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USD/CHF

  • #2,001
  • Jun 1, 2011 5:17am Jun 1, 2011 5:17am
H4 flag. Good Swissy figures this morning and poor ADP will let this play out to technical target of <.8100. It didn't even make it to resistance at .8550.

Chart:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf110601h4j.jpg Size: 228 KB
Gone to a better place
  • #2,002
  • Jun 1, 2011 8:25am Jun 1, 2011 8:25am
arhhh...this pair is killlinggg mee...it seems like it is seeing no bottom...
  • #2,003
  • Jun 1, 2011 8:57am Jun 1, 2011 8:57am
target this year 0.5000
  • #2,004
  • Jun 1, 2011 9:01am Jun 1, 2011 9:01am
Quoting honeybhi
Monthly
Previous chart and present one.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: swissy.jpg Size: 63 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: swi.jpg Size: 65 KB
  • #2,005
  • Jun 1, 2011 9:54am Jun 1, 2011 9:54am
nice!
Quoting honeybhi
Previous chart and present one.
  • #2,006
  • Jun 1, 2011 11:34am Jun 1, 2011 11:34am
LOL - I like it! 8500 hit breach gave us sub 8400!

Longer Term I'm looking for 7850 and 7500.

At 50 cents we may see some kind of intervention cause that would be pretty pathetic!

Really depends on EUR/CHF intervention wise I think. Which is still slip sliding away.


Quoting luc.voia
target this year 0.5000
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #2,007
  • Jun 1, 2011 7:22pm Jun 1, 2011 7:22pm
Hi everyone, I have the experience to say that this is a continuous downtrend its under the 50 and 200 ema's & after analyzing the chart it's guaranteed, correct me if am wrong.

Many Thanks
  • #2,008
  • Jun 3, 2011 7:02am Jun 3, 2011 7:02am
It's a simple game:

EUR/USD 1.50 vs USD/CHF 0.75

EUR/USD 1.60 vs USD/CHF 0.65 or 0.50

@50 cents USD/CHF "The doctor will prescribe antibiotics to kill "clients cancer"




Quoting XTrade
LOL - I like it! 8500 hit breach gave us sub 8400!

Longer Term I'm looking for 7850 and 7500.

At 50 cents we may see some kind of intervention cause that would be pretty pathetic!

Really depends on EUR/CHF intervention wise I think. Which is still slip sliding away.
  • #2,009
  • Jun 3, 2011 9:03am Jun 3, 2011 9:03am
He he, just remember for evrey seller there needs to be a buyer and right now somebody is holding the bag open to absorb all the shorts, just look at your chart. Bad news (all the sheep falling over the cliff)= discount. Wonder who is buying right now?

Cheers
  • #2,010
  • Jun 3, 2011 12:07pm Jun 3, 2011 12:07pm
USD/CHF Short option for next week at 0.8545. If we could see a pullback.

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-c3L4ujIA8O...+on+usdchf.png
  • #2,011
  • Jun 4, 2011 5:32am Jun 4, 2011 5:32am
going long here at around .83 lows for USDCHF. Setup is a channel bounce and a deep crab pattern. inital target is 8550 and probably target high 86's

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf-channel-crab-trade.jpg Size: 97 KB
  • #2,012
  • Jun 4, 2011 10:01am Jun 4, 2011 10:01am
I have a short position on USD/CHF: USD/CHF–Possible short signal (D1RTT)

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/image13.png
  • #2,013
  • Jun 4, 2011 10:30am Jun 4, 2011 10:30am
Quoting clc4x
I have a short position on USD/CHF: USD/CHF–Possible short signal (D1RTT)

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/image13.png
i already closed mine as a setup last week: http://pinoyforex.org/blog/wp-conten...05/asctria.gif

i think we will expect a bounce here, so that is my play.
  • #2,014
  • Jun 4, 2011 2:39pm Jun 4, 2011 2:39pm
Play is to short next bounce to oblivion.

New revised LT targets. 8000 and 7500
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #2,015
  • Jun 5, 2011 8:05am Jun 5, 2011 8:05am
............
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHF- Daily.JPG Size: 116 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHF-Monthly.jpg Size: 106 KB
  • #2,016
  • Jun 5, 2011 10:00am Jun 5, 2011 10:00am
I wouldn't count on seeing ANYTHING above parity any time soon.

This short is so old, it will take more than a few hundred pips to squeeze the shorts.

I agree with a bounce. Let's see if this thing can make it to 8760 before even looking at the 9s.

The pair always bounces. But when it falls lately it falls.

Red lines - resistance. places to short. Always look at PA and news first.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd_chf.GIF Size: 28 KB
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #2,017
  • Jun 5, 2011 10:09am Jun 5, 2011 10:09am
Not to mention this pair is where it is with GOOD reason.

The US is in turmoil. Switzerland is not. Last weeks numbers were incredibly strong for the CHF and Weak for the USD.

Even if the SNB were to buy a bunch of USD so what? It will make the pair rise artificially maybe 3oo to 4oo pips. Then what? It will not create a reversal by any means.

Then everyone will have a greater entry point to short the pair back to where it was.

Look at what happened when the BOJ pumped BILLIONS into USD and out of JPY. The pair rose 500 pips and is right back where it was before.

I have said this before and will say it again. THe ONLY way Central Bank intervention "might" create a true reversal is if Multiple CBs say 3 or more were to intervene all at once and possibly repeatedly in the same currency.

As of now there is no sign of reversal. Just retracement. If you are not already short, wait for pullback or trade with a tight stop. Not too tight otherwise you are just pissing money away.

Targets remain 8000 and on breach 7500
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #2,018
  • Jun 5, 2011 11:18am Jun 5, 2011 11:18am
Quoting XTrade
Not to mention this pair is where it is with GOOD reason.

The US is in turmoil. Switzerland is not. Last weeks numbers were incredibly strong for the CHF and Weak for the USD.

Even if the SNB were to buy a bunch of USD so what? It will make the pair rise artificially maybe 3oo to 4oo pips. Then what? It will not create a reversal by any means.

Then everyone will have a greater entry point to short the pair back to where it was.

Look at what happened when the BOJ pumped BILLIONS into USD and out of JPY. The pair rose 500 pips and is right...
now now,your trying to say that you have deeper pockets then central banks maybe ?I think its a clear signal to rethink your strategy once bank makes a 500pip intervention other than that i think close number to 81 is possible,but 75 is more like expecting jesus to return
  • #2,019
  • Jun 5, 2011 4:13pm Jun 5, 2011 4:13pm
Guys,
No other CB will come to aid for the SNB.
As mentioned one way is to change terms and conditions over night preferably over a weekend such as they have done in the bullion market for silver (by the way we all know why they have done that, and no its not because of the silver price).
Another way too weaken the CHF is to impose..... read the PDF.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Negative interest.pdf   281 KB | 925 downloads


Cheers
  • #2,020
  • Jun 6, 2011 2:48am Jun 6, 2011 2:48am
Ush/Chf Buy 0.8280/85 then 0.8250/55, sell 0.8435/40 then 0.8485/90 then 0.8525/30

Usd/Chf This pair is still on daily downtrend, retracement is at 0.8400 break and base above is to 0.8530, while low is at 0.8300/05, break is to the above buy signals
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