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EURUSD

  • #274,401
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:24am Jul 23, 2010 2:24am
Right now; Moody's placed Hungary's BAA1 sovereign rating under review for possible downgrade.
  • #274,402
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:25am Jul 23, 2010 2:25am
Quoting Larseg
No worries buddy, here's a new 1 day lasting link...
http://www.djnewsplus.com/ge/al?rnd=...pQS%2BrA%3D%3D


I would expect EUR to be strong as slightly negative stress test results is expected and since all the 6 banks in Greece passed, who can not pass?

How good the test is another question... still long BE with 54 pips+-
Yeah Greece passes...I think not. You KNOW one reason for Greeces crisis is they got caught badly lying about their numbers to the EU.
Also, there was a pre release in the last couple days that Ireland, Austria and SPAIN all passed too. We already know about Spain. EU has Hungary that wouldn't bother with test(they just flat out admit "we're screwed"), Ukraine, Italy, and even German banks in trouble.
The US does not go bad on debt (default). Instead the US will use inflation as their downfall.
  • #274,403
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:27am Jul 23, 2010 2:27am
Quoting vitruvius
Right now; Moody's placed Hungary's BAA1 sovereign rating under review for possible downgrade.
Here we go again. Manipulation mechanisms are taking the stage
  • #274,404
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:31am Jul 23, 2010 2:31am
Tri Star



• Direction: Bearish
• Type: Reversal
• Reliability: Moderate
The Bearish Tri Star pattern is very rare, but when it occurs it has significant top reversal .
but it is on H4 tf & so not any great perhaps .
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #274,405
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:35am Jul 23, 2010 2:35am
Quoting vitruvius
Right now; Moody's placed Hungary's BAA1 sovereign rating under review for possible downgrade.
I am based in EE and believe me the situation is appalling.
As for the country I am currently based VAT has jumped to 24%, governemtn salaries is cut by 25%, all pensions cut by 25% and there is no credit.
This country was desperate jon the EZ but since it has it has been in desperate financial trouble ever since. None of the promised EU financial aid has been used properly and now its pretty well frozen.
When will people figure out you cannot have one currency for so many different countries with different governments. 2c
  • #274,406
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:37am Jul 23, 2010 2:37am
Quoting fontu
Tri Star

[color=black][font=Arial]...
Have a look at the large soldier protecting the long off the bottom. That soldier has to be attacked. If it can't withstand the onslaught, it's all over.
  • #274,407
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:42am Jul 23, 2010 2:42am
Perhaps your right, but I am only willing to Risk 20 pips on my Long EURO trade, if I am stopped out, it meant I was wrong with my analysis. The Market is always right, I am the one that some times makes error in my market judgements/analysis.

Quoting fontu
20pips stop can be risky , 2839 or 26 can be expected down because I think stress test result still about 9 hrs left & before it may not test up tl for mostly failure to expect & down down play prominently . anyway it work also for tp at 2904 .
fontu
  • #274,408
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:43am Jul 23, 2010 2:43am
Do we think that the affect of these stress tests on the market was seen this past week already....or was this just a run up to get a better price before the release so market makers can short it from higher up?
  • #274,409
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:49am Jul 23, 2010 2:49am
Anyone care to post their expectation for move at test announcement?

220 short
  • #274,410
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:57am Jul 23, 2010 2:57am
Commodity currencies are going up. At this moment, CAD seems to be the star.
  • #274,411
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:58am Jul 23, 2010 2:58am
Quoting Atlast
Have a look at the large soldier protecting the long off the bottom. That soldier has to be attacked. If it can't withstand the onslaught, it's all over.
Sopt this candle & IB to break either side . sell off there , with tristars , utl & ltl , stress test stress etc can lead to take bo towards 1.2713 support but still nothing seems over for bull and at the same time there occured buy signal in H4 & can expect buy after the retracement be over if market behave normal soon. waiting how it acts.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #274,412
  • Edited 3:18am Jul 23, 2010 3:00am | Edited 3:18am
Quoting Mr Bull
Maybe that's the power of carry trade. Also, when in doubt, go with the trend
Which trend? Monthly, weekly or hourly. What if monthly down weekly up and hourly down? lol


Quoting Mr Bull
How come is always ECB intervention? Why not US intervention?
Check their trade balance + current a/c data. Who the hell bought euro when moody downgraded several european countries? That was ecb intervention and euro boosted over the board.

Fed didn't offer billion dollars special lending package with lowest rate.

hope you understand.

Quoting Mr Bull
In the end, a weak dollar will mostly benefit USA.
Export or import? And how? explain... lol
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #274,413
  • Jul 23, 2010 3:03am Jul 23, 2010 3:03am
Quoting fontu
Tri Star

[color=black][font=Arial]...
wat about this sudden move ???

Ub
  • #274,414
  • Jul 23, 2010 3:03am Jul 23, 2010 3:03am
Those poor people. ECB pumps and Europeans pay the high social costs etc. when a lower euro would bring healing.
  • #274,415
  • Jul 23, 2010 3:04am Jul 23, 2010 3:04am
news was better then expected
  • #274,416
  • Jul 23, 2010 3:07am Jul 23, 2010 3:07am
Quoting ubaidahsan
wat about this sudden move ???

Ub
German IFO survey way better than expected 106.2 vs. 101.5.
  • #274,417
  • Jul 23, 2010 3:09am Jul 23, 2010 3:09am
  •  flx
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Avoid Death by a Thousand Stops | 86 Posts
Fibo Expansion based at impulse on h4

1st target 1.2965
2nd 1.3033
3rd 1.3142
What goes around comes around
  • #274,418
  • Jul 23, 2010 3:09am Jul 23, 2010 3:09am
Quoting Powerm@n
Bounce before drop or drop before bounce
Addicted to FX
  • #274,419
  • Jul 23, 2010 3:14am Jul 23, 2010 3:14am
long @ 12880
SL = BE
target: R2 (but I'm alert because it is friday, if profit taking begin to occur, I'm out)
  • #274,420
  • Jul 23, 2010 3:14am Jul 23, 2010 3:14am
Quoting forexings
Which trend? Monthly, weekly or hourly. What if monthly down weekly up and hourly down? lol.
Well, let's just stick to H4, daily and weekly


Quoting forexings
Check their trade balance + current a/c data. Who the hell bought euro when moody downgraded several european countries? That was ecb intervention and euro boosted over the board.

Fed didn't offer billion dollars special lending package with lowest rate.

hope you understand.
Of course not. They just bailout most of the banks they thaught they should help. And please, forget the rating agencies. They are becoming really annoying. Now, every week we have downgrades of european countries and financial institutions. Why didn't they downgraded Lehman Brothers, Fanny Mae, USA...in 2008/2009?
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