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  • #272,521
  • Jul 16, 2010 9:47pm Jul 16, 2010 9:47pm
Quoting tradedragon
IF DOW rallies next week, we may see 1.32
And if not, 1.23



  • #272,522
  • Jul 16, 2010 11:13pm Jul 16, 2010 11:13pm
well, this was indeed a strong rally upwards, we may see a slight correction.
  • #272,523
  • Jul 17, 2010 12:33am Jul 17, 2010 12:33am
I keep saying that it can not go up any farther but yet it does and then some.

I am nuetral on the pair. This wek I will be using simple S/R levels to make my trade with a bias of shorting on recent highs. I am going to be very watchful of breakthroughs through the resistance levels, so when I short my S.L.' will be tighter than usual.

Waiting for a retest of the 1.30 level where I hope to Short, but I plan on be very careful with this plan.
  • #272,524
  • Jul 17, 2010 1:04am Jul 17, 2010 1:04am
Good morning .just seeing charts without any tension of trading , a general impression is that eu may test 1.3005 or very near to it before take some retracement around 1.2700 while similar activities in gu also , may bounce to 1.5483 or nearer fron 1.5200 & take the break towards 1.4808.Overal weekly bullish nature may be preserved next .

Good volatilities expected last week can be again this week , just at higher levels.

300pips /600pips retracements will not happen so easily & so expecting retest & still after that bullish nature may be preserevd well for further tops gu 1.6276 and eu 1.38* ??


fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #272,525
  • Jul 17, 2010 1:18am Jul 17, 2010 1:18am
Hey guys. Does anybody know the time of the eur/usd fixing in nyc time?

Thanks.
  • #272,526
  • Jul 17, 2010 1:53am Jul 17, 2010 1:53am
Quoting uraceulose


edit: to answer a lil more seriously though...there may be a gap, there may not....
tqvm
If only,.....
  • #272,527
  • Jul 17, 2010 2:26am Jul 17, 2010 2:26am
Quoting 219

Hi guys. Is this chart any good for EUR/USD ? Does EUR/USD travel in the same direction as gold ? Im just a started so if anybody would give me an advice how to use gold chart i would be greatful. Sorry for my english

Traditionally, the usd wasnt moving along with gold, but in the opposite direction.

But sometimes, this relationship falls apart. E.g. at the beginning of the recession, people and governments bought dollars along with gold to assure their safety.

Gold is considered safe, dollar too. That's why their prices move along with each other sometimes.
  • #272,528
  • Jul 17, 2010 3:10am Jul 17, 2010 3:10am
Quoting VavraSF
I keep saying that it can not go up any farther but yet it does and then some.

I am nuetral on the pair. This wek I will be using simple S/R levels to make my trade with a bias of shorting on recent highs. I am going to be very watchful of breakthroughs through the resistance levels, so when I short my S.L.' will be tighter than usual.

Waiting for a retest of the 1.30 level where I hope to Short, but I plan on be very careful with this plan.
The market will go wherever it wants. The market doesn't know what 'High' or 'Low" is! You say that you're "neutral" on this pair, but you seem to have a preconceived idea that you will go short. To trade with the trend, and with a suitable SL will serve you well. To be thinking about shorting this at all.....anywhere....is a bit silly imo. When the market turns, you'll see it. If you're in a trade at that time you'll get stopped out. No big deal.

I can tell you, and I speak from experience here, if you have a preconceived idea of shorting in a strong bull market, it will effect your trading....I can promise you that!!

Just go with the flow. When the flow turns, worst case scenrio is that you'll get stopped out on 1 trade. Take the hit and then go with the new flow
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #272,529
  • Jul 17, 2010 3:13am Jul 17, 2010 3:13am
Hi all,

looking at the daily EU chart I am seeing some strong evidence a change in trend is begining.

What i can see is a higher low with a break of the range (third resistance line) on a very strong bar. price found support on that line and broke the down trend line. this is quite the case to suggest major selling in the eurusd is going not to continue.

