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  • #203,821
  • Feb 28, 2010 7:28am Feb 28, 2010 7:28am
This week could see EU move to the upside. I am not looking to short this week.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...upn6TDik&pos=6
Its all in the mind.
  • #203,822
  • Feb 28, 2010 7:33am Feb 28, 2010 7:33am
Quoting clc4x
my USD Index analysis:
By default USD fundamentals are bearish long term,

because of unlimited supply (which temps to grow)

and decreasing demand for USD, which will only decrease over time,

as China/Russia and soon more others diversifying out of USD assets.

So yes, USD might pick anywhere between 80-82 and that's about it.
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  • #203,823
  • Feb 28, 2010 7:37am Feb 28, 2010 7:37am
Quoting 5abi
3618 on my esignal feed.
thank's
  • #203,824
  • Feb 28, 2010 7:51am Feb 28, 2010 7:51am
Quoting Patience
But doesn't it make you wonder why they are putting this information out there in the public domain?

George Soros said a few weeks ago in an interview in Davos that gold was in a bubble yet it has been reported that he has actually doubled his gold holdings.
Not really.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2003/may/21/1
  • #203,825
  • Feb 28, 2010 8:07am Feb 28, 2010 8:07am
please give your opinion i just wanna learn,

1, on the mthly i see a cross is about to confirm but not there yet, to signal for me to sell
2, on weekly i also see the same
3, on daily i see consoldation 13395-13780 aprox 400 pip range, has been in this range for the last 18 day's
4, expect the same range till signal (cross) confirms

so i will trade with this plan for upcomeing week if around 13395 i will put in tight stop an buy on dip's till 13780

if around 13780 i will put in tight stop on sell on dips to 13395

until confirmed cross then i will sell,sell,sell,

but this is forex so alway's ready to change my plan
please let me know what you think it help's
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  • #203,826
  • Feb 28, 2010 8:50am Feb 28, 2010 8:50am
Quoting trabagwe
please give your opinion i just wanna learn,
1, on the mthly i see a cross is about to confirm but not there yet, to signal for me to sell
2, on weekly i also see the same
until confirmed cross then i will sell,sell,sell,
Seriously who cares about Monthly?

Here is what I'm looking at right now those red

and green lines off 4H chart.. 1-3 days targets.

I'm expecting little fall back to low 1.35, then shoot back up to $1.3785

area. So you can keep SELL, SELL, SELL, while I might first Sell and then

Buy, based on my chart. Fair enough?
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  • #203,827
  • Feb 28, 2010 8:51am Feb 28, 2010 8:51am
we got two ways:
1. go above current resistance line (horizontal black line on the chart) and go up
2. back to the down channel after double top and go down (I'm expecting that scenario)

Attached Image
  • #203,828
  • Edited 9:37am Feb 28, 2010 9:02am | Edited 9:37am
Quoting local
we got two ways:
See when you show chart like that, you don't know where you really

is. While on My chart you can see that Pair actually briefly cross 100 MA

And in fact last time EU cross 100 MA was back in January 15.

Besides look at the Angle of 100 MA - it almost FLAT now.

So? We are about to cross 100 EMA upward and that's no way is bearish event.

I'm expecting to see higher LOW (above 1.35) and then higher High above 1.37

more likely 1.3750-1.3780
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  • #203,829
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:14am Feb 28, 2010 9:14am
Quoting SkyzerFX
See when you show chart like that, you don't know where you really

is. while on My chart you can see that Pair actually briefly cross 100 MA

And in fact last time EU cross 100 MA was back in January 15.

So? We are about to cross 100 EMA upward and that's no f"* way is bearish event.

And by looking at your chart

I see nothing but flat ups and downs, cause you don't have any MA in place

and it really means nothing then.
It is very nice that you have your own system of playing charts basing on MA. I got my own basing on trend lines and I think that is good enough to make money. I don't need to use MA and I can tell you that are traders who don't use MA for your surpise and they are profitable too. Good luck with you system, but don't look at others charts as a place when you can teach but as a place when you can learn something. For example I've put 100MA on my chart and it confirmed my decision to going short today.

I don't have to put a chart with all history of eurusd to show my analysis for next 1-2 days from few current bars. My all anaysis is on the chart and if it would need to show more I would show more.

I can't tell now where the market will go, I made an analysis. You can agree or not and make you own analysis. The market will tell us who is right.
  • #203,830
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:31am Feb 28, 2010 9:31am
Quoting local
I can't tell now where the market will go, I made an analysis. You can agree or not and make you own analysis.
The market will tell us who is right.
Exactly, like some guys say: "whatever floats the boat". Your or mine or anybody else chart same as good as

others. One thing I didn't tried yet, is flipping a coin, it might work as good as charts, cause

any wrong word from EUR commissars about Greece resolution

can set EU into collapse mode disregarding any tech analysis, that's why

fundamentals are also important in long term view, at least for me.
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  • #203,831
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:41am Feb 28, 2010 9:41am
Quoting 5abi
This week could see EU move to the upside. I am not looking to short this week.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...upn6TDik&pos=6
Thanks 5abi for this article! I missed it this morning

it lead me to this one
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...Z95eNnGo&pos=3
  • #203,832
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:44am Feb 28, 2010 9:44am
Quoting SkyzerFX
See when you show chart like that, you don't know where you really

is. While on My chart you can see that Pair actually briefly cross 100 MA

And in fact last time EU cross 100 MA was back in January 15.

