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EUR/CHF

  • #661
  • Dec 20, 2010 6:29am Dec 20, 2010 6:29am
it is challenging its support @ 1.27
  • #662
  • Dec 20, 2010 7:04am Dec 20, 2010 7:04am
Quoting Heliosdz
it is challenging its support @ 1.27
no... there's no support @ 1.27...
  • #663
  • Dec 20, 2010 7:30am Dec 20, 2010 7:30am
EUR/CHF

Buy @ 1.2686 | Closed @ 1.2706
consistency wins
  • #664
  • Dec 21, 2010 9:13am Dec 21, 2010 9:13am
Going long on EURCHF @ 1.26 for 30 pip profit.
  • #665
  • Dec 21, 2010 9:52am Dec 21, 2010 9:52am
I am courius to see what effect chinas help will have on the EUR Zone.
this pig cannot be slaughtered for ever... or can it?
  • #666
  • Dec 21, 2010 9:55am Dec 21, 2010 9:55am
EUR/CHF has a huge downtrend. How to explain these kind of huge moves in one direction? I don't find any good fundamentals or analysis that is able to explain this downtrend.
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  • #667
  • Dec 21, 2010 9:58am Dec 21, 2010 9:58am
Quoting zenoni
EUR/CHF has a huge downtrend. How to explain these kind of huge moves in one direction? I don't find any good fundamentals or analysis that is able to explain this downtrend.
this is not a tradable pair, ECB likes to shove time at a time
  • #668
  • Dec 21, 2010 1:28pm Dec 21, 2010 1:28pm
I'm long from 1,2700 with TP1,300 no SL and 1,26 same tp but I don't smell any retrace soon.Should I went out of this trade guys?
  • #669
  • Dec 21, 2010 1:57pm Dec 21, 2010 1:57pm
I'll likely go long at around 1.2200 or 1.2180, not one pip earlier
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #670
  • Dec 21, 2010 2:29pm Dec 21, 2010 2:29pm
Quoting peter54
I'll likely go long at around 1.2200 or 1.2180, not one pip earlier
That's actually one I will consider too... but I cannot help as to stay impressed with all the guys buying this pair... I mean.. are you guys illiterate or what? can you read the previous posts? Especially the one where it shows that 83%!! of the time this pair is trending down...What you're doing on buying this pair is worse than going to the casino and bet on black in the roulette. In forex you go for the odds in your side. If you're going for the 17% then you're not doing that at all!

In the end of this I bet you guys will still read this and want to long @ 1.255 then 1.24 etc.. *sigh
  • #671
  • Dec 21, 2010 2:39pm Dec 21, 2010 2:39pm
Quoting z3r0
That's actually one I will consider too... but I cannot help as to stay impressed with all the guys buying this pair... I mean.. are you guys illiterate or what? can you read the previous posts? Especially the one where it shows that 83%!! of the time this pair is trending down...What you're doing on buying this pair is worse than going to the casino and bet on black in the roulette. In forex you go for the odds in your side. If you're going for the 17% then you're not doing that at all!

In the end of this I bet you guys will still read this...
so short it then.
  • #672
  • Dec 21, 2010 2:40pm Dec 21, 2010 2:40pm
Quoting z3r0
That's actually one I will consider too... but I cannot help as to stay impressed with all the guys buying this pair... I mean.. are you guys illiterate or what? can you read the previous posts? Especially the one where it shows that 83%!! of the time this pair is trending down...What you're doing on buying this pair is worse than going to the casino and bet on black in the roulette. In forex you go for the odds in your side. If you're going for the 17% then you're not doing that at all!

In the end of this I bet you guys will still read this and...
Thanks for ringing the alarm bell all the time anyway though, I am sure a few listened
  • #673
  • Dec 21, 2010 3:24pm Dec 21, 2010 3:24pm
Quoting iamboston
so short it then.
I've been short on it for a long time. Actually I just closed my position on this pair for a +1060 pip profit. Maybe next year I'll get in at the bottom of the channel that peter54 is referring to as in my opinion (though my channel is slightly different). That channel is the only reference we have to buy. and still I'll be quite careful when the time comes and if it will break I'll definitely won't hesitate to short it again on re-test. For now I only have 1 trade left open - I'm short on gold and just want this to move quickly to be away from the markets since that today and yesterday it PA was terrible on many pairs moving only in very tight ranges. Christmas volume blech!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #674
  • Dec 21, 2010 3:43pm Dec 21, 2010 3:43pm
darn tootin christmas volume...bleh!hehe
hard to stay out of some trades during this time of year.

long looks like a good option at the levels you guys mentioned
  • #675
  • Dec 21, 2010 6:26pm Dec 21, 2010 6:26pm
Full post on EURO Continue to Trade Lower.....

