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  • #291,361
  • Sep 12, 2010 11:42pm Sep 12, 2010 11:42pm
Quoting kuroro001
Hey guys,

If this scenario doesn't play out in the days ahead, i'll look for a clear break of the downside during London session only.

Attachment

Add to this the fact the volume is getting higher on the topside and slowing down on the downside. I'm not a pro in volume analysis, but it looks to me as if it wants to break the upside.
We'll see what happens in the coming days.
Upside target reached.
I went short at the top..the first 30mn could not take out the 1,2810+ area...waiting the 1,2750 area and lower.
I maybe should have waited the hourly close though...we'll see

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2010-09-13_1434-eurusd.png Size: 55 KB
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #291,362
  • Sep 12, 2010 11:51pm Sep 12, 2010 11:51pm
Morning to all . good development eu at this week start ! may be it enters a decision making week .
anyway now again to confuse ,either to go 2850 or to back 2732/19 next before that , lets see , may be a bear pattern will hammer it down again.closing the onely long .
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.gif Size: 17 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #291,363
  • Sep 12, 2010 11:52pm Sep 12, 2010 11:52pm
EU : I think there will be many surprises
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  • #291,364
  • Sep 12, 2010 11:58pm Sep 12, 2010 11:58pm
Quoting netrader06
Look for a sell from 1.2808 maybe.

So far so good.
  • #291,365
  • Sep 12, 2010 11:59pm Sep 12, 2010 11:59pm
Quoting netrader06
So far so good.
where is your TP
  • #291,366
  • Edited 12:17am Sep 13, 2010 12:00am | Edited 12:17am
Quoting buonvangvn
EU : I think there will be many surprises
Not understand from big fonts & chart what message you want tell , can you detail a little please .

yes I am still bull bais , closed long strategically only may reload at some low again , if ok .or even may short scalp if got time to .

The camel or the ostrich extended the neck , now to either show the face or with a bent extend more .
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 12 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #291,367
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:13am Sep 13, 2010 12:13am
Quoting fontu
Not understand from big fonts & chart what message you want tell , can you detail a little please .

yes I am still bull bais , closed long strategically only may reload at some low again , if ok .or even may short scalp if got time to .

The camel or the ostrich extended the neck , now to either show the face or with a bent extend more .
fontu
I think will have a strong
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  • #291,368
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:24am Sep 13, 2010 12:24am
Quoting buonvangvn
I think will have a strong

Thanks , yes same views nourishing for long time and perhaps against own believe !! how possible but still on track & not ended. well analysed & now let it do what pa wants.
good job.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #291,369
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:37am Sep 13, 2010 12:37am
Quoting joesen
where is your TP

I actually just closed at 1.2790. I am well up from the run up since open and need to get some sleep. Good thing I did as I see it has turned up again. I would say TP @ 1.2737 looks good below 1.2808 with SL at 1.2823 >
Then a bounce from 1.2737 ( if it does make it ) just up to 1.2769 and then a drop from there to 1.2585 over the next few days. A low today of 1.2718 back where we started is all I see for today though. With a high no higher than 1.2831 if 1.2808 is broken again. We need a break of 1.2915 for a real break towards 1.3246 to happen. Like I said though...I need to get some sleep so I could be way off. I am just going to thank the market for the cash, get some sleep and check back later after the U.S open to see how it all turned out and play it from there though the week weather its towards 1.3246 or 1.2585.
Good choices all.......
  • #291,370
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:37am Sep 13, 2010 12:37am
Correction needed, worth shorting for a few

http://img543.imageshack.us/img543/8167/eu1.gif
  • #291,371
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:42am Sep 13, 2010 12:42am
Quoting kuroro001
Upside target reached.
I went short at the top..the first 30mn could not take out the 1,2810+ area...waiting the 1,2750 area and lower.
I maybe should have waited the hourly close though...we'll see

Attachment
Target lowered to 1,2742
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #291,372
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:51am Sep 13, 2010 12:51am
1. We could be going into an uptrend here as shown in my EU H4 chart, We are in a nice blue colored channel.

2. We are also in a small yellow colored downtrend channel, shown in yellow, but this can break tonight if it exceeds 1.2813

3. I also see an ascending triangle forming up, which means we might test 1.2925 again, may be tomorrow and then there will be a huge move, most likely up, but not every ascending triangle breaks upwards (70% does)

Just be ready for a huge move soon, EU been holding for last 25 days in a tight 250 pip range.

Goodluck trading.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #291,373
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:52am Sep 13, 2010 12:52am
Quoting joesen
where is your TP
last few weeks have been pianfull

we could get a move to 2900 and then range 2800 to 2900 all week

or we could breakout 1.2900 into 1.3000 to 1.3100 ( assuming current 21 week average range is 330 pip ) and 1,2700 was low of week

Or we could see 1.2800 as top of week and 1,2500 as bottom ...lol


so three options ... for anything further than the next 100 pip we have to wait to see how the next 24 hours matures ... Monday Tuesday set tone for balance of week , nearly always it seems

1,2750 top of broken range has yet to be tested ..... maybe before London. I have a long sitting there with a 20 pip stop
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #291,374
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:53am Sep 13, 2010 12:53am
gap? do you have a gap on daily chart?
  • #291,375
  • Sep 13, 2010 12:58am Sep 13, 2010 12:58am
usdx now , failed bull , below 200ma H1 , to break 200ma h4 low 82.05 to test daily 200ma 81.40 & for weekly one perhaps before decision .
May try bounce at 82, 81.83/71 likely if even fail at last .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #291,376
  • Sep 13, 2010 1:02am Sep 13, 2010 1:02am
trading is easy once you understand that a bunch of fancy tl on a chart do not mean to much

pros seem to buy and sell at certain pre defined areas ....these are simple horizontal s/r lines.

Last week I mentioned we were in channel 1.2650 to 1.2750 ish till we weren't , well now we are not.

the channel is now 1.2750 to 1.2900 , look to buy at 1.2750 or as close as possible and look to see if up move stalls 1.2900 , those are the ' battle lines ' for now till this channel breaks either way

options expiry is this coming friday for options on stocks

this daily chart shows the simple s/r areas

Good luck to all in the week ahead.

Attachment
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 30 KB
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #291,377
  • Sep 13, 2010 1:10am Sep 13, 2010 1:10am
Ain't good for shorts now... but as long as 1,2815 ain't taken out it's fine.
It's about to be though...let's see what Frankie wants to do
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #291,378
  • Sep 13, 2010 1:13am Sep 13, 2010 1:13am
Quoting kuroro001
Ain't good for shorts now... but as long as 1,2815 ain't taken out it's fine.
It's about to be though...let's see what Frankie wants to do
top channel 1.2900 , bottom 1.2750 .. in between no mans land . BTW dip to 1.2780 got bought heavy , check your 15 min with volume on it , so right now i favour 2900 1st and entered 1,2785
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #291,379
  • Sep 13, 2010 1:14am Sep 13, 2010 1:14am
Don't take risk with shorts.
As i said earlier and still the same: Bull got a good setup to climb
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #291,380
  • Sep 13, 2010 1:15am Sep 13, 2010 1:15am
Quoting kuroro001
Ain't good for shorts now... but as long as 1,2815 ain't taken out it's fine.
It's about to be though...let's see what Frankie wants to do
yes have a plan to enter first short at 2833 and the next one on 2853 with sl 2879 all
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