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EUR/CHF

  • #681
  • Dec 22, 2010 3:05am Dec 22, 2010 3:05am
HI
this isnt a pair i trade very often, think the only time was with a very tight stop when at 1.4 looking for intervention and it played very well. its being freefalling since.
i have posted a daily chart of what i see, the red tl is the 09-10 lows and orange tl is june- september 10 lows. it is dipping below the red tl now and 1.25 could get a bounce, but i think little more. i will not long the euro against anything as i think euro is going to fall apart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurchf daily.jpg Size: 70 KB
  • #682
  • Edited 6:29am Dec 22, 2010 6:16am | Edited 6:29am
Quoting z3r0
Why!? Why!?? I cannot understand! Why don't people read this thread?
Labas suirad...
Have you noticed how unrealistic your trade idea is and that even your average would have to violently spike up to reach your target? Buying on downward momentum? damn you really are asking for a Christmas gift.
Take this on board:
Labas
Very well, you have an opinion.
But look at weekly chart, price currently approaching the trendline from 2008 October, + we can see bullish divergence with RSI
Maybe now its more realistic?
I mentioned about tight stop for about 80pips on daily chart right below the weekly trendline.

http://img156.imageshack.us/img156/2779/eurchfw.png

Regards,
suirad
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  • #683
  • Dec 22, 2010 7:13am Dec 22, 2010 7:13am
Hello All,

Yesterday Swiss Bank announced that EURCHF can fall to 1.200 level

In my opinion the pair will move up before dive that deep but we never know

Regards,
London Trader
Quoting suirad
Labas
Very well, you have an opinion.
But look at weekly chart, price currently approaching the trendline from 2008 October, + we can see bullish divergence with RSI
Maybe now its more realistic?
I mentioned about tight stop for about 80pips on daily chart right below the weekly trendline.

http://img156.imageshack.us/img156/2779/eurchfw.png

Regards,
suirad
__________________________
My Blog
Discomfort and profit often stand side by side
  • #684
  • Dec 22, 2010 8:13am Dec 22, 2010 8:13am
I found some analysis about EUR/CHF: http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/...ot/2010/12/22/
Enter Signature
  • #685
  • Dec 22, 2010 9:14am Dec 22, 2010 9:14am
Quoting LondonTrader
Hello All,

Yesterday Swiss Bank announced that EURCHF can fall to 1.200 level

In my opinion the pair will move up before dive that deep but we never know

Regards,
London Trader
1.25 area is not easy to take, many big boys waiting to enter here, but everything is possible, i think we'r going to see a sideways range maybe between 1.25 and 1.27 and then eventually go further down...
good luck to yall
consistency wins
  • #686
  • Dec 22, 2010 9:20am Dec 22, 2010 9:20am
Its end of year.

Most big guys are not so much triggerhappy at the moment.

Positions are being closed and transfered.

January should get very interesting.

<1.25 would not be a bad buy, but only a small position.
this pig cannot be slaughtered for ever... or can it?
  • #687
  • Dec 22, 2010 9:49am Dec 22, 2010 9:49am
1.25 is being burst right now, and btw more pips to end the day
  • #688
  • Dec 22, 2010 9:57am Dec 22, 2010 9:57am
Quoting suirad
Labas
Very well, you have an opinion.
But look at weekly chart, price currently approaching the trendline from 2008 October, + we can see bullish divergence with RSI
Maybe now its more realistic?
I mentioned about tight stop for about 80pips on daily chart right below the weekly trendline.

http://img156.imageshack.us/img156/2779/eurchfw.png

Regards,
suirad
__________________________
My Blog

nop still not realistic, you know why? cause on that weekly chart you can see the price action before suggested a reversal.. but now we got nothing of that... just a plain strong downtrend.. your 80 pips loss was huge and easily avoidable.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ec weekly.png Size: 24 KB
  • #689
  • Dec 22, 2010 10:03am Dec 22, 2010 10:03am
Hello people,

Would like to share my analysis for this pair and how I missed 2 very good shorting opportunities using Daily timeframe as setup chart and 4H as trigger chart (I was playing computer lol). But no point trying to catch the trade now! I sincerely apologize if any similar charts have been posted before.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCHF1.JPG Size: 171 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCHF2.JPG Size: 176 KB
  • #690
  • Dec 22, 2010 10:36am Dec 22, 2010 10:36am
Quoting LondonTrader
Hello All,

