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EURUSD

  • #171,381
  • Dec 12, 2009 2:15pm Dec 12, 2009 2:15pm
Eur/usd Guys..


1. ELLIOT WAVE ….
2. NEO WAVE….
3. Harmonic Patter….
4. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS..
5. CANDLE STICK
6. ICHIMOKU …
7. FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY
by vincy balboa

http://www.4shared.com/file/17142986...2__Report.html
DRAGON-TECHNICAL ANALYSIS!
  • #171,382
  • Dec 12, 2009 2:16pm Dec 12, 2009 2:16pm
Quoting kiadanai
could someone tell me where to get the usdx chart on mt4?
i cant see it :
Quoting SkyzerFX
Yeah, I'm curious too.. +1
The Russian Alpari has it: http://www.alpari-forex.com/en/metatrader/
Twitter: MrC_Forex ; Facebook: /pages/MrC-Forex/197693770247397
  • #171,383
  • Dec 12, 2009 3:10pm Dec 12, 2009 3:10pm
Quoting vincy balboa
Eur/usd Guys..
FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY
A who to the what now?
Not all sins are created equal
  • #171,384
  • Edited 4:53pm Dec 12, 2009 4:09pm | Edited 4:53pm
Last week's drop was not just caused by the increase of payroll and retail sales, it was a week of increasingly bad news in Europe. I am not a fundy, but if you add it all up it shows you why the dollar strengthened.

Greece.

Government debt now stands at 120% of GDP and their credit rating was cut they are hurting with forward bookings down significantly in both tourism and shipping, two of the bigger sources of income for Greece. Couple this with significant increases in unemployment and it does not look good for them in the near future

Spain,

Spain is under the spotlight of the credit agencies now as their debt is increasing alarmingly in relation to their GDP and their outlook was cut by S&P

Ireland,

The old jewel of the economic growth in Europe is in serious problems now with unemployment rising sharply and the estimate of growth revised to -7.5% in this weeks budget.

Portugal,

Debt over 100% of GDP, unemployment rising and credit rating review due.

UK,

Moody made a public announcement that the credit rating of the UK would not change, now why would they announce a non change unless there was unrest in the market? QE now stands at 174Bn, all invested in its own debt. The BOE printed money to pay for government debt, it can hardly hand out bags of money to the punters on the street, however it now means that the UK government now holds 1/3 of its own short term debt and paid for it by printing money. This QE policy led to the largest bps change in bond prices last Wednesday in a long time 50-some bps costing the government 500Mn last Wednesday, even the projection of Darling to half the deficit did not make a difference in the bond prices.

Dubai,

Dubai world deferring debt payments, largely held by EU institutions is significantly worrying the markets especially as the largest shareholder of Dubai World is the Dubai emirate itself and Abu Dhabi has signalled it may only bail out the profitable entities that effect itself.

All in all this weeks increase in retail figures of the US had a greater effect in rising the price of the dollar compare to previous months because it was the only bit of good news in the EU and US this week and the EU news was so bad once taken all together.

Next week is going to be big, there is lots of numbers coming out that can seriously effect the euro.
  • #171,385
  • Dec 12, 2009 4:18pm Dec 12, 2009 4:18pm
Quoting kiadanai
well i think it's obvious we'll see a retrace.()
the question is...
how big?

and the other question is,i'm a noob so please bear with me:will 1.47100 become a resistance for the retrace?
or...
Bro, you are asking about those numbers, 1.4700 or 1.4925 ...

If we knew for sure how big or how small market will move and when, we all would become rich overnight. So my suggestion is don't try to predict anything in this crazy market and just take what the market gives you ... and be happy for it.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #171,386
  • Dec 12, 2009 4:20pm Dec 12, 2009 4:20pm
Quoting arezab
Bro, you are asking about those numbers, 1.4700 or 1.4925 ...

If we knew for sure how big or how small market will move and when, we all would become rich overnight. So my suggestion is don't try to predict anything in this crazy market and just take what the market gives you ... and be happy for it.
Good suggestion
  • #171,387
  • Dec 12, 2009 4:28pm Dec 12, 2009 4:28pm
Quoting Luscus
In a more detailed view of 64 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), with the 200 period EMA being the base, the Four Hour Chart (H4) is almost 100 points lower since Dec 10, 2009. More than half of all of the EMAs are below the Four Hour 200 period EMA baseline.

Is the bull market for the Euro over? It depends on your point of view. The Daily Charts (D1) display the same Price Action over a longer time frame, dating back to December 2008, and further to December 2007. The current deep retracement is to the 118th Daily Exponential Moving Average....
I just wonder if you have any price bar or candle on your charts ...it was hard for me to recognize....
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #171,388
  • Dec 12, 2009 4:31pm Dec 12, 2009 4:31pm
Quoting kimd
I hope everyone that lost a lot on Friday consider posts like this. I kinda think maybe these posts influence new traders on here, who are looking for guidance. I've read a few long time members here post their long views on Friday, (with no charts etc) and poked fun at everyone who was short.

