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USD/CHF

  • #1,181
  • Feb 27, 2011 7:38am Feb 27, 2011 7:38am
looking at the monthly chart the shake out was done,and most of the Africa is included.So every drop now is just a new historic low for someone to enter on a round nice number,and any bounce to come is from dollars side now,if it breaks the euro and gbp, swissy and jpy gonna follow it aswell.Im dollar bull on this,and all my indicators are just from reading the candles and few trend lines,and im basing my oppinion on looking at the 4h and daily charts,where 4h charts shows supply being bought back intensively and leaving longer wicks,and daily close had a nice reversal candle,which by Tuesday gonna be clear if its a fake or not so money managment first and strict SL is your friend,coz 82 isnt that low as history shows,looking at jpy example.
  • #1,182
  • Feb 27, 2011 8:31am Feb 27, 2011 8:31am
Quoting jezek5
The last time DX tested the red trend line i saw a chart posted
somewhere else stating that on that test and the one before,both marked,that there was just 3% $bulls,no surprise then that it rallied
both times.
I've done some searching thismorning but can't seem to find the bull to bear ratio,but that thing looks like it's got more down side to come.
Weekly on Swissy closed below last week,the only thing to stop this going much lower is the SNB imo.
I think this might be the Turtle breakout i was looking to play early in the year,next two or three...
i like your chart and analys,,
what causes the difference in the candle's color,,?

what you use insider bar,,?
only an analysis, and I'm always wrong, don't follow me,
  • #1,183
  • Feb 27, 2011 11:52am Feb 27, 2011 11:52am
Quoting andelumut
i like your chart and analys,,
what causes the difference in the candle's color,,?

what you use insider bar,,?
Hi Andelumut,pleased to meet you,
Yes the blue bars are inside bars and the red bars are outside bars,
both bearish and bullish,its an indicator i found on aother thread
here at FF,can't remember where,if you google insidebar indicator
you should find it if you want it,it's called in&out.
It just makes it easier to spot them,gives me levels to work with.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #1,184
  • Feb 27, 2011 12:05pm Feb 27, 2011 12:05pm
Quoting pinkiaiii
looking at the monthly chart the shake out was done,and most of the Africa is included.So every drop now is just a new historic low for someone to enter on a round nice number,and any bounce to come is from dollars side now,if it breaks the euro and gbp, swissy and jpy gonna follow it aswell.Im dollar bull on this,and all my indicators are just from reading the candles and few trend lines,and im basing my oppinion on looking at the 4h and daily charts,where 4h charts shows supply being bought back intensively and leaving longer wicks,and daily close...
Hi Pinkiaiii,for myself i'm finding it really hard to be bullish the dollar
at present.
What with thier budget deficit of 1.7 trillion that they will have to go to market for and also 2.7 trillion in short term bonds that have to be rolled over this year i just can't see how the $ can go up much.
QE 3 is a dead cert i think,but you never know.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #1,185
  • Feb 27, 2011 12:39pm Feb 27, 2011 12:39pm
My view still bearish on this pair. even that there was some demand on Friday but I think will see more move to the down side until NFP then we will see.
  • #1,186
  • Feb 27, 2011 3:07pm Feb 27, 2011 3:07pm
it's near my entry so I'll be prepared now.
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Enter Signature
  • #1,187
  • Edited 2:07am Feb 28, 2011 2:01am | Edited 2:07am
Nice one hour pin almost two hours ago,would like to have seen that close below 9266,got a quick short scalp but now this bar looks like it's going to close back above 9266,might be a bit more top side in this.
Top of range 9324,bottom of range 9228,thats the playing field,oil looks like it's having a little rest.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #1,188
  • Feb 28, 2011 3:00am Feb 28, 2011 3:00am
Quoting jezek5
Nice one hour pin almost two hours ago,would like to have seen that close below 9266,got a quick short scalp but now this bar looks like it's going to close back above 9266,might be a bit more top side in this.
Top of range 9324,bottom of range 9228,thats the playing field,oil looks like it's having a little rest.
If we can't clear 74 this might rollover.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #1,189
  • Feb 28, 2011 5:45am Feb 28, 2011 5:45am
goes up 1% m/m....if the income is rising that means that employers are trying to keep their workforce with them, afraid that they'll go to other employers...

for me that is the sign that we will start getting strong employment numbers from now on, starting with this week's friday numbers....that will lift interest yield sensitive pairs like USD/JPY and USD/CHF...IMO
  • #1,190
  • Feb 28, 2011 6:03am Feb 28, 2011 6:03am
Wrapped up in its 21/55 EMAs for now.
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  • #1,191
  • Feb 28, 2011 7:40am Feb 28, 2011 7:40am
A short around 9430 looks good. An old gap plus some stalling in price and a 38.2%.
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  • #1,192
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:00am Feb 28, 2011 8:00am
everything's pointing to a strong recovery...
you should forget about TA now...IMO
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  • #1,193
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:05am Feb 28, 2011 8:05am
Quoting jack.canadia
A short around 9430 looks good. An old gap plus some stalling in price and a 38.2%.
its your broker not gap
  • #1,194
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:13am Feb 28, 2011 8:13am
Quoting pinkiaiii
its your broker not gap
It's a weekend gap.
  • #1,195
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:19am Feb 28, 2011 8:19am
Quoting jezek5
If we can't clear 74 this might rollover.
On a 5 min chart you can see that the buying keeps coming in at 9274
or there abouts,it's also quite clear to see that offers are capping
the run up around 9300,the question is if this buying is short covering
or real accumulation.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #1,196
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:20am Feb 28, 2011 8:20am
Quoting jack.canadia
It's a weekend gap.
You mean, it's a broker gap.

The markets never truly close, only your broker.
  • #1,197
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:20am Feb 28, 2011 8:20am
Quoting jack.canadia
It's a weekend gap.
The first bar closed at 4:00 PM EST (20:00 GMT) on a Friday. The next bar opened at 6:00 PM EST (22:00 GMT) on a Sunday.
  • #1,198
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:20am Feb 28, 2011 8:20am
Quoting Venice
You mean, it's a broker gap.

The markets never truly close, only your broker.
There are gaps in the forex market, over the weekend.
  • #1,199
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:21am Feb 28, 2011 8:21am
Quoting jack.canadia
There are gaps in the forex market, over the weekend.
Yes, when your broker closes and opens.

The gap is caused by the always-open market.
  • #1,200
  • Feb 28, 2011 8:22am Feb 28, 2011 8:22am
Quoting Venice
Yes, when your broker closes and opens.

The gap is caused by the always-open market.
Good I'm glad we agree now.
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