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  • #388,641
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:28pm Feb 16, 2011 1:28pm
Quoting kill56
sure u are but also
damn, you needed to pick on that little misconception of mine, huh?
  • #388,642
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:29pm Feb 16, 2011 1:29pm
Indicators lower tf , H4 qqe about to break 50, rsi broken up 0, ao about breaks 0 . H1 tf qqe up remain and rsi,ao up . weekly broken 50 before & hold , no cross over yet but daily giving warning cross 50 down though actually not seen.

So after good up the daily may cause enough retracement or down resume , who knows . 3635 target up keeping for safety if breaks up now & seems minimum reach today perhaps . thought not think it should stop breaking the flag for more pips next .in that case as wave c of bull set up should go 3750-3820 before down for unreliable , short to bigger wave before breaks up the previous top or fail at top again 3861.so to see bear reparcation for failure a diamond swing failure , similay disaster opposite direction , 350 pips down to 350 pips up , all possible .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #388,643
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:36pm Feb 16, 2011 1:36pm
Quoting FibbinArchie
Do you follow the high, mid and low risk vs. yield approach on your asset allocation then? ie. a much higher percentage goes into lower risk instruments and less into high risk?

I have build up enough of a safety net to turn a "higher risk " wheel ito asset allocation. I understand the concept of risk in terms of investment but is the measurement a true reflection of the actual risk involved or is it a perception based on irrelevant history? I sometimes wonder.

Low risk=low return and high risk=high return can also be misleading.
I can control and manage my risk in trading which is regarded as a high risk venture , yet I have no say in how some low risk assets are managed?

The short answer is ....no I don`t use a risk management model in terms of asset allocation.
" Never let the past hold the future to ransom "
  • #388,644
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:36pm Feb 16, 2011 1:36pm
Less than three hours left until next 'value date' (Interbank) and new calculation ...



http://www.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif 2011-02-16_20h24_EURUSD _ min015 _ (200) candle + PP + TL.PNG (26.0 KB)

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif 2011-02-16_20h25_EURUSD _ min005 _ (500) candle + PP + TL.PNG (27.3 KB)

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif 2011-02-16_20h33_EURUSD _ min180 _ (075) candle + PP.PNG (20.1 KB)




;-|
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2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #388,645
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:38pm Feb 16, 2011 1:38pm
Quoting FibbinArchie
It's the release of the documented minutes of the meeting...

Be wary of volatile PA, can be prone to whip-saws...
You mean the USD will down more?
  • #388,646
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:38pm Feb 16, 2011 1:38pm
Quoting mercy seat
No problem ... fair enough ...

I know what it is behind with that ... schließlich mache ich das lange genug ...

And yes ... of course :

"Man soll den Tag nicht vor dem Abend loben"

Was not meant as a kind of 'reine Kritik' ...

But we should try to say it as clear as possible at the end of the day ...

I wonder that soo many members are telling that they are learning from this place ... kann ich nicht so recht erkennen ...



hmm ...


Anyway ... no reason for 'Zweifelhaftigkeiten' ... as long as not crossed below...



Hi Mercy,

like your "Kritik". Everytime....... :-)


And yes: To call a "new trend" one should have at least some confirming factors. I did not get my confirmation since I could not count 5 down finally. On its way down it felt like a five, but it was not.

I made a call to hold the shorts near the bottom, basing that only on the look of the Awesome Oscillator. That was not only risky, it was outright wrong.

Due to my believe that we had experienced a truncated 5 at the top my count down was totally messed.

Right now for a short scalp I prefer down (and will soon close). But then I will prefer up, at least up to 3610 (upper side of actual pitchfork, +6/8 MMTL on hourly and +3/8 on 4h).

was the heart of the previous 3. Here the downward pressure was highest

3623 seems a good target too (62% retracement of the preceding wave). Here was the heart of the previous 3. Here the downward pressure was highest.

Around 3641 many fib confluences.

The downsloping trendline on dailys will be tested at around 3623 tomorrow.



Maybe I am missing a special point. If so I would kindly ask you to teach me a lesson :-)


Best to you,


Markus
  • #388,647
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:38pm Feb 16, 2011 1:38pm
hi everyone. i am new here. sure got loads to learn from the pros here.

i have been entering and exiting with bad results for the past 2-3hrs. any idea whats causing the market to be like this?
  • #388,648
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:38pm Feb 16, 2011 1:38pm
Quoting Gleneagles
I have build up enough of a safety net to turn a "higher risk " wheel ito asset allocation. I understand the concept of risk in terms of investment but is the measurement a true reflection of the actual risk involved or is it a perception based on irrelevant history? I sometimes wonder.

Low risk=low return and high risk=high return can also be misleading.
I can control and manage my risk in trading which is regarded as a high risk venture , yet I have no say in how some low risk assets are managed?

