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  • #300,901
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:11am Oct 5, 2010 8:11am
Quoting DMA Trader
i will try not to interpret a rumor since it's a rumor. and i don't trade rumors.

but if it comes good i think will help USD
understood... I still struggle to understand when good US data will help the US and when good US data will help the EUR.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #300,902
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:12am Oct 5, 2010 8:12am
Quoting mercy seat
First major move has been done ... a second one might follow during NY session ... pullbacks could be seen before NYSE open ...

http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/gif.gif

2010-10-05 _ zigzagtracktracer (11h38 CET) EUR-USD 005min _ 000.GIF (29.7 KB)

As long as above 1.3756 ... which could be seen as a minor pullback ... there might be further potential for upside attempts ...

Our calculations show a neutralization...
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/pdf.gif 2010-10-05_13h37_MT_EURUSD Positive For $1.4000 - Charting Europe.pdf (7.9 KB)
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf 2010-10-05_13h37_MT_EURUSD Positive For $1.4000 - Charting Europe.pdf   8 KB | 257 downloads
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #300,903
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:13am Oct 5, 2010 8:13am
I am for a short too but last news always took again eur usd up...I am really afraid of that...
  • #300,904
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:14am Oct 5, 2010 8:14am
Lets get these 25's, I want to head out for a drink...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #300,905
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:14am Oct 5, 2010 8:14am
just remember 1.388 is the 0.618 fibo level of the big downtrend.
  • #300,906
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:16am Oct 5, 2010 8:16am
Quoting pres78
understood... I still struggle to understand when good US data will help the US and when good US data will help the EUR.
you need to know that everyone is focusing on NFP numbers for friday
adjusting position for friday.

so like we've seen we get news we get spikes.

but it's all about NFP - aka Jobs - aka to Q.E. or not to Q.E.

let's say we get good ISM and very good number on NFP (just an example)

well they could delay Q.E. and then well 1.35 it's in a matter of seconds.

just trying to explain an idea don't think it will actually happen.

bad number will pretty much put Q.E. on the table.

it's all about Jobs in the Week with nfp. also look at JPY pairs friday. fireworks
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,907
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:16am Oct 5, 2010 8:16am
Quoting pres78
understood... I still struggle to understand when good US data will help the US and when good US data will help the EUR.
If there is a good data for US there is always a strong possibility that the money will be put in equities thus reducing cash flow and that weakens U$
  • #300,908
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:16am Oct 5, 2010 8:16am
I also agree and see that 1.3880
  • #300,909
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:18am Oct 5, 2010 8:18am
Quoting DMA Trader
you need to know that everyone is focusing on NFP numbers for friday
adjusting position for friday.

so like we've seen we get news we get spikes.

but it's all about NFP - aka Jobs - aka to Q.E. or not to Q.E.

let's say we get good ISM and very good number on NFP (just an example)

well they could delay Q.E. and then well 1.35 it's in a matter of seconds.

just trying to explain an idea don't think it will actually happen.

bad number will pretty much put Q.E. on the table.

it's all about Jobs in the Week...
Do you think the NFP numbers on friday will be a good idicatr if there will be QE or not?
Good numbers = Less chance for QE
Bad numbers = Good chance for QE
?
  • #300,910
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:20am Oct 5, 2010 8:20am
hi, we will see 1.3847 then 1.3900 at this week, soon. good trading.
13900 is strong resistance.
Good companion, is a trophy.
  • #300,911
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:21am Oct 5, 2010 8:21am
Quoting mercy seat
First major move has been done ... a second one might follow during NY session ... pullbacks could be seen before NYSE open ...

http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/gif.gif 2010-10-05 _ zigzagtracktracer (11h38 CET) EUR-USD 005min _ 000.GIF (29.7 KB)

As long as above 1.3756 ... which could be seen as a minor pullback ... there might be further potential for upside attempts ...
Our calculations show a neutralization...
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/pdf.gif

2010-10-05_14h06_MT_EURUSD Resumes Run After Central Bank Moves.pdf (8.3 KB)
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf 2010-10-05_14h06_MT_EURUSD Resumes Run After Central Bank Moves.pdf   8 KB | 300 downloads
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #300,912
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:21am Oct 5, 2010 8:21am
Quoting Sunsi
Do you think the NFP numbers on friday will be a good idicatr if there will be QE or not?
Good numbers = Less chance for QE
Bad numbers = Good chance for QE
?
yes something like that. just trying to explain a concept.
it's really not a simple game.
you also have OPEX. you got earning season.
it will be very volatile.

we are building huge expectations for EUR/USD pair.
this could also be a buy on rumor sell on the news event.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,913
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:26am Oct 5, 2010 8:26am
Quoting DMA Trader
you need to know that everyone is focusing on NFP numbers for friday
adjusting position for friday.

so like we've seen we get news we get spikes.

but it's all about NFP - aka Jobs - aka to Q.E. or not to Q.E.

let's say we get good ISM and very good number on NFP (just an example)

well they could delay Q.E. and then well 1.35 it's in a matter of seconds.

just trying to explain an idea don't think it will actually happen.

bad number will pretty much put Q.E. on the table.

it's all about Jobs in the Week...
So if the US actually gains jobs as forcasted (would be first time since June) even if only a few could be quite bullish for the USD as QE could potentially be delayed further?
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #300,914
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:28am Oct 5, 2010 8:28am
QE is coming for sure...

Also, it's great to wake up and see Gold and silver at new highs again and that USD being crushed down again and again
US Dollar is trash... Get out of that Ponzi scheme !!!
  • #300,915
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:28am Oct 5, 2010 8:28am
Quoting pres78
So if the US actually gains jobs as forcasted (would be first time since June) even if only a few could be quite bullish for the USD as QE could potentially be delayed further?
no.

we need a big number to delay Q.E.

to get unemployment rate down you need good numbers

Non-Farm Employment Change

3K
-54K

you think 3K would bring the rate down ? no way.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,916
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:29am Oct 5, 2010 8:29am
gold and silver are shinning again today
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,917
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:31am Oct 5, 2010 8:31am
Quoting DMA Trader
no.

we need a big number to delay Q.E.

to get unemployment rate down you need good numbers

Non-Farm Employment Change

3K
-54K

you think 3K would bring the rate down ? no way.
Yes I see that now too... the rate is forcasted to actually go up.

Thanks again for all of your replies.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #300,918
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:31am Oct 5, 2010 8:31am
I hate calling the Euro's action like Ms. Cleo, only to be too spooked to make a move. Sitting on the sidelines last night cost me around $1400 smackers.

I keep telling myself that it could have just as easily gone the other way, but I don't know.

That's the biggest thing I hate about trading...the 'shoulda woulda couldas'. You tell yourself your being responsible by not risking your money...

I'm long on the Euro again. Big time. This time I think I'll just leave it until we get at least to the mid .39s. I think the Euro should continue its climb with the US equities market open looking good.
  • #300,919
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:32am Oct 5, 2010 8:32am
Quoting pres78
Yes I see that now too... the rate is forcasted to actually go up.

Thanks again for all of your replies.
any time
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,920
  • Oct 5, 2010 8:32am Oct 5, 2010 8:32am
Unemployment is there to stay and will continue... there is no recovery coming up in the US
US Dollar is trash... Get out of that Ponzi scheme !!!
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