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  • #394,901
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:20pm Feb 23, 2011 10:20pm
good morning...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #394,902
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:20pm Feb 23, 2011 10:20pm
Quoting OldQuant
Well, yeah, any day when the market would run up over 2 full handles would be more than 'very interesting.'
I thought it would make its way up by Thursday.. It happened sooner than that.
  • #394,903
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:27pm Feb 23, 2011 10:27pm
Morning All,

I m still bearish is euro towards 3645-48.. so i m looking to short it.. even my 4H is still up but the maximum up in 4H is 3819 break that then 3838.. if i look at short time period hourly up towards 3793.. so i have a plan to take short position in between 3789-93 with stops above 3825.. the supports are now held on 3747, 3726, 3698 and 3675.. while the resistances above are at 3789, 3793, 3808, 3819, 3825 and 3838, so i have so many resistances above while i have weak supports held below, i will cancelled my short plan if it closes above 3838..
  • #394,904
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:32pm Feb 23, 2011 10:32pm
Quoting OldQuant
gator, I'm not sure that I made myself clear....
one of the guys here has friends with boots on the ground connections. he said his friends were not painting a rosy picture.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #394,905
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:33pm Feb 23, 2011 10:33pm
Quoting Shah22
Morning All,

I m still bearish is euro towards 3645-48.. so i m looking to short it.. even my 4H is still up but the maximum up in 4H is 3819 break that then 3838.. if i look at short time period hourly up towards 3793.. so i have a plan to take short position in between 3789-93 with stops above 3825.. the supports are now held on 3747, 3726, 3698 and 3675.. while the resistances above are at 3789, 3793, 3808, 3819, 3825 and 3838, so i have so many resistances above while i have weak supports held below, i will cancelled my short plan if it...
Shorting the damn thing is like getting in front of a train coming right now.

However, it might retrace to 37-ish if you are lucky.

But, we have sort of positive data for US possibly coming out. So you never know.
  • #394,906
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:36pm Feb 23, 2011 10:36pm
Gator, you wouldn't happen to have a dollar index chart that goes back to the 70's would you. I'm curious of the all time high, could swear its like 163 or something. I'd like to have that number, so I could do some absolute Fib retraments on it. Thanks PTL
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #394,907
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:37pm Feb 23, 2011 10:37pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
Gator, you wouldn't happen to have a dollar index chart that goes back to the 70's would you. I'm curious of the all time high, could swear its like 163 or something. I like to have that number, so I could do some absolute Fib retraments on it. Thanks PTL
Probably when it was pegged to gold lol
  • #394,908
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:47pm Feb 23, 2011 10:47pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
Gator, you wouldn't happen to have a dollar index chart that goes back to the 70's would you. I'm curious of the all time high, could swear its like 163 or something. I'd like to have that number, so I could do some absolute Fib retraments on it. Thanks PTL
Not as far back as you want, but since '87, looks like around 121., in early 2001

http://www.investmenttools.com/futur...r_futures_.htm

Good site for continuous commodity contracts, too.
  • #394,909
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:53pm Feb 23, 2011 10:53pm
We are building up some extreme momentum here now,
  • #394,910
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:53pm Feb 23, 2011 10:53pm
another long before bed with a tight trailing?

What do you guys say
  • #394,911
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:53pm Feb 23, 2011 10:53pm
Quoting Larseg
We are building up some extreme momentum here now,
must be light speed, cuz i see no moves
  • #394,912
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:54pm Feb 23, 2011 10:54pm
Quoting OldQuant
Not as far back as you want, but since '87, looks like around 121., in early 2001

http://www.investmenttools.com/futur...r_futures_.htm

Good site for continuous commodity contracts, too.
Thanks for the link brother. I have seen charts that go back further, to the early 70's, I used to have a huge wall chart in my office that the NYFE had sent out to brokers to promote it, pretty sure they started trading it the 80's. I think the data that goes further is just reconstructed. For some reason 163 or 164 keeps popping into my head.
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #394,913
  • Feb 23, 2011 10:55pm Feb 23, 2011 10:55pm
Quoting Classic5000
Shorting the damn thing is like getting in front of a train coming right now.