The short answer is ....no I don`t use...
Good point, many traders regard their trading account as being the safest place for their capital...

Was just interested in getting your opinions, for possible future investment strategies, in the meantime I'm really still just concentrating on learning the right mind set and attitude to trade Forex consistently, fingers crossed I'm now moving away from the whole over-leveraged boom and bust style of equity management and towards a far more controlled steady growth style (slowly, slowly catchy monkey).

Truly understanding compounding as you mentioned in your previous post is the key to it imo, it doesn't happen over night...
  • #388,649
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:39pm Feb 16, 2011 1:39pm
the janitor must be playing Mario on the trading station.

ypeeeee, look at that line jump up when i push dis green button
  • #388,650
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:39pm Feb 16, 2011 1:39pm
well, 2 days earlier than expected, but here we are
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  • #388,651
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:40pm Feb 16, 2011 1:40pm
Help help help any suggestion ??? I'm short @3520 help ! All is rising...usd is going low low loooow....wtf i'm upset
  • #388,652
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:46pm Feb 16, 2011 1:46pm
Quoting longshot_nl
my view.
Round about I am with you :-)
  • #388,653
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:48pm Feb 16, 2011 1:48pm
Quoting Italianguy
Help help help any suggestion ??? I'm short @3520 help ! All is rising...usd is going low low loooow....wtf i'm upset
put in a stop loss, I can't advise you as to where, that's down to your own risk profile...
  • #388,654
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:48pm Feb 16, 2011 1:48pm
Quoting Italianguy
Help help help any suggestion ??? I'm short @3520 help ! All is rising...usd is going low low loooow....wtf i'm upset
we're not going more than 3585, today at least.
it's an important level and it needs momentum to break.

you can wait for a retrace, still we might go high first and then down.
you can also protect your position by hedging, that is find a good setup (dip) and go long with the same lot size. BUT i have to warn you, getting out of a hedged position might be a headache.

btw, use a SL next time, that's what we all are bragging here, sl and cut your losses.
  • #388,655
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:49pm Feb 16, 2011 1:49pm
Quoting FibbinArchie
Good point, many traders regard their trading account as being the safest place for their capital...

Was just interested in getting your opinions, for possible future investment strategies, in the meantime I'm really still just concentrating on learning the right mind set and attitude to trade Forex consistently, fingers crossed I'm now moving away from the whole over-leveraged boom and bust style of equity management and towards a far more controlled steady growth style (slowly, slowly catchy monkey).

Truly understanding compounding as you mentioned...
Money doesn't make anything in banks these days.
rat
  • #388,656
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:50pm Feb 16, 2011 1:50pm
Quoting Italianguy
Help help help any suggestion ??? I'm short @3520 help ! All is rising...usd is going low low loooow....wtf i'm upset
We might be looking at a risk-on play for the rest of the week's (Friday) session. USD has seen a big run up and although there's an option barrier up @ 85, it seems like a stretch. Possible we'll see a move out of USD on the good fed news and into equities, meaning EU should head up; 1.362 as a former support is calling. Hard to speculate if we'll get a shake out down to 1.352. Question is what will Asia & London do with the minutes news. Currently waiting for sub 83.5 in USDJPY.
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  • #388,657
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:51pm Feb 16, 2011 1:51pm
Quoting rattyo
Money doesn't make anything in banks these days.
lol, ain't that the truth...
  • #388,658
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:51pm Feb 16, 2011 1:51pm
ptl
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  • #388,659
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:53pm Feb 16, 2011 1:53pm
Quoting prezd
we're not going more than 3585, today at least.
it's an important level and it needs momentum to break.

you can wait for a retrace, still we might go high first and then down.
you can also protect your position by hedging, that is find a good setup (dip) and go long with the same lot size. BUT i have to warn you, getting out of a hedged position might be a headache.

btw, use a SL next time, that's what we all are bragging here, sl and cut your losses.
or some stop hunting on low liquidity...
  • #388,660
  • Feb 16, 2011 1:54pm Feb 16, 2011 1:54pm
Quoting FibbinArchie
Good point, many traders regard their trading account as being the safest place for their capital...

Was just interested in getting your opinions, for possible future investment strategies, in the meantime I'm really still just concentrating on learning the right mind set and attitude to trade Forex consistently, fingers crossed I'm now moving away from the whole over-leveraged boom and bust style of equity management and towards a far more controlled steady growth style (slowly, slowly catchy monkey).

Truly understanding compounding as you mentioned...

To truly reap the full benefit of compounding , you need to be consistent.
It is not a function of brilliance.

Given a choice , I will rather be consistently average than occasionally brilliant.

You have the right idea wrt ..controlled..steady....growth.
Compounding is plain scary if witnessed on your own investment rather than viewed on an Excell spreadsheet.
" Never let the past hold the future to ransom "
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