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  • #522,361
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:51pm Aug 14, 2011 5:51pm
Quoting OldQuant
Exactly right. At its root is eigenvectors; the "factor weights" are just (possibly renormalized) eigenvalues.
I have to admit though that on <= M1 the standard static weightings are statistically not so bad if used correctly in a bigger context...

Other simple static approaches can be found e.g.

http://www.cutthespread.com/spread-b...urrent-reality

http://www.cutthespread.com/spread-b...s-dollar-index

They do work better on the larger tfs but in my opinion are not so good on the smaller ones + they still suffer the same fundamental problem like the original indices when shit hits the fan.

Still have to come up with a fully automatic adaptive one... The key is somewhere in this definitly.
  • #522,362
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:51pm Aug 14, 2011 5:51pm
4282 is a big levels in the Murrey Math world right now...no real surprise there based on recent action.

Bearish Gartley trying to form on M15...could mean nada.

Just a couple observations from some of my periphery charts.
  • #522,363
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:52pm Aug 14, 2011 5:52pm
Quoting buonvangvn
Morning .
Yo!

Yep...slow!
  • #522,364
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:52pm Aug 14, 2011 5:52pm
Quoting kenfen69
4282 is a big levels in the Murrey Math world right now...no real surprise there based on recent action.

Bearish Gartley trying to form on M15...could mean nada.

Just a couple observations from some of my periphery charts.
Got 4280'ish and possible top'ish.

H4 looks compressed all to hell as well.
  • #522,365
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:53pm Aug 14, 2011 5:53pm
Here, BTW, is ZB vs E/D Friday through now. That gap in time for ZB is because of the time of open.

Must be away now for 15 min or so.
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  • #522,366
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:54pm Aug 14, 2011 5:54pm
Quoting Venice
Anyone invest in TBill auctions? Seems to me you have to move a lot of cash just to make any bit profitable out of that. Love to get a few more 'safe' investments rolling, but about all I have is savings accounts... and they are crap. 1% apr. whoohoo.
Have never done, V man. Have drank Grey Goose with V8 many times, though...as recently as this afternoon with brunch. Well, Clamato juice, actually...spicy!
  • #522,367
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:55pm Aug 14, 2011 5:55pm
Inserted Video
  • #522,368
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:55pm Aug 14, 2011 5:55pm
Btw good evening everbody When looking at some posts of the weekend...

Someone please call the

Inserted Video


  • #522,369
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:56pm Aug 14, 2011 5:56pm
Quoting OldQuant
Here, BTW, is ZB vs E/D Friday through now. That gap in time for ZB is because of the time of open.

Must be away now for 15 min or so.
Noice one!
  • #522,370
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:58pm Aug 14, 2011 5:58pm
Quoting yoursong
Btw good evening everbody When looking at some posts of the weekend...

Someone please call the

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uzB8M...5ECF62FBED22BD
Fak sake...I saw that tour when I was about 10 or something. My older sister brought me. My how time flies.
  • #522,371
  • Aug 14, 2011 5:59pm Aug 14, 2011 5:59pm
Quoting OldQuant
Be aware, though, that since then there was some decoupling that came with the FOMC minutes, as well as the poorest received long bond auction in many years. Day in and out, the "10 year" T-Note is probably a better choice for such comparisons.
Spain cancelled theirs... lol

I only look at the 10 year note to be honest.

10 year t-note has hit demand on the yield chart. Can it go to below 2%? Anything is possible especially in the current climate and people want to park their cash in the relative safety of bonds, but I could not buy the t-note at those prices and yields! Looks like a sell to me, although I would rather wait for now as I see the current rise in equities to be short-lived before another big correction to test 1000 on ES and possibly lower. VIX has reached new heights and it is a time for short-term trading on some instruments. In and out is the order of the day.

Anyway, the clock is about to strike midnight here and I need to get some beauty sleep. Bedtime cigarette and a last swig of my pint before I hit the sack.
  • #522,372
  • Aug 14, 2011 6:01pm Aug 14, 2011 6:01pm
Quoting kenfen69
Fak sake...I saw that tour when I was about 10 or something. My older sister brought me. My how time flies.
  • #522,373
  • Aug 14, 2011 6:01pm Aug 14, 2011 6:01pm
Quoting kenfen69
Have never done, V man. Have drank Grey Goose with V8 many times, though...as recently as this afternoon with brunch. Well, Clamato juice, actually...spicy!
Ewww... I haven't been able to stomach spicy and tomato juice... lol, just haven't been able to do it yet.

And Hmm... clamato... makes me think of this!

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_QkaMfpOD1b...Js/s400/-1.jpg

Stay away at all costs!! lol
  • #522,374
  • Aug 14, 2011 6:03pm Aug 14, 2011 6:03pm
D1

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...71#post4869071
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: buonvangvn_____yahoo____com.gif Size: 29 KB
  • #522,375
  • Aug 14, 2011 6:05pm Aug 14, 2011 6:05pm
Quoting kenfen69
Fak sake...I saw that tour when I was about 10 or something. My older sister brought me. My how time flies.
'84? That's me birth year!
  • #522,376
  • Edited 6:37pm Aug 14, 2011 6:09pm | Edited 6:37pm
Btw for all those GAPpers again...

There is only _one_ thing that you could probably say is right and in comparison true in the forex market (and like Derman likes to say it if something is right it does not mean its true)... it is a trending market. That's all you can assume about it. You cannot predict it (again like he mentions then there would be no markets) but it trends... on some timeframe or another. Now check your "gaps" and check the lower tfs "trend" short before close. Guess where Wellington picks up most of the time if the trend was not exhausted? And guess what you then see on your opening a few hours later?
  • #522,377
  • Aug 14, 2011 6:10pm Aug 14, 2011 6:10pm
Quoting Venice
Ewww... I haven't been able to stomach spicy and tomato juice... lol, just haven't been able to do it yet.

And Hmm... clamato... makes me think of this!

Stay away at all costs!! lol
Ick...Bud and anything! Got to be late in the night/early morning...and NO other options to cross my lips!

Mott's Clamato...Canadian delicacy! Love's me some Caesars with Sunday brunch!

Attached Image


Clam broth and tomato juice...together at last!
  • #522,378
  • Aug 14, 2011 6:11pm Aug 14, 2011 6:11pm
Quoting kenfen69
Ick...Bud and anything! Got to be late in the night/early morning to cross my lipe!

Mott's Clamato...Canadian delicacy! Love's me some Caesars with Sunday brunch!

Attachment

Clam broth and tomato juice...together at last!
  • #522,379
  • Aug 14, 2011 6:11pm Aug 14, 2011 6:11pm
Quoting Venice
Anyone invest in TBill auctions? Seems to me you have to move a lot of cash just to make any bit profitable out of that. Love to get a few more 'safe' investments rolling, but about all I have is savings accounts... and they are crap. 1% apr. whoohoo.
I missed the trade of the year in July...I was going to buy Vix Calls at 1.50....Dec 27.50 calls.....U dont wanna know what I coulda made....Im gonna do it in reverse and buy puts when we make another leg down in the S&P
  • #522,380
  • Aug 14, 2011 6:12pm Aug 14, 2011 6:12pm
Quoting Venice
'84? That's me birth year!
Jaysus...lucky duck!
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