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  • #1,981
  • May 30, 2011 1:00am May 30, 2011 1:00am
I do not enter into conflict replies with your kinds little boy. At least, before replying with offensive words, try to educate yourself & know what really happen and have a logical excuse for why Chf powered other than the ridiculous "dollar & euro weakness"
Lol, then why did Gbp/chf also weaken if the sterling was powerful besides the Euro was also powerful but only failed against the Chf.
Ofcourse, IMF do not raise rates you "genius" and if you read my post well you could had understood what I said: "urged", besides i do not believe in such bubble scenarios you are saying, many like you were doubting the Aussie to pass even the 1.000 level at past but now they are astonished, the same might happen with the Chf pairs and only Fed end of this bad quantitative policy and hopes for new good policy that talks about increase of interest rates and dealing right with inflation that bernanke do not even admit that it exists.. might save this pair and the dollar as basic.
Also, continuation of conflict in the middle east and north africa would not easily diminish the Chf power role.
Briefly, I am posting now for other traders to know the real truth of what happened and would happen.
  • #1,982
  • May 30, 2011 1:05am May 30, 2011 1:05am
Usd/Chf buy 0.8390/95 then 0.8340/45, sell 0.8665/70 then 0.8740/45

This pair is still on downtrend, retracement is at 0.8600, break & base above is to 0.8720 then 0.8740/50 must hold, while low is to the above buy signals
  • #1,983
  • May 30, 2011 1:14am May 30, 2011 1:14am
Quoting FXMoneMaker
Usd/Chf buy 0.8390/95 then 0.8340/45, sell 0.8665/70 then 0.8740/45

This pair is still on downtrend, retracement is at 0.8600, break & base above is to 0.8720 then 0.8740/50 must hold, while low is to the above buy signals



Hi FXMoneMaker,

Do u reckon that usdchf will touch 8390? that is very low and fantastic with swiss.

I have buy position @8674 and 8583. I will suffer if it touches 8390.
do u think it is a good decision to still hold the positions?
  • #1,984
  • May 30, 2011 1:28am May 30, 2011 1:28am
Quoting FXMoneMaker;4653027[quote
]I do not enter into conflict replies with your kinds little boy.
You just have

Quote
At least, before replying with offensive words
Apologize about that.

Quote
Lol, then why did Gbp/chf also weaken if the sterling was powerful besides the Euro was also powerful but only failed against the Chf.
Did you see the latest economic numbers ?

Quote
Ofcourse, IMF do not raise rates you "genius"
I'm so glad about that!!

Quote
many like you were doubting the Aussie to pass even the 1.000 level at past but now they are astonished,
No not at all, in fact go on the AUD thread before making any assumption.

Green pips to you.

Cheers
  • #1,985
  • May 30, 2011 1:52am May 30, 2011 1:52am
Hello "st.forex4677",

I do not know when & why had you bought Usd/Chf at such prices, and if you had enough good pips gain to close or you gambled as many other traders do by living in illussions of this pair and the other chf pairs would spike up at anytime due to intervention or such illussional reasons.
Take Note that such prices might had been for short term some pips gain at first contact but not to buy and keep open for long period.
Many Traders I know were saying that 0.9500 then 0.9000 where perfect buys for long term and were not taking my analysis words seriously when I said that this pair is starting a downtrend movement...

Anyway, as I mentioned in my above post, I am not saying that this pair destiny is to the downside, there's still possibility of upward movement especially with the Fed QE end next month & even if SNB raise interest rates the market might act to it with a surprise of Chf pairs spiking upward due to a mysterious reason for how traders or big traders or investors as banks read this action by SNB, many times the good news isn't neccesary to power a currency, it might also weaken it, yen pairs collapse after Japan earthquake, tsunami, nuclear problems... before intervention took it up again is a perfect example, but there are also dangerous reasons for a continuaton of downtrend for the chf pairs with new historic lows.

