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  • #286,861
  • Aug 27, 2010 1:36pm Aug 27, 2010 1:36pm
I also want it down!, want to make it a sure call...I am still not sure the trend will turn yet....So I am still waiting for a good entry point, very hard currently to predict. If you look at the directly correlated pair GBPUSD it suggests that the EURUSD should drop..... anyone thinking like me on that?
  • #286,862
  • Aug 27, 2010 1:39pm Aug 27, 2010 1:39pm
Quoting ClasH
I also want it down!, want to make it a sure call...I am still not sure the trend will turn yet....So I am still waiting for a good entry point, very hard currently to predict. If you look at the directly correlated pair GBPUSD it suggests that the EURUSD should drop..... anyone thinking like me on that?
I Agree, @ this momment GU moves in Downtrend, i have no doubt
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"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #286,863
  • Aug 27, 2010 1:39pm Aug 27, 2010 1:39pm
Happy weekend to all !
  • #286,864
  • Aug 27, 2010 1:47pm Aug 27, 2010 1:47pm
Quoting TripeiroFX
I Agree, @ this momment GU moves in Downtrend, i have no doubt
Jupp thats what scares me....looks like our logic is on the same page here
  • #286,865
  • Aug 27, 2010 1:59pm Aug 27, 2010 1:59pm
Quoting TripeiroFX
Hello Malcomb14, our Down move are tested... 1,2780 zone stopped this upside movemment for now, could bears defeat bulls now?? Maybe one re-test to 1,2770/80 zone come's again and i hope that the broken be denied again... i want price down

still in this uptrend channel ...

old benny boy says they can buy more tresury bonds this n that ... with what ? supposedly the 700 billion they gave out has been repaid... I say supposedly as at the time they we were giving it out they had NO clue who was getting what. market rasies today based on his comments. Market goes up on relief rally ... hold on did the housing data and every other data this week not suck !!!! lol.....ben opens his gob and market rallies.

I am watching this channel carefully , not really taking any long term trades , just day trades ( i am 90% a day trader anyway) , If this channel breaks to the downside then I may be tempted to go for a sell and hold for a week or 2

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Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #286,866
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:00pm Aug 27, 2010 2:00pm
Quoting kidspips
Thanks a lot!!

Happy weekend!
no problem. FYI: i PM'ed the bloomberg reporter who is in jackson hole covering the event and asked if Trichet had talked yet. according to him: "not yet. His speech is embargoed for 4:30 pm NY time."

meaning..1.5 hours more. he talks after equity market closes.
  • #286,867
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:04pm Aug 27, 2010 2:04pm
Had to step away from my desk and shifted SL to 42 where I was taken out. Oh well...

Enjoy your weekends folks and catch you again next week!

Cheers!
  • #286,868
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:08pm Aug 27, 2010 2:08pm
Quoting malcolmb14
still in this uptrend channel ...

old benny boy says they can buy more tresury bonds this n that ... with what ? supposedly the 700 billion they gave out has been repaid... I say supposedly as at the time they we were giving it out they had NO clue who was getting what. market rasies today based on his comments. Market goes up on relief rally ... hold on did the housing data and every other data this week not suck !!!! lol.....ben opens his gob and market rallies.

I am watching this channel carefully , not really taking any long term trades...
I'm agree with you we are in a Uptrend in H1 but in Long Term we are in Downtrend, and medium Term Today we test the TLDW ( Trend Line Down), do you not agree?!? That´s becaus we are in DOWNTREND in Medium and Long term that my analisys tell move down into 1,24XX and much lower (maybe below 1,18XX)
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"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #286,869
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:11pm Aug 27, 2010 2:11pm
Quoting TripeiroFX
I'm agree with you we are in a Uptrend in H1 but in Long Term we are in Downtrend, and medium Term Today we test the TLDW ( Trend Line Down), do you not agree?!? That´s becaus we are in DOWNTREND in Medium and Long term that my analisys tell move down into 1,24XX and much lower (maybe below 1,18XX)
If correlation stays the same the usd will get stronger as us market moves down

the up move today I looked at a few things , but mostly noted it in the industrials like CAT. CAT has moved up today nicely BUT on half it's regualr volume. This is not buying interest ... more of a relief rally that likely will be hit next week
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #286,870
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:13pm Aug 27, 2010 2:13pm
Quoting malcolmb14
chanlle seems to be 1.2695 to 1.2770 for now.

