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EURUSD

  • #232,621
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:34am Apr 28, 2010 3:34am
Nice to scalp with longs if nerves can handle it
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #232,622
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:39am Apr 28, 2010 3:39am
Quoting gatorinla
will 3312/15 hold us..?? nice scalp to 3280+ if it does 3315 + sl
sl @ 3196 now

numbers above are off a diget.. nobody questiond this.

3312/15=3212/15
3280=3180
3315=3215
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #232,623
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:42am Apr 28, 2010 3:42am
Greek bonds in free fall; two-year yield over 20%
  • #232,624
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:44am Apr 28, 2010 3:44am
Quoting kings4ril234
what is going with eu, where do we go from here, uj just keep running, dragging ej along
2 options.

We go to 1.3100 or we head back to 1.3200.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #232,625
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:44am Apr 28, 2010 3:44am
Quoting jest1081
since i've fallen back to analysis,
if we re-analysed it properly, the technical patterns did suggest an interest in euro at one point, last friday's huge short covering and the following monday's follow up would strongly suggest that, no-one could deny that, even though the broad trend is still going down, it did suggest that at one point or another there was a fight for prices in the 3300 to 3400 areas. At that point i could only summarise that speculation was strong, all it needed was a sway.
Sure it should be , thanks . the sell off you refer in my chart was not enough for a sell off effects , perhaps few more times to go up & down as seen in H4 tf . again this daily candle is the last one of the sell setup , after perfection there are always a chance of good retracement , even 38.2% fibs retracement will bring it up to 1.3292 providing it low today. 1.31.
thanks ,
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #232,626
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:47am Apr 28, 2010 3:47am
usdx has a new high (82.45). atm at 82.45 i got 82.51 as a resistance. so we may retrace shortly some.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #232,627
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:50am Apr 28, 2010 3:50am
Quoting gatorinla
usdx has a new high (82.45). atm at 82.45 i got 82.51 as a resistance. so we may retrace shortly some.
82.51 hit now.. heres you long spot if your crazy enough to do it./
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #232,628
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:51am Apr 28, 2010 3:51am
Quoting Z3iz3i
2 options.

We go to 1.3100 or we head back to 1.3200.

Precisely. We either go up or down
Andreyou
  • #232,629
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:51am Apr 28, 2010 3:51am
Hi fontu,

thanks for the charts. i was only refering to the near term, i.e. hourly trends. the wicks suggested that sellers are still fading out the long calls and seemed quite confident, methaphorically speaking. hehe

as for the broad term, yesterday's impulse could very well tell where the crowd would make the cut. it basically took out a weekly wick in a day, also rendering all upward trades on friday and monday useless closing near day's low. how often do you get such sentiments? the issue looks quite real to me to be able to induce such panic. Brittle.

Im guessing the CBs might have to make a play soon or we might see a rout...just like 07/08 days.
  • #232,630
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:52am Apr 28, 2010 3:52am
Quoting gatorinla
sl @ 3196 now

numbers above are off a diget.. nobody questiond this.

3312/15=3212/15
3280=3180
3315=3215

Somehow agree....


Cause of this





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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, D1.gif Size: 16 KB
  • #232,631
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:53am Apr 28, 2010 3:53am
*Out for +50 for now...i'll reload around 1.3180

And a risky long on eurjpy at 122.95...tight stop
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #232,632
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:55am Apr 28, 2010 3:55am
Quoting kuroro001
*Out for +50 for now...i'll reload around 1.3180

And a risky long on eurjpy at 122.95...tight stop
why issit risky when there is a stop and a tight one.

ps: always loving your ass.
  • #232,633
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:56am Apr 28, 2010 3:56am
Quoting Cotton-I-Jo
Somehow agree....


Cause of this





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well we get a little bounce now. because of usdx. 82.51/53
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #232,634
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:57am Apr 28, 2010 3:57am
next target @3090
  • #232,635
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:57am Apr 28, 2010 3:57am
Quoting jest1081
why issit risky when there is a stop and a tight one.
Risky cause it's against the trend

but multiple higher lows might help me with this long
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #232,636
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:58am Apr 28, 2010 3:58am
Quoting clem699
Why do poeple think that the eur could still salvage its image at thiis stage.I am hav been a member of this forum for a while although i do not post often,i read other people's posts and at times its amusing while some are fantastic and realistic.Bros,why do you think above 1.3200 is an opportunity to long?1.3200 for me will likely end around 1.3230-70 which just a minor consolidation afterwhich full resumption to the downside will continue till 1.3100 at first instance and then,1.3000 psycho level.For me,sell should be placed at1.3220-1.3250.


Beautiful !


Nicely said, ok ok - eins drauf mit 'Mappe' - we say in such cases...


Ich bin short eingestellt - my level to watch is everything below 3225 - 3255 pivotal area at first.

Elliott points down towards 1.3070 and 1.3000 (from 1.3415 and 1.3469)

But later - there could be seen some spikes. Even 1.3278 - 1.3295 zone can't be ruled out then.

Overall - major trend is bearish (!) though - and 314xx or 3089 can be easily reached. As long as this may hold (prop zone) one more spike should be considered as an unexpected possibility.


ALWAYS BE PREPAIRED FOR THE UNEXPECTED


Mehr sage ich hier nicht. Schließlich bin ich nur ein anderer Trader.



But if you want - you may take a look of the daily stance of saxo :



http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/pdf.gif 2010-04-28_FX Daily stance (Saxo).pdf (26.8 KB)




;-)




bibib
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File Type: pdf 2010-04-28_FX Daily stance (Saxo).pdf   27 KB | 279 downloads
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #232,637
  • Apr 28, 2010 4:01am Apr 28, 2010 4:01am
low was at 1.31428... that s a level i will watch for a break down
Andreyou
  • #232,638
  • Apr 28, 2010 4:02am Apr 28, 2010 4:02am
This week might become pretty ugly one for € if none have figured out that yet

Looking at 3min volume bars shy buying and big red ones, at the moment speaking a little bigger green one on process.......nah, it went RED.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #232,639
  • Apr 28, 2010 4:10am Apr 28, 2010 4:10am
Quoting gatorinla
usdx has a new high (82.45). atm at 82.45 i got 82.51 as a resistance. so we may retrace shortly some.
82.15 was 2008 close, 82.15 now ought to act ad support, if it does then hello 90 mid-term, helped by declines in stocks.
Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #232,640
  • Apr 28, 2010 4:10am Apr 28, 2010 4:10am
Quoting kuroro001
Risky cause it's against the trend

but multiple higher lows might help me with this long
typically euro's movement hold a bigger sway on ej compared to usdjpy.

ill share an example,

lets just say;
uj is trading at 92
eu is trading at 1.32
this would make ej = 121.44

if eu goes to 1.33
and uj stays at 92
ej becomes 122.96

if eu stays at 1.32
and uj goes to 93
ej becomes 122.76

20 pips difference over a 100pip move

of course if eu goes to 1.33
and uj goes to 93
ej would move a whooping 225 pips to 123.69

Its a matter of volitility
Thus be wary of eurusd's trend. cheers!
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