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  • #310,061
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:31pm Oct 19, 2010 4:31pm
http://pragcap.com/is-the-dollar-ral...ll-risk-assets

take it for what it's worth
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  • #310,062
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:33pm Oct 19, 2010 4:33pm
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  • #310,063
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:34pm Oct 19, 2010 4:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
china will always import commodities. so they have limited expansion... so they blow their money on the worlds largest military. atm you got other Asian country's with cheaper labor. its not as peachy as its made out to be. add in some inflation and those savings rates go down or they cut back. raise the currency value and those other Asian will be glad to build it even cheaper....
good point.
now i bet inflation is higher than they admit.
dollar devalue (and this is where trend lines on weekly charts help you) to 76 level got them all jumping crazy about inflation. cause i bet it's higher.
So they raise rate. but that tempers also growth and risk.

USA going to devalue more. until they get what they want and the KEY is WON going up. because you just can't raise rates enough when inflation hitting the fan.

Also if US is doing the devalue thing they also create inflation which they desire, get the deflation risk off. get the won moving up. gaining exports. Stimulating the economy. Having debt lower because of weak dollar. stocks up price commodities up.

Do you agree ?

So why buy the dollar ? Dollar going up is going to help China more than US.
Also people BS about Q,E .. q.e means nothing just BS media. BS also about China destroying the dollar. they need the dollar.

So why long USD ? i mean over the long term.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #310,064
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:34pm Oct 19, 2010 4:34pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
http://pragcap.com/is-the-dollar-ral...ll-risk-assets

take it for what it's worth
that's what i have been saying.. i got 11 years to back up the past.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #310,065
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:37pm Oct 19, 2010 4:37pm
Quoting 7bit
Attachment
nice chart for tomorrow
ROBOT FOREX
  • #310,066
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:40pm Oct 19, 2010 4:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
that's what i have been saying.. i got 11 years to back up the past.
All these geniuses yelling dollar is dead, trash, etc etc. Go back in this thread to 2006 and 7 while the eu was on this massive bull run to 1.6 The same rhetoric was being said then also. But when ish hit the fan, You saw whose currency was king. Aka safe haven. The USD!
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #310,067
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:44pm Oct 19, 2010 4:44pm
Quoting gatorinla
that's what i have been saying.. i got 11 years to back up the past.
did you read the short article? i was wondering about this table's last line. it basically states, the usd-long is a kind of set and forget thing for a few weeks.
nothing comes as a straight line, but this comes close, doesn't it?

current pa signalizes the same shitty (in this case it's bearish) pa in the near term future. no movement whatsoever, so that it can pick up where we left it.

not a bad thing for me, but i guess one day one of the big tls have to give way.
  • #310,068
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:46pm Oct 19, 2010 4:46pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
did you read the short article? i was wondering about this table's last line. it basically states, the usd-long is a kind of set and forget thing for a few weeks.
nothing comes as a straight line, but this comes close, doesn't it?

current pa signalizes the same shitty (in this case it's bearish) pa in the near term future. no movement whatsoever, so that it can pick up where we left it.

not a bad thing for me, but i guess one day one of the big tls have to give way.
my set and forget was usdx above 76.88 the next the current high... above 78.26 (floating)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #310,069
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:47pm Oct 19, 2010 4:47pm
[quote=T@rantula;4108072]There is NO trend change yet. A break of 3770 was a signal break of h4 trend.

THOSE who thave traded the daily made 1000+ pips on EU daily swings. Now there is a retracement. It could easily make a u-turn on a dynamic support and make a continuation pattern.

Breakout-pullback-continuation.

Remember: Newbies try to predict long in the future. Professionals react quickly enough.

Hi to all.

No trend change yet until these ema´s move to south, you mean?
  • #310,070
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:52pm Oct 19, 2010 4:52pm
the fat lady warming up.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #310,071
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:57pm Oct 19, 2010 4:57pm
Did Helicopter Ben finally start bumping his gums or something? We are getting some movement.
  • #310,072
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:58pm Oct 19, 2010 4:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
the fat lady warming up.
He is 1'st target 79.4
Anything you got on this levels ?
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #310,073
  • Oct 19, 2010 4:58pm Oct 19, 2010 4:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
the fat lady warming up.
yeah it had really warmed up..now it is ready to take some action for the next couple of days hmm
  • #310,074
  • Oct 19, 2010 5:01pm Oct 19, 2010 5:01pm
it doesnt mater what other countrys are doing their all in a race to the bottom and inflation is iraversible if its not then ill buy a sack full of 100 trillion zimbabwa dollar notes
  • #310,075
  • Oct 19, 2010 5:05pm Oct 19, 2010 5:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
my set and forget was usdx above 76.88 the next the current high... above 78.26 (floating)
alright, currently cci on weekly (usdx) is at -105.8936. so when we get >-100, the real party begins? this is weekly, on lower tf it is above 0 already.
  • #310,076
  • Oct 19, 2010 5:06pm Oct 19, 2010 5:06pm
Attached Image



I missed so many pending sells today that didn't fill, no decent retraces so far. Hoping the working wedge will give good entry at 3750/75. Any thoughts? Still got my 4085 sell since Friday. Also entered at 4150 but accidently closed it in a late morning hour in stead of another st trade. sucks big time.
  • #310,077
  • Oct 19, 2010 5:12pm Oct 19, 2010 5:12pm
Quoting enterfx
Attachment


I missed so many pending sells today that didn't fill, no decent retraces so far. Hoping the working wedge will give good entry at 3750/75. Any thoughts? Still got my 4085 sell since Friday. Also entered at 4150 but accidently closed it in a late morning hour in stead of another st trade. sucks big time.
haha, the same happened to me. i was fiddling with moving a stoploss to break even on a tiny position and moved the wrong one. big position stopped out, tiny one was at a loss for a few hours. it sucks when things keep you busy. i'm working on that one.
  • #310,078
  • Oct 19, 2010 5:12pm Oct 19, 2010 5:12pm
Quoting enterfx
UsdChf may have finished it's right shoulder of a possible inverted H&S. 175 pips, in case. Long from 9582

Going nicely. Looking to add positions at dp after close.
  • #310,079
  • Oct 19, 2010 5:13pm Oct 19, 2010 5:13pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
alright, currently cci on weekly (usdx) is at -105.8936. so when we get >-100, the real party begins? this is weekly, on lower tf it is above 0 already.
yeppers... your reading it wrong. 0 is not important. google it. for an explanation on how it works, on the usdx it already crossed... i use 60... so its a strong move,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #310,080
  • Oct 19, 2010 5:15pm Oct 19, 2010 5:15pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
haha, the same happened to me. i was fiddling with moving a stoploss to break even on a tiny position and moved the wrong one. big position stopped out, tiny one was at a loss for a few hours. it sucks when things keep you busy. i'm working on that one.

Too much screen time. From now on I'll take a walk for at least a couple minutes a day .
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