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EURUSD

  • #272,581
  • Jul 17, 2010 5:30pm Jul 17, 2010 5:30pm
Pair makes another high and guess what? 50% retrace.
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  • #272,582
  • Jul 17, 2010 5:31pm Jul 17, 2010 5:31pm
I can do this all day on this pair.

Quoting Nene
Pair makes another high and guess what? 50% retrace.
  • #272,583
  • Edited 10:45pm Jul 17, 2010 9:52pm | Edited 10:45pm
Quoting Nene
If the newbys would just stay in the background and try to learn something instead of asking where the price is going they would be a lot better off. Way to many people in here making calls that have no clue at all.
There is no 'natural born trader'. Every trader start as newbies. Would be 'worst' if senior traders making calls and have no clue at all...
  • #272,584
  • Jul 18, 2010 12:18am Jul 18, 2010 12:18am
Apologies for the earlier post... got my daily and weekly analysis mixed up... LOL. Anyway, here is my daily analysis.

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Looking at the higher timeframes, we have reached an area of possible reversal. If we break above the high of 1.3093 (10th May). ~1.33 is the next target, otherwise we should go back to ~1.26. Either target could take a week or two to reach, although with low volumes due to the long Summer days, volatility might get us to those targets quicker than expected. Let's see how this pans out over the next few days.

Austerity measures are taking place in Europe although it is still early days as to whether they are effective in reducing the rate of debt increase and how it affects the respective economies within Europe such as higher unemployment. There are no signs of the US tackling their debt and looking at the DIX, the rise in EU is more through $ weakness rather than Euro strength.

The Germans would like to see continued Euro weakness as they will benefit the most in Europe with increased exports which should result in lower unemployment.

Good luck with your trading people and peace out
  • #272,585
  • Jul 18, 2010 3:02am Jul 18, 2010 3:02am
Quoting serb_manu
hey topbannana the indi that you asked me about is related to TRIX if you put the TRIX indicator on your charts you will have the one in the right corner too
Thats great, I'll try it because it's look interesting.thanks
  • #272,586
  • Jul 18, 2010 5:14am Jul 18, 2010 5:14am
Quoting gatorinla
normal eu pa would be down for a retrace and stocks whos future are up would probably follow. but its earnings time.. and the stress test. as said im in front a speeding train.. if not i would put both nuts in the track and say lower trend resumes. but i cant
still watching stress test unknown is a bitch.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #272,587
  • Jul 18, 2010 6:37am Jul 18, 2010 6:37am
Quoting gatorinla
still watching stress test unknown is a bitch.
Yeah , just reading about , the last days can very shaky .
http://arabia.msn.com/News/economy/A...y/2072910.aspx

fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #272,588
  • Jul 18, 2010 6:47am Jul 18, 2010 6:47am
can we actually expect stress test results legitimate ? I mean if test proves that Europe can't survive another economic meltdown, will it be shown like that? I kinda get that feeling that report won't contain "actual" data from test
  • #272,589
  • Jul 18, 2010 6:48am Jul 18, 2010 6:48am
shorts again praying for Market collapse, stress test to reanimate

Parity target dream.. This going over 1.40, no need to rush
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #272,590
  • Jul 18, 2010 6:56am Jul 18, 2010 6:56am
What did you hear about Hungary for this week?
  • #272,591
  • Jul 18, 2010 7:10am Jul 18, 2010 7:10am
Quoting ppxdf
What did you hear about Hungary for this week?
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66G0RT20100717

Who cares about Hungary, dude. It's little bit larger than

10 football fields.
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #272,592
  • Jul 18, 2010 7:11am Jul 18, 2010 7:11am
Yes, I believe that after the stress tests are announced, and earnings are all in that that may be the signal to short the EURO once again. Whether the results in the stress tests are good or bad. I feel that one of the components for such a successful run up in the EURO is the unknown result of the stress tests and Trichet's word to do all things necessary to contain the crisis. If revenue in the financials sector continues to disappoint(remember the market is worried about FinREG and the expiration of Bush Tax cuts) and the stress tests are not viewed as stringent enough, and we start listening once again to the bad news out of the EUROZONE, I think that it could be a beautiful year for EURO shorts. I still think parity by year end, although as you know I have been long the euro during its brief rally and will not go short till we see the signs.
  • #272,593
  • Jul 18, 2010 7:21am Jul 18, 2010 7:21am
Quoting ratman
can we actually expect stress test results legitimate ? I mean if test proves that Europe can't survive another economic meltdown, will it be shown like that? I kinda get that feeling that report won't contain "actual" data from test
whatever , if too negative can express softly as if not so negative , in a positive way so that general people like us can't differentiate between good & bad and if positive , ok , they are ready to any real disaster in coming days when price dive to extreme down and assure investors that capable of survival .


fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #272,594
  • Jul 18, 2010 7:42am Jul 18, 2010 7:42am
I will be looking to buy between 1.2767 to 1.2702. If that UTL breaks then 1.2580 for the big haul.
  • #272,595
  • Jul 18, 2010 7:45am Jul 18, 2010 7:45am
Quoting Maxsmart
I still think parity by year end
Right.. Check USDx it's broke down.. And now will target 70

By the Year end 75-78 area..

EUR might decline but not to USD to AUD or CAD probably.
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #272,596
  • Jul 18, 2010 7:49am Jul 18, 2010 7:49am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Right.. Check USDx it's broke down.. And now will target 70

By the Year end 75-78 area..

EUR might decline but not to USD to AUD or CAD probably.
Hi Sky
How r u? hope all fine
  • #272,597
  • Jul 18, 2010 7:51am Jul 18, 2010 7:51am
Quoting gatorinla
still watching stress test unknown is a bitch.
Hi G
Wish u nice green with new week :-)
Have a view for next week ?
  • #272,598
  • Jul 18, 2010 8:00am Jul 18, 2010 8:00am
Quoting egkid
Hi Sky
How r u? hope all fine
Hello! Thanks..

Here is COT report, waiting for the Blue and Green Cross Over
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Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #272,599
  • Jul 18, 2010 8:05am Jul 18, 2010 8:05am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Right.. Check USDx it's broke down.. And now will target 70

By the Year end 75-78 area..

EUR might decline but not to USD to AUD or CAD probably.
what the news bliss and many fail to see. is long term sure governments will tighten. they will cut back on services extend retirements etc. to do this the working will work longer. but the unemployed will have a decreased chance to work. adding to this is the governments in their cutting back will fire more workers in a cycle of high unemployment. thus causing less tax revenue and more government cutback. and this will carry over to the private sector. this cycle will not be cured in a day a month or even 5 years. it may take a day a month or 3 but the end result will be the same. you cant have some governments doing well and some unable to cope in the same model. unless you have welfare countries like you currently do. we should know soon how this will turn out. the stress test will be decided by the market. the market will give the test and it will fail or pass according to the market. not politicians.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #272,600
  • Jul 18, 2010 8:06am Jul 18, 2010 8:06am
sometimes you need to look at the correlated instrument to see the trading opportunity.
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