But Usd/chf hitting a very crucial support price at 0.8460 in last minutes of friday market close and beggining this week above, still gives some hope but below that price would make me keep too cautious about targetting 0.8000 psycological level later on...
Read my daily update for this pair to know what would be the next possible movement...
  • #1,986
  • May 30, 2011 7:07am May 30, 2011 7:07am
Quoting jezek5
My .8450 target not far off now.
Might even buy down there.
Then again i might wait for .8000.
12 pips off,i need to sharpen up a bit.
Oh,and i'm not buying yet,that's just to risky.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #1,987
  • May 30, 2011 7:18am May 30, 2011 7:18am
Quoting FXMoneMaker
Usd/Chf This pair is still on downtrend from 3 days, well this new downtrend appeared more powerful than expected, an early morning wake at news historic lows is very attractice for keep buying.
I believe that the forex market is being somehow ridiculous with such price movements for the Chf pairs, only depending on a news about new conflict or continuation in the middle east and north africa, with also the yen pairs collapsing at every news about earthquake or tsunami or nuclear areas problems in Japan, so all keep selling these pairs in the name...
So,reading your post you seem to think trading is all about the news do you?it's true the news provides the liquidity needed to move a thinly traded pair like this,but don't always expect the news to match the movement direction you think is going to happen.
As for your comment on this pair being in a down trend for 3 days...
i think you'll find it's been in a down trend for over 10 years,
good trading to you.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #1,988
  • May 30, 2011 7:33am May 30, 2011 7:33am
Still going south. will probably hit the 0.83 level.. im short on the usd/chf
  • #1,989
  • May 30, 2011 8:07am May 30, 2011 8:07am
Hi Jezek5,

If you read my post well, you could had concluded that I do not just rely on news release and the part I talk about:
"even if SNB raise interest rates the market might act to it with a surprise of Chf pairs spiking upward due to a mysterious reason for how traders or big traders or investors as banks read this action by SNB, many times the good news isn't neccesary to power a currency, it might also weaken it"
shows you clearly what I mean...

And, about Usd/Chf is on downtrend from 3 past forex days,
Take note that I rely on daily chart analysis for this conclusion.
Even a small kid can know by opening this pair monthly chart that it had been on downtrend from 2001..nice try fellow
Anyway, in coming weeks when I have enough time to post my analysis for many pairs, also Gold & Oil. I am sure you'll be using my signals to gain Big Money in the forex market and I'll be happy for you and all other traders for such Great Result...
  • #1,990
  • Edited 8:56am May 30, 2011 8:12am | Edited 8:56am
Quoting FXMoneMaker
Hi Jezek5,

If you read my post well, you could had concluded that I do not just rely on news release and the part I talk about:
"even if SNB raise interest rates the market might act to it with a surprise of Chf pairs spiking upward due to a mysterious reason for how traders or big traders or investors as banks read this action by SNB, many times the good news isn't neccesary to power a currency, it might also weaken it"
shows you clearly what I mean...

And, about Usd/Chf is on downtrend from 3 past forex days,
Take note that I rely on daily...
Oh yummy,your going to make some trade calls,
i can't wait,thanks.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #1,991
  • May 30, 2011 3:22pm May 30, 2011 3:22pm
i dont have much experience or luck in forex trading but,anyone hopping for a good bounce save your money today it went into 84,but the bounce was short lived,im basing this from the candle charts,and anyone willing to put money wait for 83 with tight SL.
  • #1,992
  • May 30, 2011 7:08pm May 30, 2011 7:08pm
Quoting FXMoneMaker
Hello "st.forex4677",

I do not know when & why had you bought Usd/Chf at such prices, and if you had enough good pips gain to close or you gambled as many other traders do by living in illussions of this pair and the other chf pairs would spike up at anytime due to intervention or such illussional reasons.
Take Note that such prices might had been for short term some pips gain at first contact but not to buy and keep open for long period.
Many Traders I know were saying that 0.9500 then 0.9000 where perfect buys for long term and were not taking...


