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EURUSD

  • #380,201
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:15pm Feb 4, 2011 9:15pm
Quoting Magix
If it ain't broke, don't fix it...

You can always adjust your market perspective even if your not in a trade.

The immediate, I am bearish because we have never proper triggered the H4 or daily before hitting the weekly resistance...Of course there will be a pullback, just every once in a while, them pull backs can become the trend...

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=959

My 2 support zones/target areas...
I do agree with you that my perspective need adjustment. I will wait until this down trend gets in the vicinity of 1.3250. This will be middle of a previous range.

Three things make me long:
1. Dow crossing 12,000 mark
2. Have many times experienced a bounce of 200 to 250 pips just before pa again attempts at an old major range.
3. Last leg of the trend in the attachment is still above the last major range
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The Thief of Wall Street
  • #380,202
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:19pm Feb 4, 2011 9:19pm
Quoting AlexC
You know Cloggie says himself for those who don't like his calls or the...
I understand what you mean. Different people under different strain have different tolerance thresholds. A4kx explained really well how to deal with the situation. One just needs to keep things separate: one might not like Cloggie as human being, probably with good reason as he seems to make no effort whatsoever in being a nice/agreeable person to others, but on the other hand, Cloggie the trader, assuming we're all here fisrt and foremost to make money, one gotta like this guy, cause he really knows his stuff. Anyway, I don't come here to make friends/enemies, and honestly couldn't care less, this is a internet forum. I come here to pass some time/do some research and whenever possible learn something useful for my trading.

Have a nice weekend. Cheers.
"To hold, you must first open your hand. Let go." - Lao Tzu
  • #380,203
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:21pm Feb 4, 2011 9:21pm
Quoting Magix
If it ain't broke, don't fix it...

You can always adjust your market perspective even if your not in a trade.

The immediate, I am bearish because we have never proper triggered the H4 or daily before hitting the weekly resistance...Of course there will be a pullback, just every once in a while, them pull backs can become the trend...

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=959

My 2 support zones/target areas...
agreed...that is why i love weekly instead of other TF...as we already seen a few failure in daily/H4 which mess our head before....so far weekly never lie to me

ok mate enjoy ur weekend and have a good rest...
  • #380,204
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:25pm Feb 4, 2011 9:25pm
Quoting WinForX
84 is hard to pass... but when(if) it is (and it will), watch out !

Target 1.3218

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...74#post4353374

This rising wedge worked perfectly. I placed orders at the breakout and was fearful after the pullback but kept trusting my analysis. I added shorts at pullback and now out. I'm waiting for a little correction of the down move to short again toward my objectives.
W&S....
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  • #380,205
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:28pm Feb 4, 2011 9:28pm
Quoting johnnyarnold
If I could interject for one second. The best trading book I've read is Van Tharps 'Trade your way to Financial Freedom.'
ah, thanks for that, i'll check it out
  • #380,206
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:36pm Feb 4, 2011 9:36pm
Quoting Chicky
I do agree with you that my perspective need adjustment. I will wait until this down trend gets in the vicinity of 1.3250. This will be middle of a previous range.

Three things make me long:
1. Dow crossing 12,000 mark
2. Have many times experienced a bounce of 200 to 250 pips just before pa again attempts at an old major range.
3. Last leg of the trend in the attachment is still above the last major range
1.3355 seems to be on the list of possibilities from a daily perspective and I think how fast we get there will be the teller of if we can expect a continuation of the drop, or if we are looking for that dead cat.

(Yellow Circle, price point)

Fibs seem to be liking the daily, so, I consulted an old friend...
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Attached Image
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #380,207
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:43pm Feb 4, 2011 9:43pm
Quoting Magix
1.3355 seems to be on the list of possibilities from a daily perspective and I think how fast we get there will be the teller of if we can expect a continuation of the drop, or if we are looking for that dead cat.

Fibs seem to be liking the daily, so, I consulted an old friend...
"LOL" - Wherever it goes, I will be collecting or giving 1% on every support it fights with. If decide to change my pespective, it will be every resistance instead of support. If I go undecisive, it will be every support AND resistance. Simple!
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #380,208
  • Edited 11:41pm Feb 4, 2011 11:18pm | Edited 11:41pm
Confusion remains intact week end, target hit & break with bear confirmation for now & started profit taking leaving whether the wave down ended , as seen only M5,1 one wave ended may be as 5th but in higher one not seems so , as if only subwave 1 of the 5th .

so next week may start down with 3-4-5 waves down before retracement up as wave 2 or just retracement up w 2 before heavy fall w 3 big.

At the same time very big mofu is also active & success nicely so far . a big bear & continuation set up , just trying to bull at top at the most risky & transient or moderate heavy fall before take off , all possible still . looking for suitable d reacting point & already at e break level hit & retest again. so if fail this should do at top , not sustain down & all ok .huge suspecion in hand & mind.

happy weekend.

fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #380,209
  • Feb 4, 2011 11:28pm Feb 4, 2011 11:28pm
Quoting Chicky
Magix, My system cannot trade NFP and all other major news. There is little I can do about it.

All my calcualtions point to the north but market does not agree and I cannot go against the market. Will wait at zero cost until proven right or wrong. Market will be there.
Hey Chicky I think I told you 2 days ago "show some guts" and go short.
I did and made a ton of money.

Shamu
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #380,210
  • Feb 4, 2011 11:34pm Feb 4, 2011 11:34pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Hey Chicky I think I told you 2 days ago "show some guts" and go short.
I did and made a ton of money.

