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  • #158,341
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:36am Nov 3, 2009 8:36am
I did manage 85 pips on this down swing...first trade of the week, I came in after the first pullback on my trigger chart which was at 4736 and closed it at 4650, getting to close to ADR for me, I will wait for another entry signal and see play it with caution...
  • #158,342
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:38am Nov 3, 2009 8:38am
Quoting SwissKinseb
yes, maybe u r right, but daily trend is clear up !!! (see my daily chart)
Perhaps I should rephrase because I wasn't clear. Today's trend is definitely down. That's what I meant.
  • #158,343
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:39am Nov 3, 2009 8:39am
Hi everyone. My first post. I trade the euro. Looking to short at a move back towards 1.4700 for reaction off of former support and a quick exit. I would not initiate a short position as market is oversold. I've lots to learn and welcome any valid criticism.
  • #158,344
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:40am Nov 3, 2009 8:40am
Quoting Atlast
The low has not yet been made. A push to 1.4600 and below is probable.
Im expecting a huge bar fight if this gets down into 4600 with lots of combinations and wild punches being thrown. Psych levels are no big secret anymore and nobodys goin in my pockets this close to the holidays
  • #158,345
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:42am Nov 3, 2009 8:42am
Quoting NightMoves
If we break 4650 it could drop alot more that round number for me is a key direction determination the pull back started at 4625, once it gets below that I think is going to drop again

I see a little conjestion here may go sidways may bounce up to 47xx we will see. Im out until some clear direction happens.
  • #158,346
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:43am Nov 3, 2009 8:43am
Quoting twamta
Perhaps I should rephrase because I wasn't clear. Today's trend is definitely down. That's what I meant.
On the daily chart the retrace is now testing the 50 SMA, which it has not done in a long time...If it starts playing around with the 100 SMA this uptrend could be showing signs running out of gas...
  • #158,347
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:46am Nov 3, 2009 8:46am
Quoting twamta
Perhaps I should rephrase because I wasn't clear. Today's trend is definitely down. That's what I meant.
i trade with 4hrs and Daily Charts, in this TF we have definitly a uptrend, i am long @ 1.4635, let's see, when you want, i can post a 4hrs chart
  • #158,348
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:52am Nov 3, 2009 8:52am
Quoting SwissKinseb
i trade with 4hrs and Daily Charts, in this TF we have definitly a uptrend, i am long @ 1.4635, let's see, when you want, i can post a 4hrs chart
On the 4 hour TF all my SMA lines have turned to the down side, I am not seeing a current uptrend, however on the daily chart it is still a good uptrend for sure...I am not sure what you are seeing on the 4 hour chart..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd 4h.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #158,349
  • Edited 8:54am Nov 3, 2009 8:52am | Edited 8:54am
we could be headed to 1.26 area Daily support was broken today @1.4750 convincingly a break of 1.4600 area then 1.4400 then down to 1.26 area
  • #158,350
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:53am Nov 3, 2009 8:53am
Quoting NightMoves
If it starts playing around with the 100 SMA this uptrend could be showing signs running out of gas...
It looked dodgy before testing any moving averages.

Quoting gatorinla
but eu at least from march is still sitting on that trendline..
On the daily it is through, and on the weekly the best it can do if it holds is to put a great, big, dirty wick through it. Anyway, I believe the better trendline started in April (market has reacted better to it), and that has been broken.
  • #158,351
  • Nov 3, 2009 8:57am Nov 3, 2009 8:57am
Quoting NightMoves
On the 4 hour TF all my SMA lines have turned to the down side, I am not seeing a current uptrend, however on the daily chart it is still a good uptrend for sure...I am not sure what you are seeing on the 4 hour chart..
my 4hrs chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_USD Spot.png Size: 20 KB
  • #158,352
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:00am Nov 3, 2009 9:00am
Quoting NightMoves
On the 4 hour TF all my SMA lines have turned to the down side, I am not seeing a current uptrend, however on the daily chart it is still a good uptrend for sure...I am not sure what you are seeing on the 4 hour chart..
I see many uptrends and downtrends on that chart. He's talking about the largest movements you can see on your chart, which is a slice of what we see on the daily.
  • #158,353
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:08am Nov 3, 2009 9:08am
Quoting SwissKinseb
i trade with 4hrs and Daily Charts, in this TF we have definitly a uptrend, i am long @ 1.4635, let's see, when you want, i can post a 4hrs chart
anyone follow me? i move SL to Break Even
  • #158,354
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:08am Nov 3, 2009 9:08am
keep on shorting the bitch again and again
  • #158,355
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:13am Nov 3, 2009 9:13am
Dow is working hard to turn positive. Despite the bad news from Europe, there is mostly good news in US. Let's see if the Euro will follow.
  • #158,356
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:14am Nov 3, 2009 9:14am
Quoting Mr J
I see many uptrends and downtrends on that chart. He's talking about the largest movements you can see on your chart, which is a slice of what we see on the daily.
Yep I see what he is looking at, I use a little different approach at looking at the trends I guess but yes over the long term it is still trending and that is reflected by the daily chart as well.
  • #158,357
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:17am Nov 3, 2009 9:17am
A break above 9750 on YM would be a nice bullish confirmation.
  • #158,358
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:18am Nov 3, 2009 9:18am
Quoting Mr J
I see many uptrends and downtrends on that chart. He's talking about the largest movements you can see on your chart, which is a slice of what we see on the daily.
Here is the daily and it also is showing pretty good strength at this point, however taking long positions right now based on this time frame could mean heavy drawdowns before it returns to the upside, I guess that is what I was getting at....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd daily.gif Size: 24 KB
  • #158,359
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:18am Nov 3, 2009 9:18am
Quoting FX-Petra
Dow is working hard to turn positive. Despite the bad news from Europe, there is mostly good news in US. Let's see if the Euro will follow.
yea, interesting situiation, isnt it. i will try to write a couple of words later on my blog. now my head is going to explode.aaaa
  • #158,360
  • Nov 3, 2009 9:27am Nov 3, 2009 9:27am
Quoting Jfk
Hi everyone. My first post. I trade the euro. Looking to short at a move back towards 1.4700 for reaction off of former support and a quick exit. I would not initiate a short position as market is oversold. I've lots to learn and welcome any valid criticism.
looking heavy right now.

.4700 is psych level and near S1.

should bounce if we move up.

m
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