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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #9,821
  • Nov 15, 2011 3:38pm Nov 15, 2011 3:38pm
Here's a striaght look at what's going on in Europe and the US,

http://dailyreckoning.com/goldman-to-the-rescue/
Mark ... Everything you have been told is a LIE
  • #9,822
  • Nov 15, 2011 3:53pm Nov 15, 2011 3:53pm
Quoting Blobik
Admit it - who broke the market? Everything stalls... Well, it is just the time when everything stalls. Next move in Asian session... maybe it is designed to let people get some sleep?
Yes it is designed for me to end my 16 hour day at the computer.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #9,823
  • Nov 15, 2011 4:28pm Nov 15, 2011 4:28pm
Debts in France threaten top credit rating

France slumped to 13th place in a eurozone league table of financial security, adding to fears that the second largest economy in the 17-member currency club could lose its top-notch credit status within the next few months.

Analysts said the overall health of the French economy ranked only one place above Italy, and below several countries often mentioned as being near to bankruptcy, including Spain and Ireland.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #9,824
  • Nov 15, 2011 4:44pm Nov 15, 2011 4:44pm
I see potential shorting areas 1.3624, 1.3760 but I have my doubts on the strength of the bulls. Asian session doesn't promise much so I'll just laze around today. Liquidated all my position last night @ 1.3514, now flat.
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  • #9,825
  • Nov 15, 2011 5:00pm Nov 15, 2011 5:00pm
Quoting jeff_b
I see potential shorting areas 1.3624, 1.3760 but I have my doubts on the strength of the bulls. Asian session doesn't promise much so I'll just laze around today. Liquidated all my position last night @ 1.3514, now flat.
The probability of seeing 1.3760 again are very slim. The endgame for Europe is near. The only thing I can see at this point that may drive price up there is a weaker USD.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #9,826
  • Nov 15, 2011 5:10pm Nov 15, 2011 5:10pm
+1, these are PA level I had on the chart. I seriously doubt 1.37 can be reached, much less 1.376. My short orders are @ 1.3624 range.

Quoting PipTrapper
The probability of seeing 1.3760 again are very slim. The endgame for Europe is near. The only thing I can see at this point that may drive price up there is a weaker USD.
  • #9,827
  • Nov 15, 2011 5:12pm Nov 15, 2011 5:12pm
Quoting jeff_b
+1, these are PA level I had on the chart. I seriously doubt 1.37 can be reached, much less 1.376. My short orders are @ 1.3624 range.
I believe you'll see 1.3400 before 1.3624.
Mark ... Everything you have been told is a LIE
  • #9,828
  • Nov 15, 2011 5:27pm Nov 15, 2011 5:27pm
Quoting spzd
I believe you'll see 1.3400 before 1.3624.
That's how it's starting to look at this point. Let's see what the Asian session does. It would have been nice to add to my short positions but I guess I can't be too greedy.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #9,829
  • Nov 15, 2011 5:29pm Nov 15, 2011 5:29pm
Yeah, I started to had baaad feelings about this lack of retracement too... third consecutive day of falling? Even for EUR thats quite a lot, isn't it? But the Asian has not started yet...
  • #9,830
  • Nov 15, 2011 5:56pm Nov 15, 2011 5:56pm
It is falling and falling. I suspect it will go lower without any decent correction but If I initiate a short around here, where is the SL?
  • #9,831
  • Edited 6:24pm Nov 15, 2011 6:12pm | Edited 6:24pm
Quoting w1nner
It is falling and falling. I suspect it will go lower without any decent correction but If I initiate a short around here, where is the SL?
Yeah, I wonder If EUR should go some solid mainteance. It brakes seem to be malfunctioning... Please EUR please retrace at least to the 1.36

But, I would not completely give up hope on possible small retracement. Recently there are less USDs dumped during Asian, but still there is some possibility USD will get a bit weaker.

ADD: Sth strange is happening, either it is a low volume, or the gold going a bit up is first sign that some glimmer of hope is trying to get risk assets higher.
  • #9,832
  • Nov 15, 2011 6:21pm Nov 15, 2011 6:21pm
I'm getting itchy fingers here, 1.35 broken in 5M TF.
  • #9,833
  • Nov 15, 2011 6:23pm Nov 15, 2011 6:23pm
Quoting Blobik
Yeah, I wonder If EUR should go some solid mainteance. It brakes seem to be malfunctioning... Please EUR please retrace at least to the 1.36

But, I would not completely give up hope on possible small retracement. Recently there are less USDs dumped during Asian, but still there is some possibility USD will get a bit weaker.
It broke the previous day's low.. I expected only a very small correction to get in but it escaped from me.
  • #9,834
  • Nov 15, 2011 6:35pm Nov 15, 2011 6:35pm
Quoting w1nner
It broke the previous day's low.. I expected only a very small correction to get in but it escaped from me.
I know, but she moves like dead during Sydney / Tokyo sessions. Well, sth may happen during Asian, but right now I have no idea what is she doing...