Hi FXMoneMaker,

yup still positive that this usdchf will go to north early next month which is tomorrow.
I am sure traders still have their faith in USD

It might goes up to 8700 before hit to crucial point @0.8000

I stress full with this forex trading. It is just so wrong.
always entry in opposite direction of the market trend

"Crossed finger" usdchf will go north anytime this week.
  • #1,993
  • May 31, 2011 12:14am May 31, 2011 12:14am
Quoting st.forex4677
Hi FXMoneMaker,

yup still positive that this usdchf will go to north early next month which is tomorrow.
I am sure traders still have their faith in USD

It might goes up to 8700 before hit to crucial point @0.8000

I stress full with this forex trading. It is just so wrong.
always entry in opposite direction of the market trend

"Crossed finger" usdchf will go north anytime this week.
I am with you! :-) Soon we going to 0.87 and if break 0.8925 then up to 0.93 :-)
  • #1,994
  • May 31, 2011 1:53am May 31, 2011 1:53am
Usd/Chf This pair is still on daily chart downtrend, retracement is at 0.8560 break is to 0.8690/00, break and base above would lead to 0.8740 that must hold while new historic low might be at 0.8440/50
  • #1,995
  • May 31, 2011 4:03am May 31, 2011 4:03am
Quoting lonely0wolf
I am with you! :-) Soon we going to 0.87 and if break 0.8925 then up to 0.93 :-)

Hey Lonely0wolf,

it seems that u also took buy entry usdchf...
we just wait the price heading to north and hit 87 88 89

What price did you take?
  • #1,996
  • May 31, 2011 4:11am May 31, 2011 4:11am
Quoting FXMoneMaker
Usd/Chf This pair is still on daily chart downtrend, retracement is at 0.8560 break is to 0.8690/00, break and base above would lead to 0.8740 that must hold while new historic low might be at 0.8440/50



yup...the usd/chf is on the way to north
the swiss data economic was not good.

Quoted from Jonathan Granby Dailyfx:
The Growth economy during Q1 2011 slowed dramatically from Q4 2010 and grew at a much slower than expected pace.

Quarter-on-quarter GDP came in at 0.3% missing expectations of 0.7% and slowing from 0.8% (revised down from 0.9%) in Q4 2010. The reading marks the slowest quarter of growth since recovering from four-straight quarters of contraction at the end of 2008 and early 2009.


A glance at the breakdown shows that despite low interest rates investment declined 0.3% q/q after 3.8% expansion in the final quarter of 2010, additionally the decent strength in the economy has led to little need for fiscal stimulus and as such government consumption slid 0.3% too. Other areas of weakness include household consumption and imports which both climbed at tepid rates. The shining light, as was expected amid a pick up in global demand, was exports which climbed 5.7% q/q.



The franc showed only muted reaction to the softer than expected reading and continued to ease against the euro (above) as news that Germany is considering a looser stance with Greece dominates price action. The Swiss franc has been trading at record highs against both the euro and US dollar recently and the government has launched measures to protect business from franc strength. The franc has been bought up as a safe haven asset, a shelter from the turmoil that is taking place across the EMU and until this turbulence subsides is likely to remain unusually strong. In the near-term we favour some unwinding of safe haven plays and a modest weakening in the franc as it consolidates its recent records against the euro and US dollar but we cannot rule out fresh record lows in Eur/Chf or Usd/Chf should things worsen on the EMU periphery.
  • #1,997
  • May 31, 2011 5:00am May 31, 2011 5:00am
Quoting st.forex4677
Hey Lonely0wolf,

it seems that u also took buy entry usdchf...
we just wait the price heading to north and hit 87 88 89

What price did you take?
I bought at 0.8479 with takeprofit at 0.8630-10
  • #1,998
  • May 31, 2011 7:42am May 31, 2011 7:42am
Omg so many noobs in here,do any of you believe that chf is so high because of its economic numbers theres not a single signal to support change of trend in usd/chf and yet few lasts posts speak here that they expect it to rise it to 86 and above when in the last few weeks it just dropped after reaching 89,dont buy and hope that something gonna happen,as religion wont help u.
  • #1,999
  • May 31, 2011 11:49am May 31, 2011 11:49am
Quoting lonely0wolf
I bought at 0.8479 with takeprofit at 0.8630-10

Wow big target u got there. Nice position Lonely0wolf
  • #2,000
  • May 31, 2011 12:17pm May 31, 2011 12:17pm
this pair looks not willing to roll over the 14 MA on the 4 hours, things don't look good. lots of critical news tomorrow till the end of the week.
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