Shamu
Killer, what r your thoughts on cable?
  • #380,211
  • Feb 4, 2011 11:37pm Feb 4, 2011 11:37pm
Quoting pkimnyc
Killer, what r your thoughts on cable?
I will study charts coming hours and will let you know before market opens Sunday

Shamu
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #380,212
  • Edited 11:53pm Feb 4, 2011 11:40pm | Edited 11:53pm
Quoting infinitus
I am undecided. May go down further. When one draws an Elliott Wave channel on the hourly, the fifth wave has not reached the lower trendline. It is not necessary, but oftentimes it is reached.

Gatorinla, what does your calculation say?
it closed very bearish on the daily. and less bearish on the weekly, but still bearish...if u use 5est closing
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #380,213
  • Feb 4, 2011 11:43pm Feb 4, 2011 11:43pm
Quoting KillerWhale
I will study charts coming hours and will let you know before market opens Sunday

Shamu
Much appreciated.
  • #380,214
  • Feb 5, 2011 12:16am Feb 5, 2011 12:16am
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif 2011-02-03_18h44_EURUSD _ min005 _ (1100 x 800) 001b.PNG (22.1 KB)

Trading decisions and execution levels ...

EURUSD (RECAP)

2011-02-03 _ 23h00 CET _ EUR-USD : CLOSING (Thursday)





EUR-USD : 1.36339 (last)





(+05) Trend + Potential (neutral + mild bullish risk) Potential stärker abgeschwächt nach (+5) auf (+3)

0.0216 Écart

1.3862 Elliott EX-Reversal Point

1.3571 Elliott Projection (resistance zone in correction wave 1.3659/ 1.3670 or 1.3709 ... and then flat correction down 1.3571 and / or resulting correction wave up 1.3759 after rejection in ground zone limits)



pivots + spezi



1.3986 1.3925
1.3906 1.3847
1.3826 1.3765
1.3770 1.3728


1.3690 1.3718 <= central pp zone


1.3554 1.3707
1.3610 1.3670
1.3474 1.3588
1.3338 1.3510


Erstellte Punkte

E-Punkt K-Punkt

1.3704 1.3601

Linie-1 Linie-2

1.3789 1.3826


Quick Tip ... without any comments, details or further hints ...










;-|
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2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #380,215
  • Feb 5, 2011 12:42am Feb 5, 2011 12:42am
http://www.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif 2011-02-04_21h59_EURUSD _ min060 _ (1100 x 800) 001b.PNG (28.0 KB)

http://www.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif 2011-02-04_21h59_EURUSD _ x-1Tage _ (1100 x 800) 001b.PNG (27.7 KB)

A nonverbal explanation attempt ... of current situation ...

EURUSD :

H1

Daily



;-|
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2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #380,216
  • Feb 5, 2011 12:51am Feb 5, 2011 12:51am
Quoting gatorinla
it closed very bearish on the daily. and less bearish on the weekly, but still bearish...if u use 5est closing
Sunday @ 11:00 pm central.. close below 3593 is another nail.. it will help backup the 5pm est close. getting below 3529.3 and 3537.3 will further erode bull power.. it may seem im writing this with a bearish bias.. i am, because atm that is whats there. according to the candles. s/r can trump the candles. as of yet they have not. according to the 5est close the weekly has a body engulfing the previous week with 2 long signature rejection wicks (the last 2 weeks). but if we cross the line i will be bullish with confirmation closes. the close has to be above the recent daily bodies. in the current wick area or above.

we will c what next week says. Goldman and the new (ecb) accounting/Egypt calming down can shoot us to the moon. but all of this was known before Fridays close. and we still closed below major s/r.. Goldman sent their memo out with convenience after nfp and after triciet was dovish (the first time i ever heard him do this) with the new accounting rules. after we are still under 3593

i remain short.. if we cross 3590/3610 i will wait for it to act as support and only scalp.
a buddy of mine says February 18 is a special day.. give or take a few.. if he is correct .. i will look to long then. with some signs. no sign no long.
GL
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #380,217
  • Feb 5, 2011 2:25am Feb 5, 2011 2:25am
some insight on the unemployment numbers

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker...ow-535893.html


.
Mind over matter..I don't mind and you don't matter.
  • #380,218
  • Feb 5, 2011 2:39am Feb 5, 2011 2:39am
Quoting gatorinla
Sunday @ 11:00 pm central.. close below 3593 is another nail.. it will help backup the 5pm est close. getting below 3529.3 and 3537.3 will further erode bull power.. it may seem im writing this with a bearish bias.. i am, because atm that is whats there. according to the candles. s/r can trump the candles. as of yet they have not. according to the 5est close the weekly has a...
If you ask me nfp should have been neutralized in the end and not ended up bear... well see next week if its a fake rally or not...

Quite interesting with time trading, 18 feb you say? Cant wait to see how it plays out
  • #380,219
  • Feb 5, 2011 2:54am Feb 5, 2011 2:54am
Quoting Larseg
If you ask me nfp should have been neutralized in the end and not ended up bear... well see next week if its a fake rally or not...

Quite interesting with time trading, 18 feb you say? Cant wait to see how it plays out
ADP data from the U.S. and U.S. NFP and the results do not match those predicted, probably bull is coming soon for next week
only an analysis, and I'm always wrong, don't follow me,
  • #380,220
  • Feb 5, 2011 3:02am Feb 5, 2011 3:02am
hey crackforex heads its the weekend have some fun ,leave the pipe for now enjoy u life , heck look whos talking
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