- #5,982
- Oct 28, 2011 3:20am Oct 28, 2011 3:20am
- Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
Another item for your fundamental list...and a biggie on my calendar.
The socalled US appointed super committee better agree by 1st week of Nov otherwise trillions in automatic spending cuts kick in.
Depending on that outcome its possible that the US could face another downgrade by all the reporting agencies.
There are two thing the US has that Europe doesn't.
1. A unified country with a central fiscal authority.
2. Untapped energy resources.
Europe is politically fragmented and depends on imported energy.
#1 may change in the future for Europe, but Energy will always be imported.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
- #5,986
- Oct 28, 2011 3:59am Oct 28, 2011 3:59am
- Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Technical Fundamentalist | 11,563 Posts
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
- #5,987
- Oct 28, 2011 4:00am Oct 28, 2011 4:00am
- Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
- #5,988
- Oct 28, 2011 4:04am Oct 28, 2011 4:04am
- Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Scratching my head. | 3,576 Posts
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
- #5,990
- Oct 28, 2011 4:13am Oct 28, 2011 4:13am
- Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
- #5,991
- Oct 28, 2011 4:14am Oct 28, 2011 4:14am
I agree with PT in his previous post. IMO, that is more in the wishful thinking that in reality. Is true that Poland may have big shale gas but there are key problems that won't be solved in a long long time. First is not completely proven, second is exploitation and third is regulation....""Green"""(big brackets there) europe will require a massive change in their regulation frameworks if shale ever come true as the environmental consequences are way too high and the political cost will be immense.
Finally and probably unsolvable, the...
We need to wait, agree on that. It is still few years to come. But if these resources are as big as estimates, then at least gas will be European. In Poland first estimates were made some time back in the past - am unsure, but I think I found some theoretical babbling about it dated before I was born. But in these time it was unthinkable for a Soviet Union satellite to have its own natural gas source. And the technology was not yet developed. Right now the biggest threat is the fact, that Russia is trying everything in their toolbox to prevent it. From supporting naive "greenies", to buying concessions they don't intend to use. Vladimir knows what he is doing and he knows how to play it well. So its up to european politics, if they stop him or fail.
And Germany and their pipeline - if I earn enough money, then I am hiring a boat, diving suit, and I nice drill to show them what I think about it
- #5,992
- Oct 28, 2011 4:23am Oct 28, 2011 4:23am
- Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
And Germany and their pipeline - if I earn enough money, then I am hiring a boat, diving suit, and I nice drill to show them what I think about it
Economic interests will always sway politics, but with a very fragmented political structure and the resulting differences in economic interests, I agree with sisse that such an undertaking will take years to even reach some kind of agreement, let alone the actual exploration and extraction.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
- #5,993
- Oct 28, 2011 4:25am Oct 28, 2011 4:25am
- Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Technical Fundamentalist | 11,563 Posts
One important thing to note. In eastern Europe "green" means "pro-russian" (only some don't know it yet). And Eastern Europe will do anything to get independent from russian resources. Therefore, maybe in Western Europe shale gas will be hard to pass politically, but it will be much easier in Eastern Europe.
Right now the biggest threat is the fact, that Russia is trying everything in their toolbox to prevent it. From supporting naive "greenies", to buying concessions they don't intend to use. Vladimir knows what he is doing and he...
...I see you are from Poland. The issue is that the regulation is at the EU level not a the national level so thats a big problem.
I see your point. Agree in most and very valid. That's exactly my point that Energy sector will divide Europe more than create a common ground. Russia is too big to mess for the "old" Western Europe and short term they are getting better bang for the buck free riding (i.e germany) and negotiating bilateral agreements with the obvious costs and problems in the long run of energy dependency with Russia ...In all this game eastern Europe is just collateral damage in both sides....sad but true...
sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
- #5,994
- Oct 28, 2011 4:26am Oct 28, 2011 4:26am
Until they find it, it cannot be considered. The US already know they have it. It's just a matter of economics and politics.
I really do hope Europe finds Gas (and oil) as it will be a gift from heaven for them.
Right now it's using LPG, but it has almost tripled price since I started using it... compared to gasoline, which rose about 40% since then, it is too much.
Okay, sorry for the gas offtop
- #5,995
- Oct 28, 2011 4:29am Oct 28, 2011 4:29am
- Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
- #5,996
- Oct 28, 2011 4:31am Oct 28, 2011 4:31am
- Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Trader | 10,724 Posts
@PT,
countries that have a lot of youth are projected to have the highest economic growth in the future. like indonesia
and im gonna make 5% of the growth lol
im still quite basic in macroeconomic analysis theories and bases, but is the resources becoming the major deal on all this?
i need the foundations of where to base analysis of the economy.
resources, (i still dont find it as big a deal.. yet), financial standpoint, supply and demand of investors, GDP growths, seeing previous crises and how it was solved aka using past events to pprobabaly indicate what might happen in a next crisis, cause and effect analysis, international trade, monopoly, oligopoly, taxes, risk etc. thats all i know so far
countries that have a lot of youth are projected to have the highest economic growth in the future. like indonesia
and im gonna make 5% of the growth lol im still quite basic in macroeconomic analysis theories and bases, but is the resources becoming the major deal on all this?
i need the foundations of where to base analysis of the economy.
resources, (i still dont find it as big a deal.. yet), financial standpoint, supply and demand of investors, GDP growths, seeing previous crises and how it was solved aka using past events to pprobabaly indicate what might happen in a next crisis, cause and effect analysis, international trade, monopoly, oligopoly, taxes, risk etc. thats all i know so far
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
- #5,997
- Oct 28, 2011 4:36am Oct 28, 2011 4:36am
...they are getting better bang for the buck free riding (i.e germany) and negotiating bilateral agreements with the obvious costs and problems in the long run of energy dependency with Russia ...In all this game eastern Europe is just collateral damage in both sides....sad but true...
But we are the only nation who managed to get into Moscow
Okay, Napoleon did, but when he was close to the capital most of his troops abandoned him, desertion among Polish ones was one of the lowest. And they still celebrate the day when they finally managed to get us out
OOoops, I am getting sidetracked again. Sorry, we are just quite proud people
- #5,998
- Oct 28, 2011 4:39am Oct 28, 2011 4:39am
- Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
@PT,
countries that have a lot of youth are projected to have the highest economic growth in the future. like indonesia
im still quite basic in macroeconomic analysis theories and bases, but is the resources becoming the major deal on all this?
Resources are assets that produce tax revenues for the state.
Most leading and emerging economies have many competing resources such as productive workers and companies that employ them.
However, those who also have vast water, metal and energy resources, will always have an advantage.
Cheers
PT
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
- #5,999
- Oct 28, 2011 4:43am Oct 28, 2011 4:43am
Buma,
Resources are assets that produce tax revenues for the state.
Most leading and emerging economies have many competing resources such as productive workers and companies that employ them.
However, those who have vast water, metal and energy resources, will always have an advantage.
Cheers
PT
But Economy does not really bother. In fact, in trading the most important thing is to know the highs and lows for the next day
If you could get them out of your crystal ball, then nothing else matters.
- #6,000
- Oct 28, 2011 4:43am Oct 28, 2011 4:43am
- Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it