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  • #378,381
  • Feb 2, 2011 11:13pm Feb 2, 2011 11:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
a red doji on 5 est daily close. a pierce pattern on 12 est daily close if below 3788
may develop with time , nothing more than a simple confusion area so far , both X to break for the brear start .
Weekly supply /200ma can test , I see same views as seen before .

lets see what going to happen .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #378,382
  • Feb 2, 2011 11:20pm Feb 2, 2011 11:20pm
Quoting mikej2010
long .3785, sl at .3779, tp around .3810 ... trailing 5 pips after .3789 ...
stopped at 92 ... & just watching paint dry ... lead based atleast! /cancer
  • #378,383
  • Feb 2, 2011 11:21pm Feb 2, 2011 11:21pm
Quoting fontu
may develop with time , nothing more than a simple confusion area so far , both X to break for the brear start .
Weekly supply /200ma can test , I see same views as seen before .

lets see what going to happen .
fontu
This will be a fun one to watch after the ECB meeting, & don't have to really worry about nfp!

eur/aud ...
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  • #378,384
  • Feb 2, 2011 11:37pm Feb 2, 2011 11:37pm
Quoting fontu
may develop with time , nothing more than a simple confusion area so far , both X to break for the brear start .
Weekly supply /200ma can test , I see same views as seen before .

lets see what going to happen .
fontu
if it goes north... i will look for a heavy short at 3972 area.. as long candle ect. line up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #378,385
  • Feb 2, 2011 11:44pm Feb 2, 2011 11:44pm
How about a Hypothetical reality ? Are we closer than we care to believe?

Inserted Video
"Look Left Think Right"
  • #378,386
  • Feb 2, 2011 11:47pm Feb 2, 2011 11:47pm
Quoting CurrencyAnalyst
How about a Hypothetical reality ? Are we closer than we care to believe?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2N8gJ...2234&kw=market
the 'dollar' bill is nothing more then a contract with the Gov't ...

rent until you can 'buy' a home ... plant some veggies & grow your own food, install a well, /all good!
  • #378,387
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:00am Feb 3, 2011 12:00am
Quoting CurrencyAnalyst
How about a Hypothetical reality ? Are we closer than we care to believe?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2N8gJ...2234&kw=market

Interesting enough, watched it the night the Yuro went to 1.3863. I'm thinking really...
  • #378,388
  • Edited 12:23am Feb 3, 2011 12:12am | Edited 12:23am
why do you let all this fearmongering get close to you...things will never change, you only can control a mass which is in fear. this is the game, nothing else are the financial markets and the surrounding forms the stage.

world wars and what else can you remember happened during the last 100 years...how much did the media made you scare. it was 100 years ago and it will be the same in 100 years since human psychology, escpecially mass psychology does not change in a few hundred years. now look at this chart- during catastrophies and a handful potential world endings we rallied to the moon. as simple as that

http://www.analyzeindices.com/dowhistory/dow100.gif

just play the game and know the rules. #1 which i only can emphasize over and over again: dump the news and just quit interpreting them! they are not for your advantage.
  • #378,389
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:23am Feb 3, 2011 12:23am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
why do you let all this fearmongering get close to you...things will never change, you only can control a mass which is in fear. this is the game, nothing else are the financial markets and the surrounding forms the stage.

world wars and what else can you remember happened during the last 100 years...how much did the media made you scare. it was 100 years ago and it will be the same in 100 years since human psychology, escpecially mass psychology does not change in a few hundred years. now look at this chart

http://www.analyzeindices.com/dowhistory/dow100.gif

just...
what I always say "turn off everything and enjoy being outdoors for 90 days and see how much your life changes" & "how different is it from 20 years ago" ... now we have iPhones ... /yeah

how many currencies have come & gone in the past few thousand years?

trade has & will ALWAYS be around, currency is just the means of Governing control & accounting of any trade .... period
  • #378,390
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:33am Feb 3, 2011 12:33am
Quoting mikej2010
what I always say "turn off everything and enjoy being outdoors for 90 days and see how much your life changes" & "how different is it from 20 years ago" ... now we have iPhones ... /yeah

how many currencies have come & gone in the past few thousand years?

trade has & will ALWAYS be around, currency is just the means of Governing control & accounting of any trade .... period
i lived the experience after Katrina. armed w/o electricity for months. (except i did have generators.) and a stockpile of fuel.. most did not. cell phones don't work w/o a charge.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #378,391
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:36am Feb 3, 2011 12:36am
if i can get a 15 min close

above 1.3818 i'm long T1 1.3850 Just shy of the recent high.
below 1.3765 i'm short T1 1.3715 Looks like a good target with some support

Why? looks like we have some congestion between these levels since the pair broke new highs around the 1.3860 level and has since retraced a bit. So just drawing some basic S/R lines i got this conservative channel. If we can get a close below or above I will enter a position shooting for a continuation.