Remember, it's your account, if you don't see the same call as some, don't trade it!!!
Also consider, do you trade short term? (most on here do) maybe these calls were long term based on daily or monthly charts. (they didn't clarify)

My advice to you...
This is some interesting stuff; please allow me to add some.

1. The price can only go up or down.

2. For the price to move in your direction you need traders to buy/sell after you.

3. What you see on the chart, others also see. But keep in mind that after some time (dependant on your chart 1H, 4H etc.) people look differently on the chart. So trading what others see = you are too late.

4. Lots of the price movement is Stop losses = random price movements. We have no idea where this is going.

5. I reckon on this Fridays move, a lot of people learned their lesson, which is good. For those of you that won but have no idea why, you’re in trouble.

6. I will also like to add that trading on demo is a waste of time, put a couple of hundred dollars into oanda and trade single dollars... Makes it more interesting and you are closer to the real EXAM.

7. For gods sake read some journals… You have the whole Sunday..
Write a journal as well…
  • #171,389
  • Edited 5:31pm Dec 12, 2009 5:19pm | Edited 5:31pm
Quoting Larseg
For those of you that won but have no idea why, you’re in trouble.
More than 98% of the people here clearly see that EURO will drop

to 1.43-1.44 or even to $1.25, that's why it's going to run in other direction.

Too many suckers on the same boat..

Bad News from Europe, ohh please and US all that good with 10%

official unemployment, which is probably more like 15%..

Because 100% of the people are showing me the Charts with the SHORT

scenario

and even Astrological review , I'm going to see where it's going to go..

Exactly the same picture was when Cable drop to 1.57 and 97% of the

traders on GU board

was so technically "SURE" about 1.53 or 1.48 coming, they was so "SURE",

that Cable run those guys over and stop at around $1.67 . Not so long

ago..

I was probably the only LONG back then.. We'll see how it will plays out

this time.. I don't know, if it's going to drop to 1.43-1.44 in the short term, but I'm absolutely

sure, that this Funky Dollar will dive below $1.50/Euro in no time, as soon

as Helicopter Ben drops another few trillions "FREE" Money on the Wall Street.

ZERO % interest rates for extended period of time.
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #171,390
  • Dec 12, 2009 5:25pm Dec 12, 2009 5:25pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
More than 98% of the people here clearly see that EURO will drop

to 1.43-1.44 or even to $1.25, that's why it's going to run in other direction.

Too many suckers on the same boat..

Bad News from Europe, ohh please and US all that good with 10%

official unemployment, which is probably more like 15%..

Because 100% of the people are showing me the Charts with the SHORT

scenario

and even Astrological review , I'm going to see where it's going to go..

Exactly the same picture was when Cable drop to 1.57 and 97% of the

people

was...
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #171,391
  • Dec 12, 2009 5:34pm Dec 12, 2009 5:34pm
Quote
More than 98% of the people here clearly see that EURO will drop

to 1.43-1.44 or even to $1.25, that's why it's going to run in other direction.

Too many suckers on the same boat..

Bad News from Europe, ohh please and US all that good with 10%

official unemployment, which is probably more like 15%..

Because 100% of the people are showing me the Charts with the SHORT

scenario

and even Astrological review http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/s.../yim/happy.gif, I'm going to see where it's going to go..

Exactly the same picture...

You are a very calm trader. Not showing any signs of panic.

Once the dust settles down, targetting 1.50 + once again.
  • #171,392
  • Dec 12, 2009 5:38pm Dec 12, 2009 5:38pm
Quoting tonyo524
wifey loves your office set-up, what body of water are you looking at ? sorry if being too personal !
hang on to your bread......unless you want toast
  • #171,393
  • Dec 12, 2009 5:56pm Dec 12, 2009 5:56pm
Quoting Gld
wifey loves your office set-up, what body of water are you looking at ? sorry if being too personal !
Yeah right, I wish that was mine. A friend of mine who got me started in stocks some time ago.

To those who asked, here is a link to an indicator for USdX

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=28985
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #171,394
  • Dec 12, 2009 6:01pm Dec 12, 2009 6:01pm
Quoting tonyo524
Yeah right, I wish that was mine. A friend of mine who got me started in stocks some time ago.

