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USD/CHF

  • #1,901
  • Edited 9:56am May 5, 2011 9:55am | Edited 9:56am
Quoting geoffl
Oops! I got stopped out for the remaining 30k...oh well, been a good ride, let's see how it closes today...interesting days ahead!
sorry no 1.50 for the eur/usd and no 85 for usd/chf, my fault

but 1.40 for eur/usd and 95 for usd/chf is still in play

Charts later....
  • #1,902
  • May 5, 2011 9:58am May 5, 2011 9:58am
Support levels / Fib didn't hold in Aud/Usd, no bounce back up, so i don't think it's going to happen here either. 1.45 and then what, we shall see... I'm just surprised we didn't hit 1.50.
  • #1,903
  • May 5, 2011 10:14am May 5, 2011 10:14am
Quoting zipfur
Support levels / Fib didn't hold in Aud/Usd, no bounce back up, so i don't think it's going to happen here either. 1.45 and then what, we shall see... I'm just surprised we didn't hit 1.50.

put a daily aud/usd chart with ichimoku indicator on (its build in MT4). You see the daily candle trys to break a line. This is support. If broken, you see below the cloud. this is next support at 1.0 for aud/usd.

I was surprised too for eur/usd not going to 1.50, but eur/usd likes 1000 pip moves. Put a weekly ichimoku chart for eur/usd on. See where the cloud is, around 1.39. 1,.49 - 1.39 is a thousend pip move, and eur/usd will be still bullish on a weekly chart and might target above 1.60. But lets marked decide
  • #1,904
  • May 5, 2011 10:33am May 5, 2011 10:33am
you guys still don't beleive that trend reversal is happenning all accross the borad? keep analysing!
  • #1,905
  • May 5, 2011 10:43am May 5, 2011 10:43am
Quoting mdrive
you guys still don't beleive that trend reversal is happenning all accross the borad? keep analysing!
It is starting, yes... but, lets give it more than 1 day huh? A 3 year trend needs time to reverse.
  • #1,906
  • May 5, 2011 10:45am May 5, 2011 10:45am
Quoting Venice
It is starting, yes... but, lets give it more than 1 day huh? A 3 year trend needs time to reverse.
Someone with experience I see! Upvote for you! Oops...wrong forum!
  • #1,907
  • May 5, 2011 12:29pm May 5, 2011 12:29pm
Trend reversal my A$$, wait for QE3 announcement next month following

by end of QE2.
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  • #1,908
  • May 5, 2011 12:35pm May 5, 2011 12:35pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
Trend reversal my A$$, wait for QE3 announcement next month following

by end of QE2.
Skyzer, c'mon man, this pump here and crash everywhere else was an expectation that was going to happen. The only question was when...

After metals went parabolic the impending crash just got accelerated.
  • #1,909
  • Edited 2:38pm May 5, 2011 1:18pm | Edited 2:38pm
Quoting Venice
Skyzer, c'mon man, this pump here and crash everywhere else was an expectation that was going to happen. The only question was when...

After metals went parabolic the impending crash just got accelerated.
I think you clueless in this regard.. They rise Margin requirement for

Silver futures and option contracts 4 f*cking times in the row last

4 days and another increase

coming on Monday ( I heard) Basically this push AUD lower and Trichet

Jawbone EUR lower.. So it's not USD rise, rather than EUR drop..

No intervention ever succeed in the long Run, next year Silver will push

$100/oz, after Comex crime mafia default on Delivery.... What they are

thinking?

Now there is talk about QE3, cause Job Market still weak, Commodities

got killed by those criminals, so no inflation now, basically they can

resume crazy printing and go ahead with QE3, QE4, QE5, whatever..

USDx it's all about EUR and USD at this point, which are both Trash.. CHF and

AUD still skyrocket high, and nothing changed there so far..

I say ones they stop f*cking with the Commodities futures

manipulation, trend will resume.. Probably one more day tomorrow.

We'll see, or if they manage to drop Silver below $20, then I will convert everything

I have into it and will never return to Trading, cause I'll be set for life then..

P. S.

They try to HIT OIL next, Obama needs this to apply for second term..