Besides look at the Angle of 100 MA - it almost FLAT now.

So? We are about to cross 100 EMA upward and that's no way is bearish event.

I'm expecting to see higher LOW (above 1.35) and then higher High above 1.37

more likely 1.3750-1.3780

that 100EMA could act like resistance..
at this moment im not sure if this is consolidation or start of an uptrend. even if this goes up to 3800-50 it can still just be a retrace before resuming downtrend..
  • #203,833
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:46am Feb 28, 2010 9:46am
i belive its a trap.they actualy wants to go long
  • #203,834
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:47am Feb 28, 2010 9:47am
Lol I never wonder. I am always amazed at how naive in general people are and in the US we are number 1 at it.
When you hear statements like this"a selective group, gold in the bubble etc when you apply just a little bit of common sense you see it's all propaganda.
The truth is you can be good friends with your neighbor for 20 years and never know how he controls his finances yet when something gets"leaked" out we really believe it to be true.

The truth simply is the market will be what they(big guys) want it to be.
If they want go to go through the roof at 2k a oz then it will happen and nothing that can or will be done will prevent it. If the want the euro to go up past 1.6 it will happen .

There is only one thing I trust for my trading and that is Fibonacci.
This never gives you a wrong answer. You may interpret it wrongly but the correct answer is always there. My theory is it works beyond market makers, propaganda, etc simply because in everything in life you have these sequence of numbers. You see it in nature when you count the rings in a tree, it's everywhere and for this reason it's the only thing that can not be touched by mans influence.

BTW I have the very rare to find Forex Gemini videos. A few years ago they were on the net for free for all the traders to watch. I have to say it's one of the best Fibonacci series I have ever seen and it was all free. As luck would have it they shut down the website because too many newbies would email in and just cause trouble for this great trader. I do not blame him he had enough of dealing with newbies that just wanted to cause trouble so he shut it down.

I was happy to see that one of the blogs was still up where you can at least view the first 3 videos of the 20 vids set. It's not much what comes after these 3 though will blow you away.
http://forexgemini.wordpress.com/

I think I may download the whole set on youtube if people would like to see then. They have really helped me a lot.
FPA also did a 5 start review of this.
Goes to show you sometimes in life the best things are free.
Time to get my fib chart ready for tonight..

Happy trading
Dean




Quoting Patience
But doesn't it make you wonder why they are putting this information out there in the public domain?

George Soros said a few weeks ago in an interview in Davos that gold was in a bubble yet it has been reported that he has actually doubled his gold holdings.
  • #203,835
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:47am Feb 28, 2010 9:47am
hmmm, maybe this definition will be made
http://tradersqa.com/questions/4b82f...at-bounce-mean
  • #203,836
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:48am Feb 28, 2010 9:48am
Quoting 5abi
This week could see EU move to the upside. I am not looking to short this week.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...upn6TDik&pos=6
By Shiyin Chen

Feb. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Germany and France are considering a plan to bail out Greece that could cost as much as 30 billion euros ($41 billion), the Wall Street Journal reported, citing an unidentified person familiar with the situation.
The plan would involve the sale of Greek bonds to French and German organizations, most likely state-owned banks, as well as to the public, the newspaper said on its Web site. The timing of the deal, which would require the approval by German and French officials, is not yet clear, according to the report.


no oficial news, so be careful.. it can go up based in this rumor, but when someone official comes out saying it won't happen, the € will crash again...
  • #203,837
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:48am Feb 28, 2010 9:48am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Exactly, like some guys say: "whatever floats the boat". Your or mine or anybody else chart same as good as

others. One thing I didn't tried yet, is flipping a coin, it might work as good as charts, cause

any wrong word from EUR commissars about Greece resolution

can set EU into collapse mode disregarding any tech analysis, that's why

fundamentals are also important in long term view, at least for me.
i agree with you
  • #203,838
  • Feb 28, 2010 9:55am Feb 28, 2010 9:55am
Quoting Intu
from my very simple perspective...

1. supposedly hedge funds are as short as they have ever been....
2. every second-rate analyst this week-end and last week-end has written an article about their long-term "bearish" stance on the euro

We are probably near a bottom.
Just my opinion, be gentle.
I love that statement ... if hedge funds are as short as they have ever been maybe they are all selling on support .. .NOT

euro futures just printed a low spread ultra high volume bar .. pretty bullish

I have just highlighted on charts every other time this has happened and what has happened after

something is cooking that is for sure

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  • #203,839
  • Feb 28, 2010 10:18am Feb 28, 2010 10:18am
Quoting malcolmb14
I love that statement ... if hedge funds are as short as they have ever been maybe they are all selling on support .. .NOT

euro futures just printed a low spread ultra high volume bar .. pretty bullish

I have just highlighted on charts every other time this has happened and what has happened after

something is cooking that is for sure

Attachment
Laugh all you want Malcolm14. When Soros publicly stated in 2003, "We continue to sell the US dollar against the euro, the Canadian dollar, the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar and gold."
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2003/may/21/1

I bet u snubbed him then too.
  • #203,840
  • Feb 28, 2010 10:25am Feb 28, 2010 10:25am
That is okay- I am just forming a bias and if things change I can quickly turn-around. I trade intraday based off h4 and h1 TF and my targets either get hit or I am stopped out

Quoting cunha
By Shiyin Chen...
Its all in the mind.
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