However, it might retrace to 37-ish if you are lucky.
.
Even i beleive on luck.. but before to look i m lucky or not.. i prefer to look at my charts and made a whole day plan that where i trade an how i trade.. profit or loss thats the part of every business.. if in case i m in loss.. it doesnt matter..because i know how to recover.

Well, lets talk about daily.. My daily curves are exhausted and if i look at price then it seems to me exhausted, Because last day it cant cross 3800. and if i look at maximum in daily then its nearly held on 3910-13. but it depends on the clean break through 3838.

3753-58 area is alltime preferable for me. when the market comes to that price.. i very much focus on it and last daily close i got at my platform below 3753-58.. for some long move i prefer to look at 30M , hourly n 4H and too many resistance i have on three charts. 5M maximum up is held on 3787, 15M 3789, 30M and hourly is on 3793 break that then the next is 3808 and 3819..

In case it touch 3910-13.. i have a plan to place a big short at there.. Because i m still a big bear in euro..
  • #394,914
  • Feb 23, 2011 11:01pm Feb 23, 2011 11:01pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
Thanks for the link brother. I have seen charts that go back further, to the early 70's, I used to have a huge wall chart in my office that the NYFE had sent out to brokers to promote it, pretty sure they started trading it the 80's. I think the data that goes further is just reconstructed. For some reason 163 or 164 keeps popping into my head.
this chart has more data
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdx-1971-2009.png Size: 37 KB
  • #394,915
  • Feb 23, 2011 11:04pm Feb 23, 2011 11:04pm
Quoting Shah22
Even i beleive on luck.. but before to look i m lucky or not.. i prefer to look at my charts and made a whole day plan that where i trade an how i trade.. profit or loss thats the part of every business.. if in case i m in loss.. it doesnt matter..because i know how to recover.

Well, lets talk about daily.. My daily curves are exhausted and if i look at price then it seems to me exhausted, Because last day it cant cross 3800. and if i look at maximum in daily then its nearly held on 3910-13. but it depends on the clean break through 3838....
Good analysis, but being a big bear is early yet. Take a look at daily chart. We have to bounce off of 1.395-ish to be big bears technically speaking.
  • #394,916
  • Feb 23, 2011 11:06pm Feb 23, 2011 11:06pm
Quoting Classic5000
this chart has more data
thanks...I'll use 164.10 as the all time high, thats the best I could find.
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #394,917
  • Feb 23, 2011 11:07pm Feb 23, 2011 11:07pm
Quoting Classic5000
Good analysis, but being a big bear is early yet. Take a look at daily chart. We have to bounce off of 1.395-ish to be big bears technically speaking.
here is the chart.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Untitled.jpg Size: 89 KB
  • #394,918
  • Feb 23, 2011 11:07pm Feb 23, 2011 11:07pm
Quoting Classic5000
another long before bed with a tight trailing?

What do you guys say
Buying at resistance ? yes sure, go first, i will follow you once it goes down or break up
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #394,919
  • Feb 23, 2011 11:08pm Feb 23, 2011 11:08pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
Thanks for the link brother. I have seen charts that go back further, to the early 70's, I used to have a huge wall chart in my office that the NYFE had sent out to brokers to promote it, pretty sure they started trading it the 80's. I think the data that goes further is just reconstructed. For some reason 163 or 164 keeps popping into my head.
Classic5K posted downthread, and you had it pegged, for the looks.

The NYFE! Did you have a seat? They were around 10 grand. I almost bought half of one; they had T-bonds, if you remember. I asked around, though, and the general tone was "meh." So my friend bought the whole, I think for around 12. Sold it a couple years later for 6. Leased it out for 183.33 a month on a 2 year lease, exactly covering the seat hold costs.
  • #394,920
  • Feb 23, 2011 11:10pm Feb 23, 2011 11:10pm
Quoting OldQuant
Classic5K posted downthread, and you had it pegged, for the looks.

The NYFE! Did you have a seat? They were around 10 grand. I almost bought half of one; they had T-bonds, if you remember. I asked around, though, and the general tone was "meh." So my friend bought the whole, I think for around 12. Sold it a couple years later for 6. Leased it out for 183.33 a month on a 2 year lease, exactly covering the seat hold costs.
whats a downthread?
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