P.S.S

Look what those FED trolls did to the world wide Markets, by trying

to safe their stinking Dollar from collapse.. It's too late now..
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  • #1,910
  • May 5, 2011 2:40pm May 5, 2011 2:40pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
I think you clueless in this regard.....
Without a doubt... I'm not saying we are on a new trend at this point. We need to form our usual HH/HL. All that I am saying, is that this could be the start. Won't really know until next week sometime.

For all we know, tomorrow could give us a complete rejection of today's move, like what happened on April 18th.

Reaction... not prediction is the name to this game...
  • #1,911
  • May 5, 2011 2:57pm May 5, 2011 2:57pm
Quoting Venice
Reaction... not prediction is the name to this game...
I'll keep watching.. But nothing really changed on the bullish side

for USD.. Debt sealing rising talk, No Employment and possible, even

probable QE3 and no Interest rate hike forever

Nothing bullish here, Just Print, Print, Print.. It's all about Dropping

EUR at this point, I think.. Bernank should go crazy as he probably dreaming about

Deflation and he as a Hero pushing on Pedal of Printing Press "QE3 "
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  • #1,912
  • May 5, 2011 3:51pm May 5, 2011 3:51pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
I think you clueless in this regard.....
Very interesting : http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot...20manipulation
  • #1,913
  • May 5, 2011 5:03pm May 5, 2011 5:03pm
What moves usd/chf today was the usd - less the chf.

For chf/lfx we see its at the upper part of the channel.

After a high wave candle we see black spinning top. But both are neutral candles which have no weight. This might indicate a pause in trend. For a reverse there has to be a confirmation. If chf/lfx drops, usd/chf will rise.

Lets see how it goes.

btw. the yen starts to fall...(crosses go up)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chflfx.gif Size: 19 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: chflfx1.gif Size: 24 KB
  • #1,914
  • May 6, 2011 8:04am May 6, 2011 8:04am
Dullah rise is Temp,

Good Job Report?

"Today's NFP of 244K is great... until you exclude the 62K from McDonalds hirings, and 175K from the Birth Death Adjustment, and end up with.... +7K jobs."

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  • #1,915
  • May 6, 2011 10:56am May 6, 2011 10:56am
I'm thinking to switch my attention to EURCHF,

200 pips to all time low.. I think it's Good risk:reward here,

Anybody else wanna comment on this?

Ok, loaded, let's see what's up..
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  • #1,916
  • May 6, 2011 11:00am May 6, 2011 11:00am
Quoting SkyzerFX
I'm thinking to switch my attention to EURCHF,

200 pips to all time low.. I think Good risk:reward here,

Anybody else wanna comment on this?
Hmm... I think I would much rather be a buyer around the 1.2525 level. Daily pin is showing just about complete rejection of the up move today.

Trend is also down on this beastie now.

I'm not a big trader of it though so don't have much feel for it.
  • #1,917
  • May 6, 2011 11:19am May 6, 2011 11:19am
Of course buying lower is better.. EURUSD right now at

Up trend line, should be support around 1.44, if it's going to

break down lower, I'll switch hedge on.. Whoever buying dollars

will regret very soon.. Ben will print another gazillion of them

very soon.. EUR at the trend line.. let's see.
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  • #1,918
  • May 6, 2011 5:41pm May 6, 2011 5:41pm
My take according to the daily is that price on the USD/CHF cross closed in the middle of nowhere.

Having said that looking at EUR/CHF we are in interesting territory:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur chf daily.gif Size: 29 KB


I feel sorry for P. Hildebrand, he just can't win.

Cheers
  • #1,919
  • May 7, 2011 1:31am May 7, 2011 1:31am
Quoting mdrive
Euro will up before rate decision one more time before the big drop. AUD, NZD, CAD and commodities are already reversing, GBP and EURO DOWN next and then YEN and CHF UP
  • #1,920
  • May 7, 2011 5:57am May 7, 2011 5:57am
In the USDCHF market we do have sideway market, we could buy above 0.87972 and sell bellow 0.87386...

USDJPY Buy above 80.979 and Sell bellow 80.131....

AUDUSD buy above 1.08013 and sell Bellow 1.05999....
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