good place to long around 9955, I am too impatient unfortunately, hate to miss a move
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  • #36,682
  • Nov 29, 2011 10:36pm Nov 29, 2011 10:36pm
That steep 55ema is encouraging despite the bearish divergence off the 4 hr 200ema.
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  • #36,683
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:17pm Nov 29, 2011 11:17pm
I'm all about 1.0150... Fibs say shes gonna have to hit .9925 at least first....

Liars may fib... but Fibs don't lie....
  • #36,684
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:19pm Nov 29, 2011 11:19pm
buy time for the patient trader confluence of the 1 hr 55ema and 61.8 retrace.
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  • #36,685
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:20pm Nov 29, 2011 11:20pm
Quoting Teddicus
I'm all about 1.0150... Fibs say shes gonna have to hit .9925 at least first....

Liars may fib... but Fibs don't lie....
I like that quote
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,686
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:25pm Nov 29, 2011 11:25pm
Quoting Teddicus
I'm all about 1.0150... Fibs say shes gonna have to hit .9925 at least first....

Liars may fib... but Fibs don't lie....
I see your 38.2 retrace from the bottom point. Looks to be pushing hard into the ema so could be right and I could be in for some drawdown
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  • #36,687
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:27pm Nov 29, 2011 11:27pm
Bill William's Book Recommendations?
  • #36,688
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:30pm Nov 29, 2011 11:30pm
The only thing is, we have already retested the 1 hr 200ema once since breaking through it and it is unusual to retest it again (notice the 200ema sitting right on the 38.2 retrace)unless we are in a head and shoulders which I don't think we are since we have broken through the 4 hr trendline and the 4 hr 55ema is so steep. Will wait and see
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  • #36,689
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:49pm Nov 29, 2011 11:49pm
Quoting Teddicus
I'm all about 1.0150... Fibs say shes gonna have to hit .9925 at least first....

Liars may fib... but Fibs don't lie....
I took my fib from the most recent low for reasons mentioned above (I think).
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,690
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:50pm Nov 29, 2011 11:50pm
Break on the 5 minute... lets see if she stays clean...
  • #36,691
  • Nov 30, 2011 12:11am Nov 30, 2011 12:11am
if nothing really bad out of euro i am looking for 1.02-1.04 (but i am on EST... going to bed)



Quoting Teddicus
Break on the 5 minute... lets see if she stays clean...
  • #36,692
  • Nov 30, 2011 12:18am Nov 30, 2011 12:18am
You and me both... 3 ams are a little much for me....


Holding the break... lets see....

I agree - I was chatting with Mr. "I'll-b-back" about just that.... since everyone is eyeing 93 as downside target.... if this retraces between the 3rd and 4th fib (between 1.03X - 1.04X) of the last downside move (1.07X-.9663).... that puts .93X right in the down side 127% level......
  • #36,693
  • Nov 30, 2011 12:44am Nov 30, 2011 12:44am
well, i am back on; i want to get my stops positive but it keeps pushing down!

i am in at 9962, i just want to see 9985 so i can get about 30 pip between my entry point and breaks the last high on the 5 minute.

yes, i would love to see 9300 after 1.03 - 1.04 ( it would be great to see the euro run up to 3500-3800 so we could short that also :-)

Quoting Teddicus
You and me both... 3 ams are a little much for me....


Holding the break... lets see....

I agree - I was chatting with Mr. "I'll-b-back" about just that.... since everyone is eyeing 93 as downside target.... if this retraces between the 3rd and 4th fib (between 1.03X - 1.04X) of the last downside move (1.07X-.9663).... that puts .93X right in the down side 127% level......
  • #36,694
  • Nov 30, 2011 12:47am Nov 30, 2011 12:47am
Pending 9930, I see what you mean Teddicus, also right on the 4 hr 55ema retest. This is my last friggin' trade, if I wasn't so sure it was going up, I would shoot myself
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  • #36,695
  • Edited 1:03am Nov 30, 2011 12:50am | Edited 1:03am
me too, i am not a brave as you; i closed out my longs, now i am back in at 9962. got my stop in at 9963; going to bed! hope this is a great trade thru the rest of the week :-)

Quoting Ill-b-back
Pending 9930, I see what you mean Teddicus, also right on the 4 hr 55ema retest. This is my last friggin' trade, if I wasn't so sure it was going up, I would shoot myself
  • #36,696
  • Nov 30, 2011 1:05am Nov 30, 2011 1:05am
Quoting mpurdy1973
me too, i am not a brave as you; i closed out my longs, now i am back in at 9962. got my stop in at 9963; going to bed! hope this is a great trade thru the rest of the week :-)
Hmmm, "brave", I dunno, I feel kinda "stupid".
Forex can be great one day and a bitch the next, a bit like golf really. Holding my longs though.
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  • #36,697
  • Nov 30, 2011 1:13am Nov 30, 2011 1:13am
hitting resist @ 0.9987
  • #36,698
  • Nov 30, 2011 1:51am Nov 30, 2011 1:51am
Speculative on AUDUSD breaking parity here.

Long @ 0.9965 with SL @ BE (on the channel boundary)

Anyone thinking it won't break?
  • #36,699
  • Nov 30, 2011 1:53am Nov 30, 2011 1:53am
Great GU trade opp at 1.5516, can go over here to check the graph, rules prevent me showing it here. TP at least 1.5655
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  • #36,700
  • Nov 30, 2011 1:56am Nov 30, 2011 1:56am
Quoting Ill-b-back
Great GU trade opp at 1.5516, can go over here to check the graph, rules prevent me showing it here. TP at least 1.5655
My tp 5730
Come with me if you want to live....
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