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EUR/CHF

  • #1,261
  • Sep 13, 2011 8:45am Sep 13, 2011 8:45am
still hold my 2 long positions, one at 1.2013, one at 1.2040, will possible add one more around 1.2025 if price could reach to there and all are stop loss at 1.1980.
  • #1,262
  • Sep 13, 2011 10:26am Sep 13, 2011 10:26am
EUR/USD is moving up EUR/CHF is spiking down.. Makes me wonder
  • #1,263
  • Sep 13, 2011 1:55pm Sep 13, 2011 1:55pm
Quoting Yuchen
still hold my 2 long positions, one at 1.2013, one at 1.2040, will possible add one more around 1.2025 if price could reach to there and all are stop loss at 1.1980.

be careful, SNB might not intervene R I G H T at 1.20000000.
  • #1,264
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:19am Sep 14, 2011 3:19am
Quoting fxadicted
be careful, SNB might not intervene R I G H T at 1.20000000.
One question, SNB announce EUR/CHF CAP before 10 days. Did they sold/print some extra CHF in last 10 days???
  • #1,265
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:23am Sep 14, 2011 3:23am
Quoting halkins
So might be better to buy CALL OPTIONS or apply any other option strategy...
At least you won't be hit by any spikes and you can sleep well not being worried about your stop loss orders...
Just collect yr money in the midle of October
(BLUE) is the profit line on expiry date

Here's profit line of 6 weeks simple (1Lot size)
BUY CALL OPTION (strike:1.2000)
Attachment

Here's profit line of 6 weeks simple (1Lot size)
BUY CALL OPTION (strike:1.2200)
SELL CALL OPTION (strike: 1.2400)
Attachment



----...
Problem with your calls is the devaluation over time the closer we get to expiry and f we close below your call strike then it will become worthless.
What's the expiry date you bought?
  • #1,266
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:27am Sep 14, 2011 3:27am
Quoting random8
One question, SNB announce EUR/CHF CAP before 10 days. Did they sold/print some extra CHF in last 10 days???
They didn't move a finger yet…
All they did was threatening.
SNB is like barking dog… might bite if you get to close to his 1.2000 level bone

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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #1,267
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:30am Sep 14, 2011 3:30am
Quoting hutrader
Problem with your calls is the devaluation over time the closer we get to expiry and f we close below your call strike then it will become worthless.
What's the expiry date you bought?
I didn't buy it yet, although I'm considering getting into ALWAYS WIN scenario with small capital invested...
Expiry was 24/10/2011
Blue Line is expiry profit/loss line on 24/10/2011
Red Line is profit/loss today
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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #1,268
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:39am Sep 14, 2011 3:39am
Quoting halkins
They didn't move a finger yet…
All they did was threatening.
SNB is like barking dog… might bite if you get to close to his 1.2000 level bone

----
I think this is _JUST_ proof of concept. Last 10 days trading is between 1.20 and 1.21 With that logic, SNB can set limit between 1.30 - 1.31 and create play ground for kids

Who is brave to buy CHF on 1.18 if there is a possibility to new higher limit?

Did eur/chf pair increase or decrease volume in last 10 days?
  • #1,269
  • Sep 14, 2011 4:16am Sep 14, 2011 4:16am
Quoting random8
I think this is _JUST_ proof of concept. Last 10 days trading is between 1.20 and 1.21 With that logic, SNB can set limit between 1.30 - 1.31 and create play ground for kids

Who is brave to buy CHF on 1.18 if there is a possibility to new higher limit?

Did eur/chf pair increase or decrease volume in last 10 days?
Could be a test for another move, cause anything under 1.40 is actually not ok for swiss economy. One way or another, I think we'll soon see much higher levels of EURCHF
  • #1,270
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:04am Sep 14, 2011 6:04am
Quoting fxadicted
be careful, SNB might not intervene R I G H T at 1.20000000.
Ya, that's why i only enter small amount with stop at 1.1980, we will see.
  • #1,271
  • Sep 14, 2011 8:35am Sep 14, 2011 8:35am
I have 4 open positions now. they are all 0.1 lots at 1.2013, 1.2025, 1.2030 and 1.2031, need to wait for 1 hour closed up 1.2050 to confirm the temporay bottom and need to break 1.2090 to test next level which is around 1.2160.
All postions are stop at 1.1980, which means i will lose 200 dollars (5% of my total equity) if i got stopped therefore i am not going to add anymore before it breaks 1.2090. will be patient to see how the market goes.
  • #1,272
  • Sep 14, 2011 10:54pm Sep 14, 2011 10:54pm
Euro/Chf This pair is on daily uptrend, yesterday was good opportunity to buy at retracement 1.2020/25, despite market price didn't move a lot upward afterward but good price to hold a buy order at before today very important Chf News Release, today retracement is at 1.2030/35, break is to 1.1880/90 if broke below 1.2000 first, while high is at 1.2390/00
  • #1,273
  • Sep 14, 2011 11:15pm Sep 14, 2011 11:15pm
This pair just seems dead to me.