Few times I got burned on such "breaks", first she makes lower low (or higher high) and then goes 100 pip the other way. But, that is the Euro.

And what weighs heavily, it is just that risk assets in general have no idea where to go . Without a risk-on day EUR aint gonna fly...

I am going to sleep, I am already very very tired. Goodnight.
  • #9,835
  • Nov 15, 2011 6:52pm Nov 15, 2011 6:52pm
Quoting PipTrapper
The probability of seeing 1.3760 again are very slim. The endgame for Europe is near.
Please, let us not go hyperbolic.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #9,836
  • Nov 15, 2011 7:36pm Nov 15, 2011 7:36pm
On my FXCM UK platform I see a high of 1.3540 and a low of 1.3490

EUR/JPY has a high of 1.0440 and a low of 1.0397 and USD/JPY has a high of 77.12 and a low of 76.97

The low means Yen is getting stronger.

Watch Europe open and Dow Futures. Do not assume anything no matter how bad it looks for Euro. Watch Price Action and new data and follow price of Oil and Gold.

Tomorrow is November 16, 2011 and we are 7 days from "D" day in the USA.

The EUR/USD might test 1.3400 and it might test 1.3600

I have NO SURE IDEA on it so I will just observe. Please ignore my comments and decide for yourself. These are just my thoughts. I am all in cash and very relaxed.

Have a good evening and keep those excellent charts and support and resistance levels out in the open.

I just got home and now I will spend a few hours doing my reading and research. Thursday is jobless claims and I want to see if it stays over 400,000 or under.

Times are interesting and patience is a virtue. Take care and trade safe.
  • #9,837
  • Nov 15, 2011 7:38pm Nov 15, 2011 7:38pm
Global Nuclear War!

Considering 20% of the time markets are in a long term trend, I wonder if long term trending for EURUSD happens every X amount of years. Seems like there are legs and life-cycles to markets, I know they exist in typical stocks, wondering about Forex.

Quoting The Fool
Please, let us not go hyperbolic.
It's easy to be humbled but hard to be humble.
  • #9,838
  • Edited 7:51pm Nov 15, 2011 7:41pm | Edited 7:51pm
Quoting The Fool
Please, let us not go hyperbolic.
AMEN. How easy it is to forget that the US or EZ are not in what we would call Mayberry. Yes EZ in deeper shiznit than US BUT........remember EZ 6 months minimum behind US and none of this matters cause if on NOV 23 the idiots in US government do not come up with a plausible plan going forward to meet US debt without overtaxing economy at expense of minimal growth, then all bets off we go back to at least 1.42.
What needs to be realized by traders is the big boys are watching and I have my paranoia eyeglasses on
At present , fundies say..... down, down down, in a ring of fire.

Unfortunately there is some poor Paulson soul out there with too much capital that we need to team together as a bloc and take them down!
Zero sum game! Blobik..... put your helmet on! Pipkiller put your helmet on and bring your gun! Aaron stand on sideline and question play-calling, FX mindset........just follow play, no artistic interpretation. PT, you call the play, Fool..... try to come up with something that makes us feel better about our shortcomings........as for Gofer Pips.... that A-hole needs to sit on the bench and drink 12 year old single malt Scotch!

My call I bet the farm on 1.3570.... if it gets there!

UH did anybody see my interpretation of the currencies?

I'm not flat... I'm trading to bleed this pig and the AUD.
I will not have but one job as trader by June 1, 2013. Have to take care of present customers and then take all the money from all you contrarian traders!
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  • #9,839
  • Nov 15, 2011 8:08pm Nov 15, 2011 8:08pm
I have posted 3-4 times today, and must be on the ignore list, so I am going stealth!
  • #9,840
  • Nov 15, 2011 8:17pm Nov 15, 2011 8:17pm
Quoting knoholygrail
http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/the-n...48021?FIELD9=2


First consequence: If the Super Committee fails to reach an agreement, the law mandates that across-the-board cuts will be implemented — split evenly between defense and domestic programs.

The defense budget will be cut by $492 billion — nearly a half-trillion dollars. U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has called further defense cuts "nuts," while Army Chief of Staff Gen. Ray Odierno says he is "deathly afraid" of this outcome....
I posted this on November 14, 2011
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