To those who asked, here is a link to an indicator for USdX

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=28985
thanks for the reply.......my summer office overlooks cedar point and sandusky bay (lake erie) looking for a winter place besides looking at boat in back yard with winter cover on it ! very depressing when trying to trade.....lol
hang on to your bread......unless you want toast
  • #171,395
  • Dec 12, 2009 8:00pm Dec 12, 2009 8:00pm
Quoting Gld
thanks for the reply.......my summer office overlooks cedar point and sandusky bay (lake erie) looking for a winter place besides looking at boat in back yard with winter cover on it ! very depressing when trying to trade.....lol
Now that's a view there. imagine looking out of the window at the millenium force on it's first drop, then looking back at the charts and seeing the eu doing the same thing LOL.
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #171,396
  • Dec 12, 2009 8:30pm Dec 12, 2009 8:30pm
Good advice...yeah, I never listen to the old ones on here.....more times than not, if you trade the opposite way, you'll make the $$$!!! They laughed when I mentioned US shorts back in October....and stated the rest of the world was just as bad off as the U.S. and that EUR would fall soon.....oh well....

And when you lose, they go away until the trend goes back their way, then they suddenly magically reappear and say I told you so....pfftttt!



Quoting kimd
I hope everyone that lost a lot on Friday consider posts like this. I kinda think maybe these posts influence new traders on here, who are looking for guidance. I've read a few long time members here post their long views on Friday, (with no charts etc) and poked fun at everyone who was short.

Remember, it's your account, if you don't see the same call as some, don't trade it!!!
Also consider, do you trade short term? (most on here do) maybe these calls were long term based on daily or monthly charts. (they didn't clarify)

My advice to you...
In Charts We Trust!
  • #171,397
  • Dec 12, 2009 8:33pm Dec 12, 2009 8:33pm
I think your daddy is a wise wise man! LOL!

Quoting Chicky
My dad is crazy. He says:

A. Screw: 1) Trend, 2) Stop Losses, 3) Old myth of "Cut your loses down and let your winners run", 4) All technicals, 5) All news, 6) All fundamentals, 7) Trade psychology, 8) PA / Chart reading, 9) Price / Market flow, 10) "Trade what you see not what you believe", and 11) ...............

B. Get screwed by: 1) Bad money management, 2) Overtrading / heavy position sizing, 3) Impatience, 5) Lack of discipline, and 6) Inconsistency

[b]Trade the way you want to with no fear of...
In Charts We Trust!
  • #171,398
  • Edited 11:24pm Dec 12, 2009 8:43pm | Edited 11:24pm
Quoting X.Oden
Good advice...yeah, I never listen to the old ones on here.....more times than not, if you trade the opposite way, you'll make the $$$!!! They laughed when I mentioned US shorts back in October....and stated the rest of the world was just as bad off as the U.S. and that EUR would fall soon.....oh well....

And when you lose, they go away until the trend goes back their way, then they suddenly magically reappear and say I told you so....pfftttt!
If your'e trading on a long term trend, sometimes it takes a while to resume. That's why you don't here from some of us long term trend traders when the currency is going against us. Me personally, the eu is against my latest long at 4830, but I have 14 other longs sitting well in the green that I will probably be closing out next week, (Depending). that 4830 long I'm hedged on that so still grabbing me some pips, will hold the hedge down till 4530, or close it at 4700. It's all good baby!http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon7.gif
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #171,399
  • Dec 12, 2009 9:26pm Dec 12, 2009 9:26pm
Quoting X.Oden
Good advice...yeah, I never listen to the old ones on here.....more times than not, if you trade the opposite way, you'll make the $$$!!! They laughed when I mentioned US shorts back in October....and stated the rest of the world was just as bad off as the U.S. and that EUR would fall soon.....oh well....

And when you lose, they go away until the trend goes back their way, then they suddenly magically reappear and say I told you so....pfftttt!
OMG, two months later and you’re still banging on?

I think you are confused because it was you laughing at all the trend traders until it reversed on you and you had to frantically hedge your arse. Then you said it was going up and it went down. You are the perfect contrarian indicator. The one who trained under a master trader and who supposedly had a 98% hit rate nearly publicly blew a $1,200 account ..... wake up and smell the coffee - you've just reminded me why I hardly bother coming to read this thread anymore - pfffttttt

Quoting X.Oden
Its quite ok....I like taking your profits and will continue to do so when you enter your trades.....

I don't care if you can't see this, just know that someone's picking your pocket.....so laugh all you want, I'll laugh all the way to the bank with your change!

And as for the above post that you wrote to me, I'm still waiting, so come and get me ....
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #171,400
  • Dec 12, 2009 9:50pm Dec 12, 2009 9:50pm
Quoting Patience
pfffttttt...


Nice to see ya a'rd P... takin' a walk on the wild side? Got your pepper spray I hope.
FUBAR...
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