Yesterday Swiss Bank announced that EURCHF can fall to 1.200 level
Where did you read that ? As far as I know the SNB does not make any predictions like that.
  • #691
  • Dec 22, 2010 10:48am Dec 22, 2010 10:48am
I founded yesterday but I cannot find it again today...sorry about it
LT
Quoting peter54
Where did you read that ? As far as I know the SNB does not make any predictions like that.
Discomfort and profit often stand side by side
  • #692
  • Edited 11:13am Dec 22, 2010 11:09am | Edited 11:13am
My comments, for what its worth:

I am amazed by how far below previous record lows this pair has fallen. Also true for GBPCHF.

I lived in Switzerland for 2 years, return to UK in March. I'm sure you can imagine how delighted I am to have changed my cash at 1.67 (GBPCHF).

I know many euros who live in Zurich who were jumping at the chance to change CHF to EUR at anything less than 1.4 only a few weeks ago.

Switzerland is an unbeleivably expensive place with the CHF is weak. I know SNB have said they will not intervene but it wouldnt surprise me to see something from them.

I also admit I lost when I took a punt long EURCHF last Friday. I did this based on CHF low test daily bars against USD, GBP and EUR. There also appeared to be a double bottom on the hrly chart. Misguided trades, in hindsight, but there were made with reason. I just got it wrong. Thankfully my stops got me out without too much damage.

I see support (based on trend lines) at 1.23 EURCHF and 1.45 GBPCHF. If the price approaches levels, I will again think about a long and will also jump long if we get a retrace before that point.

And, If I go long at 1.3 and 1.45 and get stopped out again, then I will just give up admitting that I have no clue.
  • #693
  • Dec 22, 2010 6:30pm Dec 22, 2010 6:30pm
this is my 4 hour Chart of eurchf
i am not sure if i am right

please give me some advice

my full post on how i trade on Ichimoku

http://preview.shareapic.net/preview7/024134914.gif
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  • #694
  • Dec 22, 2010 8:00pm Dec 22, 2010 8:00pm
Quoting leoforex
this is my 4 hour Chart of eurchf
i am not sure if i am right

please give me some advice

my full post on how i trade on Ichimoku

http://preview.shareapic.net/preview7/024134914.gif
Has ichimoku or chikou span ever worked consistently with EUR CHF?

I would use japanese based indicators only with YEN Crosses, certainly not CHF.

Just my opinion...
this pig cannot be slaughtered for ever... or can it?
  • #695
  • Dec 23, 2010 6:25am Dec 23, 2010 6:25am
+100 pips away from the low. At last some kind of bottom was found.
this pig cannot be slaughtered for ever... or can it?
  • #696
  • Dec 23, 2010 6:53am Dec 23, 2010 6:53am
Anyone know whats going on? Its like 100+ pips and no news?
  • #697
  • Dec 23, 2010 7:06am Dec 23, 2010 7:06am
Quoting georgem
+100 pips away from the low. At last some kind of bottom was found.
on the 1st of December it also went up for +200 pips... but in the next 15 days fell +780 pips. Downtrend line is still intact and maybe we'll go for a re-test. A very nice short opportunity if the price gets to touch it. Use a tight stop and the lower channel support as target = high RRR
  • #698
  • Dec 23, 2010 11:05am Dec 23, 2010 11:05am
merry christmas have some nice holidays
Attached Image
consistency wins
  • #699
  • Dec 23, 2010 11:18am Dec 23, 2010 11:18am
Great trades Itrader

However I think this upmove at the moment is just a bounce which will be sold eventually...
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #700
  • Dec 23, 2010 3:04pm Dec 23, 2010 3:04pm
Quoting iTrader
merry christmas have some nice holidays
that was clearly a gamble in which you got lucky... not to be an ass, but people have long been asking what is the point of sharing your results when you don't share your calls earlier posting your own graphs?. I wouldn't take that risk though cause I consider your trades with a low RRR since their risk is really high and you're clearly challenging the trend which I have no doubt that if you keep doing that you will have your account wiped.
But hey you have made it, that's what it matters. And nonetheless you do deserve to be congratulated. congrats
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