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  • #210,621
  • Mar 12, 2010 11:52am Mar 12, 2010 11:52am
Quoting Amaze
We broke a trend line , how the hell was it going down ?
where did you enter long at, if you don't mind me asking.
is this the trend line you're talking about? it could pull back to 1.370 before heading north again.
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  • #210,622
  • Mar 12, 2010 11:56am Mar 12, 2010 11:56am
Quoting Amaze
We broke a trend line , how the hell was it going down ?
For the time being it is moving sideways.
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If you're not part of the solution then you're part of the problem.
  • #210,623
  • Mar 12, 2010 11:57am Mar 12, 2010 11:57am
happy pippin

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  • #210,624
  • Mar 12, 2010 12:02pm Mar 12, 2010 12:02pm
Goldman Tells Clients To Go Long Euro, $1.45 Three Month Forecast, $1.35 Stop

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/gol...ecast-135-stop

Anyone see this?
  • #210,625
  • Mar 12, 2010 12:07pm Mar 12, 2010 12:07pm
Quoting CaShIsKiNg
Goldman Tells Clients To Go Long Euro, $1.45 Three Month Forecast, $1.35 Stop

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/gol...ecast-135-stop

Anyone see this?
Didn't Goldman say the Pound was going to the 1.80's this year? They said it a few months ago when it was looking pretty good in the 1.60's, well before it lost the 1.50 handle! lol
  • #210,626
  • Mar 12, 2010 12:08pm Mar 12, 2010 12:08pm
Then probably Goldman sits on a huge pile of longs and wants to close them.
If you're not part of the solution then you're part of the problem.
  • #210,627
  • Mar 12, 2010 12:12pm Mar 12, 2010 12:12pm
Looks like we are in a reversal of the minor reversal
  • #210,628
  • Mar 12, 2010 12:19pm Mar 12, 2010 12:19pm
I don't know about you guys, but I will wait until monday/thursday and decide to short or long...

1,37 will be an important level IMO, so I need to see PA around it.

for long term trades:
daily close below 1,37 - short with tp @ 3370
daily close above 1,37 - long with tp @ 3950

I'll still make short term trades but still no "foreseeing" for me!!

Good weekend everyone!

Abraço aos tugas (aproveitem para descontrair!)
  • #210,629
  • Mar 12, 2010 12:24pm Mar 12, 2010 12:24pm
I think the triple doji on the weekly chart is finally making it's move..imho
  • #210,630
  • Mar 12, 2010 12:31pm Mar 12, 2010 12:31pm
Quoting CaShIsKiNg
Goldman Tells Clients To Go Long Euro, $1.45 Three Month Forecast, $1.35 Stop

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/gol...ecast-135-stop

Anyone see this?
the only analysis that has 1.45 as a target is based on the monthly chart retrace at 61.8% fibo.

sounds like goldman is sitting on too many longs
  • #210,631
  • Mar 12, 2010 12:42pm Mar 12, 2010 12:42pm
Quoting CaShIsKiNg
Goldman Tells Clients To Go Long Euro, $1.45 Three Month Forecast, $1.35 Stop

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/gol...ecast-135-stop

Anyone see this?
They were saying to close longs in July also.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=alShRM.HvMj0
  • #210,632
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:01pm Mar 12, 2010 1:01pm
Quoting cunha
geee! thanks!!!! I didn't know that site!!!!

they only teach ONE formula but there are others that give diferent results.

I just wanted to know which may be better ou more accurate...
Most just use an indy or site to draw them up...if you want to calculate it's easy. Do a google search and you'll see a ton of sites with the formula to calculate S/R...

Also, the reason you'll find different pivots for different folks is just because some people calculate off of london, some off of New york, some asia and so forth...pivots are always related to O,H,L,C,R of the day/week/month so it can vary based on time zone.

Good luck!
  • #210,633
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:11pm Mar 12, 2010 1:11pm
Quoting uraceulose
Most just use an indy or site to draw them up...if you want to calculate it's easy. Do a google search and you'll see a ton of sites with the formula to calculate S/R...

Also, the reason you'll find different pivots for different folks is just because some people calculate off of london, some off of New york, some asia and so forth...pivots are always related to O,H,L,C,R of the day/week/month so it can vary based on time zone.

Good luck!
I was using this one:

http://www.mypivots.com/calculators/...alculator.aspx

if you check it, you'll see diferent formulas, and they are not related to timezone...