Take a look at the Daily Chart EUR/USD
http://preview.shareapic.net/preview7/024130416.gif

http://img2.imagehyper.com/t/0/0/401...0-0f4403f6.gif

Another Look @ EUR/CHF Daily Chart
http://preview.shareapic.net/preview7/024130415.gif

http://img2.imagehyper.com/t/0/0/401...1-ef79e5de.gif
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  • #676
  • Dec 21, 2010 7:26pm Dec 21, 2010 7:26pm
EUR/CHF totally downtrend, totally oversold. Making all-time lows and RSI near 20 level.
Trying to buy some of this pair again at close of daily candle at around 1.2550. A great entry point where weekly downtrend line and dotted trendline matches (see picture below).
SL very tight for about 50-80 pips because of risk aversion.
TP 1 could be for about 350 pips.

http://img41.imageshack.us/img41/4533/eurchfd2.png

Regards,
suirad
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My Blog
  • #677
  • Dec 21, 2010 8:34pm Dec 21, 2010 8:34pm
Quoting suirad
EUR/CHF totally downtrend, totally oversold. Making all-time lows and RSI near 20 level.
Trying to buy some of this pair again at close of daily candle at around 1.2550. A great entry point where weekly downtrend line and dotted trendline matches (see picture below).
SL very tight for about 50-80 pips because of risk aversion.
TP 1 could be for about 350 pips.

Regards,
suirad
__________________________
My Blog
Why!? Why!?? I cannot understand! Why don't people read this thread?
Labas suirad...
Have you noticed how unrealistic your trade idea is and that even your average would have to violently spike up to reach your target? Buying on downward momentum? damn you really are asking for a Christmas gift.

Take this on board:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #678
  • Dec 21, 2010 8:42pm Dec 21, 2010 8:42pm
Quoting z3r0
Why!? Why!?? I cannot understand! Why don't people read this thread?
Labas suirad...
Have you noticed how unrealistic your trade idea is and that even your average would have to violently spike up to reach your target? Buying on downward momentum? damn you really are asking for a Christmas gift.

Take this on board:
Some people figure: it will maybe never touch the lower trendline at 1.21... thats why they are buying now... before its too late.

My opinion: I am staying on the sidelines. What I am looking for is not the touch of a trendline... but I want some really bad news for USD. Like January NFP extremely worse for america...
then EUR will have time to relax, because USD will be attack focus.

And THEN I will sell CHF.
this pig cannot be slaughtered for ever... or can it?
  • #679
  • Dec 21, 2010 8:53pm Dec 21, 2010 8:53pm
Quoting georgem
Some people figure: it will maybe never touch the lower trendline at 1.21... thats why they are buying now... before its too late.

My opinion: I am staying on the sidelines. What I am looking for is not the touch of a trendline... but I want some really bad news for USD. Like January NFP extremely worse for america...
then EUR will have time to relax, because USD will be attack focus.

And THEN I will sell CHF.
it surely sounds like a good plan. But it's amazing the psychology behind this stuff.. like you said and very well in other words, some people experience the fear of missing out and jump in way too early.. there's not even a plausible sign of reversal it's a falling knife. I swear that when I posted the average of the 330 daily candles trending 83% of the time down... was purely thinking on the psychology.. to prevent somebody to buy and being on the wrong side since that would clearly illustrate that 17% is a freaking tiny chance.. and after so many warnings some people still try. just wow!

I think this pair might reverse at some point but i expect bigger moves on the USD/CHF than EUR/CHF. Notice that when USD/CHF was on the rise (weekly timeframes) EUR/CHF was trading tiny ranges with occasional spikes and we might see that kind of behaviour again I think.
  • #680
  • Dec 22, 2010 2:12am Dec 22, 2010 2:12am
z3ro, I should share some of my profits with you I started shorting this pair since I read your post about daily candles, went short @ 1.27 got 55 pips, then @ 1.26 and got 35 pips, I know I could have made much more but I can't afford high SL.
Now I have another postion opened @ 1.2550, hope it will touch and break 1.25 and go deeper down.
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