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  • #1,581
  • Mar 31, 2011 12:03pm Mar 31, 2011 12:03pm
If we imply that this fib drawing on the daily is correct, we might see the start of a medium term correction up above parity. Look how the fib-levels coincident with major s/r levels. Weekly close 93.50 would confirm this with a high reliable candlestick pattern. Lets see, how the week close tommorrow.

green pips to all
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf.gif Size: 17 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchfweek.gif Size: 23 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchfmonthly.gif Size: 28 KB
  • #1,582
  • Apr 1, 2011 2:54am Apr 1, 2011 2:54am
Well that was stupid. I had a position USD/CHF, opened it long a few days ago, closed it this morning with 20 pips loss. BUT I didn't check the calendar, I closed it 1 minute after the CHF retail sales numbers came out and right after I closed the price spiked up.. DOH! could have made it into a profit.

I guess I learned something today.
  • #1,583
  • Apr 1, 2011 4:21am Apr 1, 2011 4:21am
This pair is headed toward the lower resistance line of the channel it has been in since the first pull back for resistance in April of 2006.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf.gif Size: 28 KB
Take all you can, give nothing back!
  • #1,584
  • Apr 1, 2011 4:25am Apr 1, 2011 4:25am
Quoting Mautje
Well that was stupid. I had a position USD/CHF, opened it long a few days ago, closed it this morning with 20 pips loss. BUT I didn't check the calendar, I closed it 1 minute after the CHF retail sales numbers came out and right after I closed the price spiked up.. DOH! could have made it into a profit.

I guess I learned something today.
Make a plan and trade it. Simple.

The jump above 92.500 is the key, but there is some massive chf selling look at the 15 min bull candles. On the chflfx chart we are right now testing the 50% level. Below the 61.8 level I like to see a nice drop (which means a nice bull run for usd/chf). Also notice rsi and macd pointing down.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf.gif Size: 21 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: chflfx.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #1,585
  • Apr 1, 2011 4:30am Apr 1, 2011 4:30am
I see a a double top on the the upper resistance line of the more immediate trend channel it has been in since January 2011
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf2.gif Size: 25 KB
Take all you can, give nothing back!
  • #1,586
  • Apr 1, 2011 5:40am Apr 1, 2011 5:40am
Quoting ElmoM
I see a a double top on the the upper resistance line of the more immediate trend channel it has been in since January 2011
lets see. Next small pullback in my chart is at 92.50.

My entry was 91.25, the bounce from the tenkan sen in this ichimoku chart, plus coincident (?) a fibo level. Targets are the fibo levels above, especially 94.50 or the trendline, or the lower parts of "the cloud". Depends of the PA on lower timeframes. Lets see how it develops, may take days or weeks until there.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf.gif Size: 28 KB
  • #1,587
  • Apr 3, 2011 8:56am Apr 3, 2011 8:56am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHF W1 Bullish Divergence.PNG Size: 44 KB
  • #1,588
  • Apr 3, 2011 9:12am Apr 3, 2011 9:12am
Quoting Venice
Cheeky long pulled here.

Looking to target 9352. *mental* Stops below 9070.
your target almost get .
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #1,589
  • Apr 3, 2011 9:13am Apr 3, 2011 9:13am
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4517406#post4517406
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #1,590
  • Apr 3, 2011 10:05am Apr 3, 2011 10:05am
I like it, coming home and seeing this nice green TP balls

BUT, this weekly candle doesn´t look like a major reverse pattern, which I thougt it would be time for.

Worth to notice is this rising trendline, which might form a chanel, if price bounce third time from the lower trendline.

Main target for bulls is 94.50 (also resistance), support starts at 91.30 on my charts.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf.jpg Size: 228 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchfweekly.gif Size: 11 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf4h.gif Size: 17 KB
  • #1,591
  • Apr 3, 2011 12:04pm Apr 3, 2011 12:04pm
Quoting geniusztc
your target almost get .
Yup, I was too greedy on my target. Was aiming for new highs. I pulled the order once it pulled back 50 pips with no end in sight.

Nothing going to stop this drop of the dollar anytime soon.
  • #1,592
  • Apr 4, 2011 1:51am Apr 4, 2011 1:51am
Bout ready for Swissy to plunge into the 8000's again. The road has been primed.

Some of you may have enjoyed the counter trend 300 pip rise, good job.

Getting short, Now. and still holding from last week.

If I see the price break, with conviction, test, and stay above the massive green (in chart color lines) daily downward TL I'll reconsider, otherwise

potential targets and supports
9150
9000
8900
8500

lets see how it goes.
X
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: swissy_rejection_swing_april_2011.GIF Size: 33 KB
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #1,593
  • Apr 4, 2011 10:35am Apr 4, 2011 10:35am
It looks like 0.92 is support, and we are now heading for the last leg long, target 94.5. Short from there.
  • #1,594
  • Apr 4, 2011 10:44am Apr 4, 2011 10:44am
Pure price action, looking at the big candle came up, take the middle of it I believe that price will come back to at least 50% candle.

high- .9227
low- .9193

mid of candle is .9210

So I shorted at .9227 and looking to scalp down to .9210 for +17 pips.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uc 50% scalp.GIF Size: 25 KB
Trade Like a Robot make money Like a Bank
  • #1,595
  • Apr 4, 2011 11:22am Apr 4, 2011 11:22am
going short on this pair, however there will be volatility there is a big correlation on the inverse movement of eur/usd and usd/chf, also gold. as long as gold rises and eur rises, it gives us as measure of the value of the USD.

according to USDX which is now on the high 75 looking very bearish.

we can expect to short this pair, i expect it to reach .90's area.

however lets be nimble the FED is putting rumblings of interest rate hike on the USD which would strengthen the dollar,
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #1,596
  • Apr 4, 2011 12:03pm Apr 4, 2011 12:03pm
Oh well, I am still holding my short scalp at .9227, looking for .9210. I proceeded with the same on EUR/USD and GBP/USD, and they both hit 50%, but the swissy is being stubborn.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu 50% long.GIF Size: 21 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eu 50% long.GIF Size: 20 KB
Trade Like a Robot make money Like a Bank
  • #1,597
  • Apr 4, 2011 5:17pm Apr 4, 2011 5:17pm
trendline ahead - trendline below, so where does price go ? - sideways....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #1,598
  • Apr 4, 2011 6:11pm Apr 4, 2011 6:11pm
If we get a bear close on today's new candle, tomorrow that is, I'll be in short. Not trusting the current triangle ish looking candle right now.

Looking for a target of .9034.
  • #1,599
  • Apr 5, 2011 8:35am Apr 5, 2011 8:35am
still three open trades from my initial open at 0.9150, very strong
resitance ahead 92.5 till 93.50. Medium term targets remain 0.945 - 0.95 with the falling trendline.
  • #1,600
  • Apr 5, 2011 8:46am Apr 5, 2011 8:46am
Quoting peaches
still three open trades from my initial open at 0.9150, very strong
resitance ahead 92.5 till 93.50. Medium term targets remain 0.945 - 0.95 with the falling trendline.
Does technical analysis apply for this pair? I thought that this pair totally depends on worldwide politic (just like a mess now) so I dun't think it could shoot up to .9400 in near future.

However, I thought that I could go long if it drops to .900 again. It seems like a strong support.
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