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  • #163,141
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:16pm Nov 18, 2009 9:16pm
Quoting franco73
i dont really understand alot of the posts. does this mean that the nzd/usd will continue to fall or are you intending a likely stong rise?

cheers
Narrowest range of the last 4 bars, double inside bar at a volatility low we broke to the downside, what do you think?
  • #163,142
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:18pm Nov 18, 2009 9:18pm
Quoting franco73
Yeah, there seems to be a hold up at that level at the moment. This bear run is not too convincing yet........



Hi im new to trading and this thread, i trade using pivots, i am looking at the eur/usd and it has broken the pivot so im looking at placing a short, however reading your comments it has put doubt in my mind, can you elaborate as to why you are holding on the short and expecting to go long?

cheers
Hi,

Firstly, don't let me or anyone else influence your trading.....you must trade for yourself.

The reason I'm holding off entering short is that the PA, although it has broken the daily pivot, is not at all strong. It is just bouncing around without showing any strength either way. I would rather sit this out and protect my capital, than enter a trade that for me, is unconvincing.
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #163,143
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:19pm Nov 18, 2009 9:19pm
Quoting sinner-
That's not just a double IB!

It's a proper IB+NR4+Low volatility breakout! Good eyes! Could be worth a few hundred pips minimum.
scrole up its been discussed
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #163,144
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:25pm Nov 18, 2009 9:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
scrole up its been discussed
IB+NR4+Low vol setups happen on the daily chart once in a blue moon for any pair, index, commodity future, whatever. The signal reliability is extremely high, I think something over 85%. It usually signifies an extremely large market inflection point.
  • #163,145
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:28pm Nov 18, 2009 9:28pm
Quoting sinner-
IB+NR4+Low vol setups happen on the daily chart once in a blue moon for any pair, index, commodity future, whatever. The signal reliability is extremely high, I think something over 85%. It usually signifies an extremely large market inflection point.
im already in it... locked at be getting ready to lock in some more.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #163,146
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:30pm Nov 18, 2009 9:30pm
hoping for cad and usx to do this
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #163,147
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:32pm Nov 18, 2009 9:32pm
Eur只要守稳1.4807，汇价自1.4626以来的升势仍可能延续。若突破1.5047/5061阻力区间，将确认中期上扬趋势恢复，多头目标将指向1.5410。

下行方面，若跌破1.4807，将表明自1.4626以来的升势宣告结束，接下来汇价可能展开深幅调整，并指向1.4626。

  • #163,148
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:41pm Nov 18, 2009 9:41pm
Quoting msxy68
Eur只要守稳1.4807，汇价自1.4626以来的升势仍可能延续。若突破1.5047/5061阻力区间，将确认中期上扬趋势恢复，多头目标将指向1.5410。

下行方面，若跌破1.4807，将表明自1.4626以来的升势宣告结束，接下来汇价可能展开深幅调整，并指向1.4626。...
can you speak english.. if so call me popasom
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #163,149
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:42pm Nov 18, 2009 9:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
can you speak english.. if so call me popasom
-> babelfish.av.com -> Chinese-simp-English trans -> clicky

So long as Eur defends steady 1.4807, the exchange rate still possibly continued since 1.4626 upward tendencies. If breaks through 1.5047/5061 resistance sectors, will confirm that the intermediate stage rises the tendency to restore, the multi-thread goal will aim at 1.541 0. Downward aspect, if breaks 1.4807, will indicate has announced since 1.4626 upward tendencies finishes, then the exchange rate possibly launches the deep adjustment, and aims at 1.4626.
  • #163,150
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:43pm Nov 18, 2009 9:43pm
Quoting sinner-
Narrowest range of the last 4 bars, double inside bar at a volatility low we broke to the downside, what do you think?

As i mentioned earlier im only new at this, so im just trying to grasp so much information, which at times can be quite confusing, im asking questions so that i learn as i hope for this to be a long and prosporous situation. so any patience and advice would be greatly appreciated.
To answer you question i think continue short?
would that be a correct assumption?

cheers
NOTHING VENTURED, NOTHING GAINED
  • #163,151
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:44pm Nov 18, 2009 9:44pm
Quoting gatorinla
i said i would long at lower white line and short at the upper one. or short at 82 oil... i said there was easier money to be made other places and a fortune could be made or lost where we sat. anyway this is the reason i wasnt trading eu much.