I was just curious if there is one of them better then the standard...
  • #210,634
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:16pm Mar 12, 2010 1:16pm
Quoting kuroro001
Manipulation....by GS

if market does not go down after 5 weeks of clear accumulation why is no reaction to news manipulation by GS ?

the retail numbers were good . This sent the indexes up , indexes up mean money pours into equities and out of usd bonds etc ....
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #210,635
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:23pm Mar 12, 2010 1:23pm
Quoting fontu
seeing the weekly as end of one . typical tristar bullish followed by morning star doji & duely the big bull candle . all seems the hope of further fall becoming negligible irispective of where weekend close be ,may be over 1.3683. can assume wave 3 or C already ended & now wave 4 or X or even in a extremely favourable wind in eurozone then new very big 3 started( impossible ) . may reach eventually 1.42-1.4510 but believe it will back before as is bear myself ( may to bury somewhere & wear bull's dress).
thanks,
fontu

lol you were beating me up last week for saying 1,4100 ....lol

Go look at bottom 2008 and how that formed . If DJ , which is on steroids right now , takes off next week , there could be a massive short squeeze. EU 1.4200 or higher could be potential for next week seeing as the sentiment is so bearish and once the squeeze is on the sellers this is going to rip

1.3850 taken out .... see you at 1.4100.

Those who were rude to me last week (being Tonyo) can then say he was sorry for being a dick.

As stated I am buying off 1.3550 and will be buying dips till we see 1.4100 and take it from there.

Why have I not posted this week ? I do not need to keep posting same shit.... still same plan .
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #210,636
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:29pm Mar 12, 2010 1:29pm
Sorry I have to say this.

NOW everyone is bullish to 1.4000 ? and Goldman saying 1.4500.

I have been saying this for 3 weeks now. I know of a couple of guys that have also been accumulating huge positions.

If you really want to learn what I saw and why I called this please go back in postings about volumes on the DX and futures on the weekly.

There is an odd chance EU rips even higher than 1.5000. DO not ask me the whats whys or fundie reason. I have no clue.

All I know is that the DX printed the highest volume EVER on a weekly doji at 80 about 3 weeks back and since then we have had distribution and also on EU same thing the volumeso n weekly futures at 1.3500 have been 2 x as high these last 5 weeks as the 2008 bottom .

Maybe the whole Greece fiasco was fabricated. to drive price lower . I mean look at the DJ .. recession ? what recession ?
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #210,637
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:29pm Mar 12, 2010 1:29pm
I've received a mail this morning from someone from Morgan Stanley saying that the whole rise we've seen this week was mostly used for hedge funds to start selling future indexes, buying puts , etc..

And yesterday a big institutional funds boughts huge puts (dec 2010) on the S&P & Nasdaq (for billions of $)

Something definitely not right...what do you think ?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #210,638
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:29pm Mar 12, 2010 1:29pm
Quoting malcolmb14
lol you were beating me up last week for saying 1,4100 ....lol

Go look at bottom 2008 and how that formed . If DJ , which is on steroids right now , takes off next week , there could be a massive short squeeze. EU 1.4200 or higher could be potential for next week seeing as the sentiment is so bearish and once the squeeze is on the sellers this is going to rip

1.3850 taken out .... see you at 1.4100.

Those who were rude to me last week (being Tonyo) can then say he was sorry for being a dick.

As stated I am buying off 1.3550 and will be...
I'm also looking for 1.41 but 1.3871 should break 1st ...cheer bro
  • #210,639
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:34pm Mar 12, 2010 1:34pm
Quoting malcolmb14
Sorry I have to say this.

NOW everyone is bullish to 1.4000 ? and Goldman saying 1.4500.

I have been saying this for 3 weeks now. I know of a couple of guys that have also been accumulating huge positions.

If you really want to learn what I saw and why I called this please go back in postings about volumes on the DX and futures on the weekly.

There is an odd chance EU rips even higher than 1.5000. DO not ask me the whats whys or fundie reason. I have no clue.

All I know is that the DX printed the highest volume EVER on a...

I'm still bearish, buddy.

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  • #210,640
  • Mar 12, 2010 1:35pm Mar 12, 2010 1:35pm
Quoting kuroro001
I've received a mail this morning from someone from Morgan Stanley saying that the whole rise we've seen this week was mostly used for hedge funds to start selling future indexes, buying puts , etc..

And yesterday a big institutional funds boughts huge puts (dec 2010) on the S&P & Nasdaq (for billions of $)

Something definitely not right...what do you think ?

Dec 2010 is along time away.

BY then eu could see 1.4500 and then 1.2500.

I will check out some volumes on the weekly and daily futures charts on weekend and let you know if i see any thing that stands out

I have noticed that the DJ has been rising on really low volumes , but it did this for 6 months last year for 2500 points. Long term I do have the feeling that this is very tech bubble like and a much deeper correction is due , but for now all bad news dips are being boought into and all good news is causing 20 point spikes on s&p that are not even having any sell interest.

Eventually ( do not know when ) it will all end in tears for the average retail investor that does not lock in profits.
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
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