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  • #373,161
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:51pm Jan 26, 2011 12:51pm
Quoting lev1987
I feel like an idiot.
why good news = high risk, shouldn't it be the opposite?
good news = increase in risk appetite, ie. investors are willing to take on more risk, due to perceived better economic conditions...
  • #373,162
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:52pm Jan 26, 2011 12:52pm
Quoting volforex
I am short too from 1.3671 ,gbpusd pending sell @ 1.5881
Just a little suggesstion.. sticked with your stop loss..
  • #373,163
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:53pm Jan 26, 2011 12:53pm
Quoting cloggie
Yup in 90, keyword inflation
in 6 minutes
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #373,164
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:53pm Jan 26, 2011 12:53pm
Quoting cloggie
No
ok lets keep to your theory, then why after a succesfull portugal debt auction the eur/usd went up?
  • #373,165
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:55pm Jan 26, 2011 12:55pm
Quoting cloggie
Yup in 90, keyword inflation
inflation means possilbe rate hike.....? Is it time yet?
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • #373,166
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:55pm Jan 26, 2011 12:55pm
Quoting lev1987
ok lets keep to your theory, then why after a succesfull portugal debt auction the eur/usd went up?
because it drained money from the system, so the remaining money increases its value.
  • #373,167
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:56pm Jan 26, 2011 12:56pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
think of it like this: good news... ah, alright, america is well off, let's spend the dollars we have. bad news... oh shit, we're close to the abyss, let's bring the money back.
when you are saying "lets spend the USD" we have you refer to USA citizens?
  • #373,168
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:56pm Jan 26, 2011 12:56pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
here you are. those are based on alpari quotes.
Very similar then. My broker is Alpari UK so I guess thats part of the reason to.
  • #373,169
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:56pm Jan 26, 2011 12:56pm
Quoting lev1987
ok lets keep to your theory, then why after a succesfull portugal debt auction the eur/usd went up?

Risk again, good auction, no default, safe to park a few bill in euro again, euro up, at that moment in time it is looking a little less ugly then the dollar is.

Look at in a different way, money flow. A large manager sits on a few billion in cash, all dollars (as most do), there is a bit of good news, so he needs to put that cash to use, so he buys equities, flooding the dollar market, driving the dollar down, if there is no news from the EU, then the euro will go up as a result.

Everything is linked and there is always a cause and effect, don't see EURUSD as a singular, it is a pair and either half can move the price.

The best days to news trade are the interest rate hikes, buy the sh!t out of the half hiking and NFP, loads better, euro will soar, loads worse, euro will fall.
  • #373,170
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:57pm Jan 26, 2011 12:57pm
close below or above 68... the fed may make it irrelevant
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #373,171
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:57pm Jan 26, 2011 12:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
in 6 minutes

Cr@p we both wrong, in 20
  • #373,172
  • Jan 26, 2011 12:59pm Jan 26, 2011 12:59pm
Quoting lev1987
it's possible that I'm not getting it right, I would appreciate a further explanation.

As long as I understand buying stocks is same as buying currency cuz you have to use the currency in order to own the stock. for example: a hard working eu region citizen decides to put his savings in US stocks so he sells EUR - buying USD in order to buy the stock. Am I wrong?

even tho' you might be right that some currency traders know the news before everyone else that way using it to manipulate earnings before the market actually reacts to the news. (short...

The Forex market is so big and depends on so many participants (average daily turnover was US$3.98 trillion in April 2010) that it is not always obvious why the market react in one way or another
  • #373,173
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:00pm Jan 26, 2011 1:00pm
Quoting cloggie
Cr@p we both wrong, in 20
i get mine in about 1m... but they may stall.. usually they release it in paper form also
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #373,174
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:01pm Jan 26, 2011 1:01pm
Quoting cloggie
Cr@p we both wrong, in 20

15 or any mint mostly 2:15est
  • #373,175
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:01pm Jan 26, 2011 1:01pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
here you are. those are based on alpari quotes.
when do you usually calculate them? at the close of a session?
  • #373,176
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:01pm Jan 26, 2011 1:01pm
Quoting lev1987
when you are saying "lets spend the USD" we have you refer to USA citizens?
not really... it refers to everyone investing (read: spending).
if i have gold valued in dollar, and i see the US collapse because of something, i cash in what i can and put it under my pillow to see, how much damage the storm does at all.
that's my basic approach to it. but i don't know much... just enough to make some pips.
  • #373,177
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:01pm Jan 26, 2011 1:01pm
Quoting Shah22
short entered at 3671.. sl 12 pips .. target 3648.. last trade before the news..

SL will get you kill with just Wide Spread during the news
  • #373,178
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:02pm Jan 26, 2011 1:02pm
Quoting cloggie
Risk again, good auction, no default, safe to park a few bill in euro again, euro up, at that moment in time it is looking a little less ugly then the dollar is.

Look at in a different way, money flow. A large manager sits on a few billion in cash, all dollars (as most do), there is a bit of good news, so he needs to put that cash to use, so he buys equities, flooding the dollar market, driving the dollar down, if there is no news from the EU, then the euro will go up as a result.

Everything is linked and there is always a cause and effect,...
no argument with you here, brother!
that makes complete sense!

but if I combine what you've said now and before it's like that:
good news in USA stong EURO :-X
good news in EURO zone strong EURO
  • #373,179
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:02pm Jan 26, 2011 1:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
i get mine in about 1m... but they may stall.. usually they release it in paper form also

did they fax it to u yet they do fax it to the news room
  • #373,180
  • Jan 26, 2011 1:03pm Jan 26, 2011 1:03pm
Quoting lev1987
good news in USA stong EURO :-X
good news in EURO zone strong EURO

Not always, but close, keep in mind that the world runs in dollars, not in euros.
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