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  • #232,601
  • Apr 28, 2010 2:48am Apr 28, 2010 2:48am
If we go down, we may test earlier today's low. Then sky rocket. <<< This is just my opinion, I don't buy things from bottom, but I may get a VIP ticket when it takes off little bit.
  • #232,602
  • Apr 28, 2010 2:49am Apr 28, 2010 2:49am
Waiting for the EUR/USD to move upwards again to the 1.33/1.34 zone so that I can close off my open buy trades... Made a killing on the crashing EURO over the past 2 weeks through my crazy shorting!
  • #232,603
  • Apr 28, 2010 2:52am Apr 28, 2010 2:52am
Quoting crak0
19% for the 2 year maybe?

I tend to refer to the 10 year because I believe it gives a better snap shot of what the market thinks of Greece's ability to reduce their deficeit overall (rather than making ends meet in the short term).
lets c at 10 % for 10 years... they will owe the same amount at the end of 10 years. if they dont borrow more. they couldnt make it on 3% what makes anyone believe they could do it with 10%? and thats with no new spending or inflation. sounds like fuzzy math
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #232,604
  • Apr 28, 2010 2:55am Apr 28, 2010 2:55am
kuroro001

I exited with 20pips and waiting for another ride

Quoting kuroro001
Good luck to you too
Depict history, predict future, and the area in between ...
  • #232,605
  • Apr 28, 2010 2:56am Apr 28, 2010 2:56am
Quoting kuroro001
Morning everyone,

I'd need price above 1.3220 to consider a buy
And a bounce off 1.3200 is a sell

In between zone is nothing to me

But with such low prices it's hard to believe we won't see a correction to the upside
Why do poeple think that the eur could still salvage its image at thiis stage.I am hav been a member of this forum for a while although i do not post often,i read other people's posts and at times its amusing while some are fantastic and realistic.Bros,why do you think above 1.3200 is an opportunity to long?1.3200 for me will likely end around 1.3230-70 which just a minor consolidation afterwhich full resumption to the downside will continue till 1.3100 at first instance and then,1.3000 psycho level.For me,sell should be placed at1.3220-1.3250.
  • #232,606
  • Apr 28, 2010 2:57am Apr 28, 2010 2:57am
Quoting Al-Agha
kuroro001

I exited with 20pips and waiting for another ride
Nice job
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #232,607
  • Apr 28, 2010 2:57am Apr 28, 2010 2:57am
Quoting gatorinla
lets c at 10 % for 10 years... they will owe the same amount at the end of 10 years. if they dont borrow more. they couldnt make it on 3% what makes anyone believe they could do it with 10%? and thats with no new spending or inflation. sounds like fuzzy math
do it the american way...book building. end result? write off.

Quote
Why do poeple think that the eur could still salvage its image at thiis stage.I am hav been a member of this forum for a while although i do not post often,i read other people's posts and at times its amusing while some are fantastic and realistic.

value of money and financial/trade interest. If euro falls in a big way, the effect could crush the whole foundation of the currency. Every single individual in Europe and possibly across the world will be affected, as it is now the broad indexes are still not out of the ruts....yet. Its not as simple per se to say Euro should just crash. Broad market needs time to adjust to new valuations thus a bank run is not what the CB and imf would want to see.

Easy to analyse not so easy to exercise.
  • #232,608
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:00am Apr 28, 2010 3:00am
Quoting clem699
Why do poeple think that the eur could still salvage its image at thiis stage.I am hav been a member of this forum for a while although i do not post often,i read other people's posts and at times its amusing while some are fantastic and realistic.Bros,why do you think above 1.3200 is an opportunity to long?1.3200 for me will likely end around 1.3230-70 which just a minor consolidation afterwhich full resumption to the downside will continue till 1.3100 at first instance and then,1.3000 psycho level.For me,sell should be placed at1.3220-1.3250.
Only because i base my analysis on price action and i need a move up to 1.3220 with a solid close to expect 100 more pips
Right now i'm short cause PA told me so...we'll see
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #232,609
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:02am Apr 28, 2010 3:02am
Quoting Togu
If we go down, we may test earlier today's low. Then sky rocket. <<< This is just my opinion, I don't buy things from bottom, but I may get a VIP ticket when it takes off little bit.
the main trend is down.. we have struggled to get as high as we are. greece and portugal have been down graded. put a chart and convince me.
sure we will bounce at some point. if you trade like you post you will be broke soon. please dont encourage other newbies here to do the same. learn man learn

oh .. just an opinion
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #232,610
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:02am Apr 28, 2010 3:02am
Quoting gatorinla
lets c at 10 % for 10 years... they will owe the same amount at the end of 10 years. if they dont borrow more. they couldnt make it on 3% what makes anyone believe they could do it with 10%? and thats with no new spending or inflation. sounds like fuzzy math

By the time the 10 yr hit 6-7%+, bailout was just about assured to happen.

