I just saw I was blocked in TheLastCoke's thread so I'll post my reply here. Hehe, it may be my last post on ForexFactory.
OK, I don't remember you using the word crash, just wanted to say some of the charts you showed at least implied the price was heading south. Well, to be fair, it does look like you're pointing out from an objective point of view what you are seeing. And, looking at these charts again, you can see those scenarios may have played out the way it seems the price was going to head.
I have the impression though even though I can't find all the charts I thought I saw before that had you shown charts showing things like trendline bounces where people could have participated in the trend rather than having the impression the price is changing directions it would have allowed people to do trend following rather than anticipating a change in direction.
I'll give you examples of the Euro.
Here, you showed a chart indicating the price may head south:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2332
Here, you showed a chart where you were undecided:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2352
Here, you were indicating a possible short position:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2385
Here, you showed one long entry on the Euro (also stops are discussed):
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2407
This one was somewhat neutral (I have to admit I think I may have assumed this was implying a short but you said nothing really):
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2452
There was no comment here again:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2460
There was no comment again here (even though this one could have been seen as an indication to go long):
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2519
Here, similar to the last one:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2548
OK, here you indicated you were long:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2549
A recap here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2567
A post here, difficult to tell what it's implying:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2588
Clueless to what this is saying:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2600
Still clueless:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2635
Not sure:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2683
Seems to be implying a long here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2693
Seems to be implying a possible short:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2750
Looking bearish:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2911
Same here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2939
Again:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2970
Ditto:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2973
Ditto:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2993
Bearish long term here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2995
Implying short again:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3013
Profit target here clearly shows a short:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3050
Same:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3057
Another one:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3073
Here again:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3094
Ah, I give up trying to find the situations I saw. I remember it was around the time TheLastCoke showed a diamond top on the Euro and this was the time that the Euro was simply making consolidation phases instead of making real retracements before heading higher again. So, the Euro ended up going flat right out of the diamond instead of doing a real breakout then resumed its uptrend.
So, yeah, like a poster here said, it may be good if you can decide for yourself which setups will work and which ones to fade. TheLastCoke makes excellent charts. I just wanted to make my point that having a directional bias may help. I'm not implying you could always do this correctly though. (Excuse the long, confusing sentences. heheh)
I'm still not happy they won't allow you to change your username when it's been chosen quickly with an odd one.
OK, I don't remember you using the word crash, just wanted to say some of the charts you showed at least implied the price was heading south. Well, to be fair, it does look like you're pointing out from an objective point of view what you are seeing. And, looking at these charts again, you can see those scenarios may have played out the way it seems the price was going to head.
I have the impression though even though I can't find all the charts I thought I saw before that had you shown charts showing things like trendline bounces where people could have participated in the trend rather than having the impression the price is changing directions it would have allowed people to do trend following rather than anticipating a change in direction.
I'll give you examples of the Euro.
Here, you showed a chart indicating the price may head south:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2332
Here, you showed a chart where you were undecided:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2352
Here, you were indicating a possible short position:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2385
Here, you showed one long entry on the Euro (also stops are discussed):
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2407
This one was somewhat neutral (I have to admit I think I may have assumed this was implying a short but you said nothing really):
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2452
There was no comment here again:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2460
There was no comment again here (even though this one could have been seen as an indication to go long):
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2519
Here, similar to the last one:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2548
OK, here you indicated you were long:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2549
A recap here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2567
A post here, difficult to tell what it's implying:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2588
Clueless to what this is saying:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2600
Still clueless:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2635
Not sure:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2683
Seems to be implying a long here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2693
Seems to be implying a possible short:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2750
Looking bearish:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2911
Same here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2939
Again:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2970
Ditto:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2973
Ditto:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2993
Bearish long term here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=2995
Implying short again:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3013
Profit target here clearly shows a short:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3050
Same:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3057
Another one:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3073
Here again:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3094
Ah, I give up trying to find the situations I saw. I remember it was around the time TheLastCoke showed a diamond top on the Euro and this was the time that the Euro was simply making consolidation phases instead of making real retracements before heading higher again. So, the Euro ended up going flat right out of the diamond instead of doing a real breakout then resumed its uptrend.
So, yeah, like a poster here said, it may be good if you can decide for yourself which setups will work and which ones to fade. TheLastCoke makes excellent charts. I just wanted to make my point that having a directional bias may help. I'm not implying you could always do this correctly though. (Excuse the long, confusing sentences. heheh)
I'm still not happy they won't allow you to change your username when it's been chosen quickly with an odd one.