There has been heavy selling all week at 1.2770

reality is anything above a 15 min chart this week has been hard to trade

I played ES and ab it of AJ most of week... eu was a nightmare , but i am sure many in here got every pip and no losses as always lol
(PV raises his hand) - I took a loss earlier this week on USDCHF. Not afraid to admit it.....part of the profession. And, several of my EURUSD scalps at BE+ got stopped out, giving back potential profit (1/2 off the table the rest moved to BE+)....it was indeed a difficult week.
  • #286,871
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:29pm Aug 27, 2010 2:29pm
Quoting PriceVolume
(PV raises his hand) - I took a loss earlier this week on USDCHF. Not afraid to admit it.....part of the profession. And, several of my EURUSD scalps at BE+ got stopped out, giving back potential profit (1/2 off the table the rest moved to BE+)....it was indeed a difficult week.
It happens to everyone, hopefully you cut the losses short though...


Have a nice weekend guys, Im out!
  • #286,872
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:39pm Aug 27, 2010 2:39pm
Quoting PriceVolume
(PV raises his hand) - I took a loss earlier this week on USDCHF. Not afraid to admit it.....part of the profession. And, several of my EURUSD scalps at BE+ got stopped out, giving back potential profit (1/2 off the table the rest moved to BE+)....it was indeed a difficult week.
took a few good hits myself and stopped out be alot of times on what was 40 pip profit

By wednesday as fed up and packed it in for the week. .... while i was still barely ahead

Switched over to trade ES , that i am liking more and more over FX
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #286,873
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:39pm Aug 27, 2010 2:39pm
Quoting PriceVolume
(PV raises his hand) - I took a loss earlier this week on USDCHF. Not afraid to admit it.....part of the profession. And, several of my EURUSD scalps at BE+ got stopped out, giving back potential profit (1/2 off the table the rest moved to BE+)....it was indeed a difficult week.
i took a hit on the yen (100 +)
eu 2732/2726/2719.7 tells me 2783 is still in play
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #286,874
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:45pm Aug 27, 2010 2:45pm
Quoting malcolmb14
took a few good hits myself and stopped out be alot of times on what was 40 pip profit

By wednesday as fed up and packed it in for the week. .... while i was still barely ahead

Switched over to trade ES , that i am liking more and more over FX
I think futures are better to trade than fx.You have more control of your trades on futures.Cant get a limit in on fx..On /es I have a scalping strategy where I can get an average of 1-2pts per trade.When I started trading fx, I realized that kind of strategy wasn't possible.When you have a mkt order filled you start off 3 pips down...
When The Ducks Start Quackin..
  • #286,875
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:45pm Aug 27, 2010 2:45pm
with tsl just shorted usd/chf 3113 and eg earlier at 8223
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #286,876
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:51pm Aug 27, 2010 2:51pm
Quoting Dillinger563
I think futures are better to trade than fx.You have more control of your trades on futures.Cant get a limit in on fx..On /es I have a scalping strategy where I can get an average of 1-2pts per trade.When I started trading fx, I realized that kind of strategy wasn't possible.When you have a mkt order filled you start off 3 pips down...
not sure what broker you using .. but standard on ES you pay spread point and pay broker per contract comission , so you do start off down some

es I seem to be able to read easier , almost can predict what is going to happen at certain price levels. maybe cause it is auto tradded so much ,

The one thing that I do not like about es is that it can be manipulated , but these day I am seeing that in fx also ..... never thought it could be , but , as in the other night a 110 pip move up gu in asia under no volume just to be dropped in London , obvisouly it can
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #286,877
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:52pm Aug 27, 2010 2:52pm
time to sleep..wish you all best guys..have a nice weekend..see you on monday
  • #286,878
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:56pm Aug 27, 2010 2:56pm
There was a statment by Japan Finance Minister that he is going to deal with JPY appreciation in FX

From 10 Aug to today anyone can write what the Bernad has to say

Bring confidence in the consumer market . creat Job confidence will follow
  • #286,879
  • Aug 27, 2010 2:57pm Aug 27, 2010 2:57pm
Quoting TripeiroFX
I Agree, @ this momment GU moves in Downtrend, i have no doubt
May be for very short term & not last long. Different views for medium term up still active. gbp may strenthen against jpy while jpy should strengthen against usd & so medium term gbp to stregthen against usd continue .just checking inter relations .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #286,880
  • Aug 27, 2010 3:02pm Aug 27, 2010 3:02pm
Certainly can relate to some of the comments here, a real pig of a week, especially for longer time frame traders, some horrible priceaction. i took my share of the pain. If you finished the week in the green, have a drink on me, weldone...
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