It has stayed in a 10 pip range for the past 48 hours, and then it popped up maybe 20 pips today.

It reminds me of several years ago when this pair hardly moved, and the Euro/$ and DollarSwiss pairs are a mirror image of each other. SNB seems to have this thing on lockdown.
  • #1,274
  • Sep 15, 2011 3:43am Sep 15, 2011 3:43am
Quoting Price
This pair just seems dead to me.

It has stayed in a 10 pip range for the past 48 hours, and then it popped up maybe 20 pips today.
Agree... there's no sense to trade this pair unless applaying my "ALWAYS WIN" PUT-option-contracts scenario which I described on Monday.
You earn money even if price doesn't move at all... so only this makes sense with EURCHF now.

OK, something else...
Guys, I’ve been aware of Greek problems, have heard news all the time in media, but only this morning I realize how I hopeless and pathetic is this situation after they used this tricky comparison on radio:
The Greek debt is like a person earning 20.000GBP per annum with a 1.000.000GBP mortgage debt to pay…
Even children, grand children and grand-grand children will not be able to pay this back...


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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #1,275
  • Sep 15, 2011 4:17am Sep 15, 2011 4:17am
Anyone using EUR/CHF for carry trade? Like longing it to get the overnight swaps?
  • #1,276
  • Sep 15, 2011 4:21am Sep 15, 2011 4:21am
Quoting enivid
Anyone using EUR/CHF for carry trade? Like longing it to get the overnight swaps?
It's not very interesting because of small swap paints. But it current situation not so risky loke to go long Oz. But swap in long Oz very attractive.
  • #1,277
  • Sep 15, 2011 1:30pm Sep 15, 2011 1:30pm
Hello, I'm in short position at 1.2031 with SL at 1.2180. Why? Because I see divergence on D1, the Murrey level "+1/8 Sell" was broken...
The same situation I have on GBPCHF and USDCHF, but for these pairs is good trade.
For EURCHF I'm not sure in the down moving. May be is bettere to close this position? How do you think?
  • #1,278
  • Sep 15, 2011 2:41pm Sep 15, 2011 2:41pm
Quoting gumig
Hello, I'm in short position at 1.2031 with SL at 1.2180. Why? Because I see divergence on D1, the Murrey level "+1/8 Sell" was broken...
The same situation I have on GBPCHF and USDCHF, but for these pairs is good trade.
For EURCHF I'm not sure in the down moving. May be is bettere to close this position? How do you think?
Hi gumig...
You entered short at 1.2031 with SL at 1.2180. So where's you target?
Where do you want to close you position?
You put at risk 0,0149. If trading 1Lot you're risking nearly 1.500 CHF !!!
For what??? For 300 CHF???
It doesn't make any sense for me...
You'll find better odds playing roulette in casino


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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #1,279
  • Sep 15, 2011 4:04pm Sep 15, 2011 4:04pm
Quoting gumig
Hello, I'm in short position at 1.2031 with SL at 1.2180. Why? Because I see divergence on D1, the Murrey level "+1/8 Sell" was broken...
The same situation I have on GBPCHF and USDCHF, but for these pairs is good trade.
For EURCHF I'm not sure in the down moving. May be is bettere to close this position? How do you think?
I played completely opposite as you. I have several in long position around 1.2020 to 1.2030 and set all the stops 1.1980. if it breaks 1.2100 i think it will slowly move to 1.2180.
I am not 100% trust SNB but they stated they would protect it at 1.2000 so as long as 1.2000 did not break, i will not short this pair. and if you set a 150 pips stop that means your profit target should be at least 150+ otherwise there is no point to take such a high risk right? if you do so, why do not you put a sell stop at 1.1980 with small stop like 40-50 pips stop? because if SNB could not protect 1.2000, then break 1.1980 could result sufficient big down move, otherwise, 1,2031 could considered as a bottom to sell.
Also be careful for your short USD/CHF, it looks good for now but seems 8550-70 is a strong support area and that would be where i decide to long with stop at 8500.
  • #1,280
  • Sep 15, 2011 6:19pm Sep 15, 2011 6:19pm
Euro/Chf This pair is on daily uptrend, today retracement is at 1.2050/55, break is to 1.1970/75 if broke below 1.2000 first, while on the upside to target 1.2100/05 then 1.2120 and possibly 1.2145/50
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