82 oil was about where we were last high.. economy and oil will stagnate above 82 plus oil.. and the longer above the deeper the crash..

economy is much weaker then last time..we cant afford 80 plus oil.. and if we crash again when oil runs up.. we got a pres willing to get us off oil this time. the saudis...
This is quite interesting Gator, I haven't tought about their maximum price for oil. I have only thought about that they want a price between 60-80... I reckon they will have an average price limit though (and not a price limit), as they didn't too much when we saw 148$

I also believe that US can easely adjust this price also, market being 1/5 of the gold market...

Interesting...
  • #163,152
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:45pm Nov 18, 2009 9:45pm
Quoting realjumper
Hi,

Firstly, don't let me or anyone else influence your trading.....you must trade for yourself.

The reason I'm holding off entering short is that the PA, although it has broken the daily pivot, is not at all strong. It is just bouncing around without showing any strength either way. I would rather sit this out and protect my capital, than enter a trade that for me, is unconvincing.

realjumper, thanks for your patience and understanding, i appreciate your explanation and advice

cheers
NOTHING VENTURED, NOTHING GAINED
  • #163,153
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:45pm Nov 18, 2009 9:45pm
Quoting sinner-
IB+NR4+Low vol setups happen on the daily chart once in a blue moon for any pair, index, commodity future, whatever. The signal reliability is extremely high, I think something over 85%. It usually signifies an extremely large market inflection point.
perched on 89 sma/trendline... i got a few others that may stop it but if it gets some momentum....
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #163,154
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:46pm Nov 18, 2009 9:46pm
Quoting franco73
As i mentioned earlier im only new at this, so im just trying to grasp so much information, which at times can be quite confusing, im asking questions so that i learn as i hope for this to be a long and prosporous situation. so any patience and advice would be greatly appreciated.
To answer you question i think continue short?
would that be a correct assumption?

cheers
I may be wrong but i think Eur will test 1.4900 and 1.500 repectively in order to determine which direction she is heading.
May the pips be with me !!!
  • #163,155
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:46pm Nov 18, 2009 9:46pm
short since last 14hours frm 1.4947,sl 1.4999..almost got hit..saved by bearish engulf at the resistance..looking for 1.4887,next 1.4806
  • #163,156
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:47pm Nov 18, 2009 9:47pm
Quoting franco73
As i mentioned earlier im only new at this, so im just trying to grasp so much information, which at times can be quite confusing, im asking questions so that i learn as i hope for this to be a long and prosporous situation. so any patience and advice would be greatly appreciated.
To answer you question i think continue short?
would that be a correct assumption?

cheers
The answer my friend, is that you have to make your own analysis and take your own decision, The only thing I recommend you is that use a Stop Loss on any position you open, the rest you have to decide.
  • #163,157
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:49pm Nov 18, 2009 9:49pm
Quoting Larseg
This is quite interesting Gator, I haven't tought about their maximum price for oil. I have only thought about that they want a price between 60-80... I reckon they will have an average price limit though (and not a price limit), as they didn't too much when we saw 148$

I also believe that US can easely adjust this price also, market being 1/5 of the gold market...

Interesting...
gold aint a pimple on oils ass.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #163,158
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:52pm Nov 18, 2009 9:52pm
hi,what's the mean" popasom" , do you not kown chinese?
  • #163,159
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:54pm Nov 18, 2009 9:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
82 oil was about where we were last high.. economy and oil will stagnate above 82 plus oil.. and the longer above the deeper the crash..

economy is much weaker then last time..we cant afford 80 plus oil.. and if we crash again when oil runs up.. we got a pres willing to get us off oil this time. the saudis dont want this. they would lose their biggest customer and their protector. so they will try to keep oil below a level that will hurt them.. this number is unknown.. .
Anything over $12/barrel is pure gravy for these guys. Imagine that. I can't afford to eat SPAM, but they eat lobster and sirloin and drink Petrus and Ch. Lafitte every time I fill my tank. Nice.
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • #163,160
  • Nov 18, 2009 9:55pm Nov 18, 2009 9:55pm
Quoting Forex4pty
The answer my friend, is that you have to make your own analysis and take your own decision, The only thing I recommend you is that use a Stop Loss on any position you open, the rest you have to decide.
I agree i would take trades off my decision, however seeing its only early days for me and i respect and appreciate advice from more experience traders

cheers
NOTHING VENTURED, NOTHING GAINED
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