To keep this picture in play I would like to see the new trend line hold with price not closing below the middle support line on the chart. ATR showed great reading ins before the final low. On the short term, I think we will see some lower prices off the daily doji/hangman.

cheers and good trading.
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  • #272,530
  • Jul 17, 2010 4:36am Jul 17, 2010 4:36am
EU to fall to 12694
what do you think ??
  • #272,531
  • Jul 17, 2010 4:52am Jul 17, 2010 4:52am
Quoting maanawi
EU to fall to 12694
what do you think ??
i am waiting for a retest of 1.30.

It might fall there, eventualy, but for now I am sticking with my game plan.
  • #272,532
  • Jul 17, 2010 5:02am Jul 17, 2010 5:02am
Hey guys...
what is it? Sentiment leading to risk off or high risk... stupid news gives conflicting oppinons as usuall during trend changes.. i know already and predict lower us. EURUSD 1254 atlereast
  • #272,533
  • Jul 17, 2010 5:06am Jul 17, 2010 5:06am
Quoting VavraSF
i am waiting for a retest of 1.30.

It might fall there, eventualy, but for now I am sticking with my game plan.
to 12854 as first step, lets see
  • #272,534
  • Jul 17, 2010 5:08am Jul 17, 2010 5:08am
lol 18254 ur funny its never gonna be that u krazy guy.... specifics dont ever work higher timeframes are more accurate dontu know
  • #272,535
  • Jul 17, 2010 5:09am Jul 17, 2010 5:09am
Quoting maanawi
EU to fall to 12694
what do you think ??
I would say, watch the 50 EMA (1.2716 ATM) on the 4H TF.. could be a good point to bounce up again (will be near the s-line if we go down from now on)?

http://print.chartnet.nl/F738CDDC361...7EE78CAC2F.gif
  • #272,536
  • Jul 17, 2010 5:15am Jul 17, 2010 5:15am
Quoting K-b
I would say, watch the 50 EMA (1.2716 ATM) on the 4H TF.. could be a good point to bounce up again (will be near the s-line if we go down from now on)?

http://print.chartnet.nl/F738CDDC361...7EE78CAC2F.gif
one word of advice dont ever auote numbers... quote ranges
  • #272,537
  • Jul 17, 2010 5:17am Jul 17, 2010 5:17am
Dow heading to lower #'s based on swing. Unless MA 100 broekn on DOW and based on AU.. just some info
  • #272,538
  • Jul 17, 2010 8:11am Jul 17, 2010 8:11am
Quoting sidhujag
Hey guys...
what is it? Sentiment leading to risk off or high risk... stupid news gives conflicting oppinons as usuall during trend changes.. i know already and predict lower us. EURUSD 1254 atlereast
One would think that with global production slowing with weak consumer demand and banks struggling, the sentiment would shift to risk-off. With EZ stress tests looming (rumor is that 11 big boy banks are in deep trouble) and equities missing expectations, aversion should likely be expected.
  • #272,539
  • Edited 8:58am Jul 17, 2010 8:27am | Edited 8:58am
Quoting tradedragon
Correlation EUR USD with DOW?

IF DOW rallies next week, we may see 1.32
the dow and eu can be negatively correlated....look at dow and eu march 2002 how the dow, at similar levels of today, crashed, but eu soared....If by chance the ez banks stress tests come out positive we could very well see this scenario again for the time being. Then around april 2003, the weakening dollar actually helped the dow gain. However, the euro was much lower, younger, and less problems back then.

spec currency positioning
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1615592320100716
  • #272,540
  • Jul 17, 2010 9:24am Jul 17, 2010 9:24am
Quoting sidhujag
Dow heading to lower #'s based on swing. Unless MA 100 broekn on DOW and based on AU.. just some info
Based on AU? WTF is that supposed to mean.

Dow had a big reversal day down. It can easily have big one back up. 100 MA's and trendlines are just lines. Price doesn't care.
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