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EURUSD

  • #257,021
  • Jun 11, 2010 2:43pm Jun 11, 2010 2:43pm
How many traders % Sell E/U?
IF we say 80% then We all will win But how come they say 90% Lose in forex?

Also I have a chart from my Teacher DRT below for DX I still keep it since 1 year check it out.

Finally I will trade very safe next months and as they say time best tool to tell
GL ALL

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  • #257,022
  • Jun 11, 2010 2:43pm Jun 11, 2010 2:43pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
I like it, and I see 1.26+ on your chart, second line of FIB..
Yes it is there, that would be a nice target providing we get a good bounce around the lows.
  • #257,023
  • Edited 2:54pm Jun 11, 2010 2:44pm | Edited 2:54pm
Quoting Xaron
Well at least we Germans produce something the rest of the world is willing to buy.
How you can say that?

US produce Debt a.k.a Treasury Bills, Notes, "AAA" rated Junky finance instruments,

bunch of Madoff's which supplying USD at wholesale prices for

everyone on the face of Earth..

Of course I forgot, some Levis , Budweiser

and Harley Davidson, for limited fun club members..

Ohh and also US has product that called "Democracy" which widely expanding

by aircraft carriers, submarines and Navy pilots, ones "Democracy" a.k.a "Freedom" is in place, $USD take

care of the rest. You gotta supply that Pyramid schema at any costs..
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #257,024
  • Jun 11, 2010 2:48pm Jun 11, 2010 2:48pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
Create more money = price increase is true

over the longer term. Excessive printing/"expanding balance sheet",

whatever they call it, will eventually inflate prices on everything

accordingly.. You squeeze one end, other end gets bubbled..
Money is created when new debt is created.
Cumulative debt in the US is declining from mid 2007. All that "money printing", helicopters throwing money, FED balance sheet expansions, etc are not enough to even slow down total debt reduction (money destruction).
So the US is in the process of deflation so far (it does not mean all prices are going down, but that's different topic). So dullar will strengthen for a while until the US bond market (which is just another bubble or ponzi scheme, if you wish) collapses.
  • #257,025
  • Jun 11, 2010 2:48pm Jun 11, 2010 2:48pm
Quoting artofwar
I think it may be a little skewed to compare the retail price of water to the wholesale price of oil.

Perhaps a better comparison is retail oil to retail water, or wholesale to wholesale.
That's true I am comparing roughly & there can be some variations in the result if done ok but still oil itself not much valuable than the water in terms of money value . It has been kept such low price in the sake of human civilization perhaps , they are so generous to the history of mankind or any force measure applied for the same ? why not other daily use real things not so valueless in terms of money ?

Good night , I am closing my computer for the day , good night.

fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #257,026
  • Jun 11, 2010 2:53pm Jun 11, 2010 2:53pm
Quoting Xaron
Well at least we Germans produce something the rest of the world is willing to buy. I can't say that from the US. I doubt that the lovely iPhone will create enough income to compensate for the poor US industry.

Anyway, I stick to that. The US need a weak Dollar and they will get it. The last 6 months were just some kind of a giant USD bull trap like in 2005. The chinese gov already use these cheap levels to diversify more out of their Dollar reserves. I don't say that the EU hasn't problems but at least they've started to do something against their...
what you guys don't get is we are consumers. we can build anything china or Germany can build. sediment in u.s. is spewed that way atm. Im not knocking German craftsmanship. im stating whats going on in the world. whether you or i like it. We in the u.s. have had the china syndrome already 25 years worth.. now its others turn. As far as exports go its a media myth.. we subsidize our exports be letting cheap crap come to our ports on manipulated currencies from Asia mostly. we spend trillions so a few elite can export billions.. so in reality we don't need it.. Thats about the only good thing about being a consumer nation. the media fills the waves with the export bs. sure it creates some jobs, but its a the cost of 10 X the jobs.. because the currency is manipulated.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #257,027
  • Jun 11, 2010 2:54pm Jun 11, 2010 2:54pm
Quoting Xaron
Well at least we Germans produce something the rest of the world is willing to buy. I can't say that from the US. .
where you guys get your ammo? what about medical attention? what about tech services?

maybe not the iphone but I'll bet you've got microsoft on a few things in your own house..

EU to 1.50 huh?

edit: and I'm German/Italian so don't take nothing personal..germany was just pumped up on US tax payer money..dont forget it
  • #257,028
  • Jun 11, 2010 2:56pm Jun 11, 2010 2:56pm
Quoting Xaron
Well at least we Germans produce something the rest of the world is willing to buy. I can't say that from the US. I doubt that the lovely iPhone will create enough income to compensate for the poor US industry.