Stops are TBD, but at least will be 1:1 R/R

any thoughts on this trade plan?
  • #378,392
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:42am Feb 3, 2011 12:42am
Quoting gatorinla
i lived the experience after Katrina. armed w/o electricity for months. (except i did have generators.) and a stockpile of fuel.. most did not. cell phones don't work w/o a charge.
so the difference from 20 years ago? not much ...

I was stationed in Florida at that time & did clean up in Biloxi {keesler afb} ... and packed up supplies for New Orleans.

Stopped off the highway {i-10} and went to drive through a little of the outskirts of N.O. as much as we could and it was like an apocolypse movie ... no signal, no streets lights, trash, etc. Feel bad for whoever was living in that ...

then talk about inflation, went to the nearest 'open' area with power and there was a McDonalds ... literally paid about $13.00 for a sausage biscuit & OJ but was hungry and figured the money is being pocketed by those who need it ...

Point is {assumed by you to} ... be prepared, this is all just propaganda to keep the rich ... rich ...


---

aside from that, grew up with plenty of tornado's equating to no power for days {more then a week in a couple instances} & snow storms/ice that would do the same damage ...

---

Middle class what? since when? look at history, middle class is a myth that keeps on trying to establish itself {last statement was just a vague statement not directed as a reply}
  • #378,393
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:43am Feb 3, 2011 12:43am
Quoting gatorinla
if it goes north... i will look for a heavy short at 3972 area.. as long candle ect. line up.
The current rate of GBPUSD may give some hints about the future move of EURUSD; I had a previous position of GBPUSD bought @1.538 sold @1.60 and then sold again and bought back @1.576, many pips but just a single lot, so not much profit but more experience. Now it came back to previous levels and GBPUSD currently ranges at 1.62 which (I believe) gives a trading chance for up to @1.672 or even 1.70 if the resistance at @1.628 is broken. (or back to 1.56 if 1.6118 is broken) Just my idea but when we check weekly EURGBP rate (0,85-0.86 range), we reach a EURUSD rate of @138.6-139.3 for @1.628. Today, I will keep an eye both on GBPUSD and EURGBP to see the reaction after GBP Services PMI. Although I completely agree that we should not trade the news; previous reaction of GBP to news was enormous, if it happens again, it might pull EUR together up and we might find a good position to enter short again; I would wait if it will break the channel, if not, I will enter short at that certain point; which would be just close below 1.39.

PS> Currently GBP trades at 1.6186.
  • #378,394
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:43am Feb 3, 2011 12:43am
Quoting redsword11
Attachment



horizontal - hope it gives

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out
  • #378,395
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:48am Feb 3, 2011 12:48am
Quoting MidasFX
if i can get a 15 min close

above 1.3818 i'm long...
Mine ... tight SL's ... ECB meeting in 6 hours & Asian holiday = possible violent moves & exaggerated moves ...

PA means nothing leading upto ECB as that can 'jumpstart' a trend going into Friday's US nfp.

Not to mention, look at daily candlestick close for last trading day ...
  • #378,396
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:49am Feb 3, 2011 12:49am
Quoting MidasFX
if i can get a 15 min close

above 1.3818 i'm long T1 1.3850 Just shy of the recent high.
below 1.3765 i'm short T1 1.3715 Looks like a good target with some support

Why? looks like we have some congestion between these levels since the pair broke new highs around the 1.3860 level and has since retraced a bit. So just drawing some basic S/R lines i got this conservative channel. If we can get a close below or above I will enter a position shooting for a continuation.

Stops are TBD, but at least will be 1:1 R/R

any thoughts on this trade...
Yeah cretical situation , price go above 3818 may be 3843 stop before down again or price breaks at 3763 ,open channel for 3683.what will actually happen !! a c failure at 3763 possible for the up above the top. also may be needed to sell the news whatever today & ready for next day with more heavy nfp effects or success here , the top hold.Not tradble eitherway till it happens.

as seen h1 tf with optimized ma for the last move up.

fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu1.gif Size: 10 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #378,397
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:49am Feb 3, 2011 12:49am
Quoting gatorinla
i lived the experience after Katrina. armed w/o electricity for months. (except i did have generators.) and a stockpile of fuel.. most did not. cell phones don't work w/o a charge.
going off that last comment also, cell phones don't work without a TOWER ... when I was in that area, no signal was to be found for miles & miles ... scary crap ... truly could have disappeared & never been found in any way, shape, or form ...
  • #378,398
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:52am Feb 3, 2011 12:52am
Morning to all
  • #378,399
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:53am Feb 3, 2011 12:53am
My first post so be kind

Was wondering why the euro/usd starts moving at around 10:40 PM PST/ 1:40 AM EST (usually)?
  • #378,400
  • Feb 3, 2011 12:54am Feb 3, 2011 12:54am
Yes Brother! Patience is better than trade for a while...

Quoting fontu
Yeah cretical situation , price go above 3818 may be 3843 stop before down again or price breaks at 3763 ,open channel for 3683.what will actually happen !! a c failure at 3763 possible for the up above the top or success here , the top hold.Not tradble eitherway till it happens.

as seen h1 tf with optimized ma for the last move up.

fontu
Trade what you see, Not what you think.
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