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  • #276,321
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:37am Jul 29, 2010 10:37am
If the Euro continues to move higher in the midst of this Sell off in the Stock market, that would be a good indication that we may indeed see 3050 today.

Quoting SunTrader
Big selling in NY stocks ATM.
  • #276,322
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:37am Jul 29, 2010 10:37am
Yes i know I trade with OEC but I use SierraCharts for charting ... the only affordable option for me.

sisse

Quoting SunTrader
IB is who I trade through but their charting and anyone else's I've seen is IMHO like taking a slingshot in to a battle in Afghanistan.
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #276,323
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:44am Jul 29, 2010 10:44am
bulls are giving up? come on, u haven't touched 3130 yet
If only,.....
  • #276,324
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:45am Jul 29, 2010 10:45am
Quoting SunTrader
Big selling in NY stocks ATM.
Sold all my equities, just about last week. should have waited just a bit longer. Now I don't care if all the stock markets in US, GB and Europe crashes.
  • #276,325
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:45am Jul 29, 2010 10:45am
Quoting dreed
..... we may indeed see 3050 today.
Very probable.
  • #276,326
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:47am Jul 29, 2010 10:47am
Quoting Atlast
... Contrary to popular belief, big money sells on the way up, and buys on the way down, when positioning...
Exactly.
  • #276,327
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:55am Jul 29, 2010 10:55am
Quoting sisse
I see where are you coming from. Although your link between monetary policy and housing marking is true I don't think this is the case right now in the Euro Zone (yes Spain, Ireland have housing related problems too). The actual european bank struggles are related more to sovereign debt risk aspects rather than internal housing market.

Also the key problems of the euro are not only related to the banking sector but to the lack common fiscal policy (or the lack of national monetary policy if you want to take the other side) so the fiscal mismanagement...
well i posted long before your chart about the weakening euro. anyway that sovereign debt you talk about is still here. the the housing debt. you talk about is still here. add in the future debt. not talked about in the news yet. when money is tightened there is a reaction. the bs about banks is just there to fool the sheep. ez is still sitting with high social cost on an aging population. of the 3 things needed for a strong currency (you need at least one). manufacturing, banking, or commodities. im sure we can agree to exclude commodities. so after we got banking and manufacturing. only time will tell if europe can compete with asia in manufacturing. but im sure asia can do it cheaper. so that leads us to banking. now its time to see where the tightening realization will take us. the sheep will follow only if fed. tick tock.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #276,328
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:56am Jul 29, 2010 10:56am
Huge sell off in gbp, drop 70 pips from fresh highs, .... the euro, nop, where are the supposed indians selling on 1.3070???
  • #276,329
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:58am Jul 29, 2010 10:58am
scalping shorts ok so far, below 3057 to take care & 50 will start small long at & below .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #276,330
  • Jul 29, 2010 10:59am Jul 29, 2010 10:59am
Quoting SunTrader
Very probable.
right now, I expect a small recovery on the stock markets - but I'm also still confident, that e/u falls today to 1.3050
Pecunia non olet
  • #276,331
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:00am Jul 29, 2010 11:00am
any news why GU fall so certainly
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  • #276,332
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:02am Jul 29, 2010 11:02am
Quoting wm-eu
right now, I expect a small recovery on the stock markets - but I'm also still confident, that e/u falls today to 1.3050
on what basis u are confident?
  • #276,333
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:02am Jul 29, 2010 11:02am
Quoting Alihuzaifa
any news why GU fall so certainly
no idea but I am short. It might be related with moody uncertainess for downgrading
  • #276,334
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:06am Jul 29, 2010 11:06am
what is propping this pair up? dow is selling off. Most people expect a drop. Why won't this thing hurry up and fall.
  • #276,335
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:08am Jul 29, 2010 11:08am
Quoting Alihuzaifa
any news why GU fall so certainly
Don't know, but USDJPY is about to break important support!
  • #276,336
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:09am Jul 29, 2010 11:09am
Quoting gatorinla
well i posted long before your chart about the weakening euro. anyway that sovereign debt you talk about is still here. the the housing debt. you talk about is still here. add in the future debt. not talked about in the news yet. when money is tightened there is a reaction. the bs about banks is just there to fool the sheep. ez is still sitting with high social cost on an aging population. of the 3 things needed for a strong currency (you need at least one). manufacturing, banking, or commodities. im sure we can agree to exclude commodities. so...
Just for curiosity, how about USA? Is everything ok there? I suppose their situation influence EUR/USD, don't you think so?
  • #276,337
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:13am Jul 29, 2010 11:13am
Quoting Alihuzaifa
on what basis u are confident?
the chart looked to be bearish - a possible double top and some lower lows in the last hour - but with this 25 pip rally I have to rethink my position.
Pecunia non olet
  • #276,338
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:18am Jul 29, 2010 11:18am
Quoting sed34
what is propping this pair up? dow is selling off. Most people expect a drop. Why won't this thing hurry up and fall.
The willingness of big fishs who knows lot of money going short so they took it away from you.
  • #276,339
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:20am Jul 29, 2010 11:20am
Quoting Mr Bull
Just for curiosity, how about USA? Is everything ok there? I suppose their situation influence EUR/USD, don't you think so?
they are terrible. its no secret. .. so what now? things are terrible in the consuming country. what happens to the exporting ones? s. korea is devaluing to keep up on export declining fears. on the other hand ez tightens with stress test. who wins? well jd powers says s. korea..
you do know im talking in longer tf? from 5m to a few months then years..?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #276,340
  • Jul 29, 2010 11:21am Jul 29, 2010 11:21am
Quoting wm-eu
the chart looked to be bearish - a possible double top and some lower lows in the last hour - but with this 25 pip rally I have to rethink my position.

Looks like a double top or 2 pin bars on the 1H.

The bulls have not given up but do not seem to be able to get past 1.3100.

A little early to be sure but it looks as though this is going down. My concern with shorting would be if there were bad GDP numbers for the US tomorrow.
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