Portugal's 10 yr is quickly reaching this value too (5.67% http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuild...GSPT10YR%3AIND).

I believe the market needs to see something that will convince them that Greece will have enough money to repay all their debt (not just for the first 3 years) in order for any significant drop in yield to happen (and therefore, stronger Euro).
  • #232,611
  • Edited 3:31am Apr 28, 2010 3:04am | Edited 3:31am
go continue bear now ! tried enough bull.Hope not fail this set of shorts breaking 73 down, tp 1.3118.58 to take care with sl at profit levels.
gu also same as last night tp 1.5166/49.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #232,612
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:10am Apr 28, 2010 3:10am
Quoting fontu
go continue bear now ! tried enough bull.Hope fail this set of shorts breaking 73 down, tp 1.3118.
gu also same as last night tp 1.5166/49.
fontu
fundamentally all speculation failed when snp downgraded ratings...in a big way. it shows their pessimism. plus the lack of quick decision making failed all support that was crafted last two weeks...lets just say the greeks just dug their own grave, oh how much they need an aristotle right now.

i refer to your chart. those long wicks still suggests that sellers are eager.
  • #232,613
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:13am Apr 28, 2010 3:13am
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
Today is a very tricky day - maybe that's a good time to exercise and strengthen my will and improve control of emotions, by staying aside and just watching.

There's always a pressure to trade, trade and trade - I have to trade every day, I just have to.... Then we start "seeing" things which are not really there and.....trade. Then stop loss, and after multiple times like that - a margin call.

Not trading is much harder and more difficult than trading. Trading is easy.

Kudos to you my friend. I was thinking the same way, as i didn't make any pips yesterday and experiencing the feelings of the late party comer, the urge to trade can be very devastating i am not touching the market right now.
"The Side that Knows When to Fight and When Not to, Will Take the Victory"
  • #232,614
  • Edited 3:31am Apr 28, 2010 3:13am | Edited 3:31am
1 3132 + slip then bounce
2 3115
3 3069
4 3043
5 2967

fresh realestate... easier to do.. moves should get widder. these are huge..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #232,615
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:14am Apr 28, 2010 3:14am
Did someone just said Greece Bond 10% yield?? did it drop?? i swear to god i saw 13% yesterday...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #232,616
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:16am Apr 28, 2010 3:16am
Quoting bguguen
Did someone just said Greece Bond 10% yield?? did it drop?? i swear to god i saw 13% yesterday...

There's different types of bonds, each with their respective yields..

2-year around 19%

10-year 10-11%
  • #232,617
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:18am Apr 28, 2010 3:18am
GGB 10yrs trading ~12% so far

EDIT: Check out the spike in EURIBOR! Is this for real?
  • #232,618
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:23am Apr 28, 2010 3:23am
Quoting clem699
Why do poeple think that the eur could still salvage its image at thiis stage.I am hav been a member of this forum for a while although i do not post often,i read other people's posts and at times its amusing while some are fantastic and realistic.Bros,why do you think above 1.3200 is an opportunity to long?1.3200 for me will likely end around 1.3230-70 which just a minor consolidation afterwhich full resumption to the downside will continue till 1.3100 at first instance and then,1.3000 psycho level.For me,sell should be placed at1.3220-1.3250.
  • #232,619
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:24am Apr 28, 2010 3:24am
Quoting jest1081
fundamentally all speculation failed when snp downgraded ratings...in a big way. it shows their pessimism. plus the lack of quick decision making failed all support that was crafted last two weeks...lets just say the greeks just dug their own grave, oh how much they need an aristotle right now
Likely , otherwise how it go down or when it to go there must have some sorts bad news to come automatically. so likely faill or delay , or something bad.nature is the best selector.
bad comes in tendem till the star corrected in time perhaps , US needed to about to correct more than 8 years & euro may take similar or much more .

Anyway whatever the outcome of Greece today the destination will not change .
let it happen & we to take the advantages taking few pips only, no blood for sure.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #232,620
  • Apr 28, 2010 3:31am Apr 28, 2010 3:31am
Quoting fontu
Likely , otherwise how it go down or when it to go there must have some sorts bad news to come automatically. so likely faill or delay , or something bad.nature is the best selector.
bad comes in tendem till the star corrected in time perhaps , US needed to about to correct more than 8 years & euro may take similar or much more .

Anyway whatever the outcome of Greece today the destination will not change .
let it happen & we to take the advantages taking few pips only, no blood for sure.
fontu
since i've fallen back to analysis,
if we re-analysed it properly, the technical patterns did suggest an interest in euro at one point, last friday's huge short covering and the following monday's follow up would strongly suggest that, no-one could deny that, even though the broad trend is still going down, it did suggest that at one point or another there was a fight for prices in the 3300 to 3400 areas. At that point i could only summarise that speculation was strong, all it needed was a sway.
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