Anyway, I stick to that. The US need a weak Dollar and they will get it. The last 6 months were just some kind of a giant USD bull trap like in 2005. The chinese gov already use these cheap levels to diversify more out of their Dollar reserves. I don't say that the EU hasn't problems but at least they've started to do something against their...
That Possible scenario
  • #257,029
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:03pm Jun 11, 2010 3:03pm
I agree with this...

"they are so generous to the history of mankind or any force measure applied for the same ? why not other daily use real things not so valueless in terms of money ?"

But truly, if "they" wanted to, we could have water and electricity for free or near free levels. Unfortunately, the opportunity to monetize this and other necessities is just to great for "them" to pass up.

Look at Tesla, he died nearly broke, but gave the entire world so much.

Peace.



Quoting fontu
That's true I am comparing roughly & there can be some variations in the result if done ok but still oil itself not much valuable than the water in terms of money value . It has been kept such low price in the sake of human civilization perhaps , they are so generous to the history of mankind or any force measure applied for the same ? why not other daily use real things not so valueless in terms of money ?

Good night , I am closing my computer for the day , good night.

fontu
.:"If you do square work, you do not cut corners":.
  • #257,030
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:04pm Jun 11, 2010 3:04pm
Quoting fxswing
Here is a 8H chart, with the signal and some past signals on it.
Worth a try for me...
Not saying this is bullet proof, just that probabilities are skewed favorably.
Schön - hab das mal zum Anlass genommen eine bullische Divergenz mitzuteilen...

Bullish Divergence in H8 MACD
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2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #257,031
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:05pm Jun 11, 2010 3:05pm
My broker closed now ~!

Happy trade and nice weekend ,
have a great hours .
A little beginner trader since 2006
  • #257,032
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:07pm Jun 11, 2010 3:07pm
Quoting mercy seat
Schön - hab das mal zum Anlass genommen eine bullische Divergenz mitzuteilen...

Bullish Divergence in H8 MACD
I love this MACD!~
My Strategy is only MACD and Pivot points in charts .
not anything, and hopefully I was add 300 - 400 pips weekly too my account.
A little beginner trader since 2006
  • #257,033
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:09pm Jun 11, 2010 3:09pm
The week is almost over, looks like we'll close above value...

Now let's see if we can open The Tokyo session above value too...

Value for next week will be approx:

High: 1.2062
POC: 1.1945
LOW: 1.1895

We could get a gap down to open Tokyo 00:00 GMT inside the value (1.2062 - 1.1895), opening above would be bullish.
So we'll see what happens on Sunday night.
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #257,034
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:14pm Jun 11, 2010 3:14pm
Looks like we'll close above 1.21...
  • #257,035
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:15pm Jun 11, 2010 3:15pm
Quoting Xaron
Well at least we Germans produce something the rest of the world is willing to buy. I can't say that from the US. I doubt that the lovely iPhone will create enough income to compensate for the poor US industry.

Anyway, I stick to that. The US need a weak Dollar and they will get it. The last 6 months were just some kind of a giant USD bull trap like in 2005. The chinese gov already use these cheap levels to diversify more out of their Dollar reserves. I don't say that the EU hasn't problems but at least they've started to do something against their...
oh and iphones are made in china i think.

if your correct about the rest. it just means the people your talking about just buy less from exporters like Germany. Placing more pressure on the euro.. do to lack of demand. in the old supply verses demand theory.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #257,036
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:20pm Jun 11, 2010 3:20pm
Quoting Xaron
The Euro will be at 1.30-35 till the end of this year and above 1.50 next year.
The last 6 months didn't made you learn anything ? I'm speechless...
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #257,037
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:23pm Jun 11, 2010 3:23pm
Quoting fxswing
The last 6 months didn't make you learn anything ? I'm speechless...
Oh yes they teached me a lot indeed. But the last 6 months didn't change the underlying fundamentals which are much worse for the US now as 6 months ago.

Anyway, what I've learned is to not only use fundamentals anymore but more technical stuff as well.
  • #257,038
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:23pm Jun 11, 2010 3:23pm
Quoting Masrim
I see the setup of a dow rally. And second close above the 200MA on 15m.
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  • #257,039
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:23pm Jun 11, 2010 3:23pm
Quoting Xaron
Keep in mind that the USD index never before gained for more than 6 months in a row. We are now in month 7. Already improving news from the EU will support the Euro in the near term (at least this month).
Was have same thought today early and weekly close support it.
Well...soon things will be clear
  • #257,040
  • Jun 11, 2010 3:35pm Jun 11, 2010 3:35pm
France is about ti get a downgrade and things are better? its a freggin ponzi scheme. you print euro, and it is phucked.. you dont print and euro is phucked. i will play the bounce close to a double top (usdx) if pa looks right then. other then that.. wishful thinking to aid bankrupt banks/countries is a bad investment.
Europe is buying gold/usd and u.s. stocks.. the usd and stock markets will far better then most. but that does not mean u.s. stock markets will not go down.. just less then most.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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