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  • #144,461
  • Sep 18, 2009 12:39pm Sep 18, 2009 12:39pm
Uksnowman,

Driver55 said he expects that next week.
  • #144,462
  • Sep 18, 2009 12:42pm Sep 18, 2009 12:42pm
this was not planned on advance but i'm taking a week off , this shit is to blurry to trade , sometimes u just better stay out till dust settles no?
  • #144,463
  • Sep 18, 2009 12:44pm Sep 18, 2009 12:44pm
Quoting IMARICH1
Uksnowman,

Driver55 said he expects that next week.
yes thanks saw that but wondering what levels he was thinking about, I personally agree there will be a quick move up before decent retracement but I'm not experienced enough to know how much of a volatile move it could be
  • #144,464
  • Sep 18, 2009 12:46pm Sep 18, 2009 12:46pm
Quoting uksnowman
when you say violent spike, do you see it going much higher than 1.4800 or 1.4850? I thought perhaps 1.4800 max but good to get your thoughts.
I think to 1.5, to say the least
  • #144,465
  • Sep 18, 2009 12:53pm Sep 18, 2009 12:53pm
Soo the Dow and S&P are making new highs and eurusd is melting yet we're still calling 1.5?

Once the Dow starts sinking it will inevitably bring the euro with it.... patience is a virtue. We hit 10K on the Dow in 1999 or so in a booming economy, only panic buying will push us through again.

Valuations are already ridiculous.

MA's are flat on the lower time frames and containing price in others so a breakout in one direction is bound to happen relatively soon.
  • #144,466
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:07pm Sep 18, 2009 1:07pm
Quoting Byrd
Soo the Dow and S&P are making new highs and eurusd is melting yet we're still calling 1.5?

Once the Dow starts sinking it will inevitably bring the euro with it.... patience is a virtue. We hit 10K on the Dow in 1999 or so in a booming economy, only panic buying will push us through again.

Valuations are already ridiculous.

MA's are flat on the lower time frames and containing price in others so a breakout in one direction is bound to happen relatively soon.
Well said "only panic buying " will accelerate panic sell as a result then.
expecting price at 1.4708 before go for the break either side,above 21 & below 08 & hold .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #144,467
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:14pm Sep 18, 2009 1:14pm
Quoting Byrd
Soo the Dow and S&P are making new highs and eurusd is melting yet we're still calling 1.5?

Once the Dow starts sinking it will inevitably bring the euro with it.... patience is a virtue. We hit 10K on the Dow in 1999 or so in a booming economy, only panic buying will push us through again.

Valuations are already ridiculous.

MA's are flat on the lower time frames and containing price in others so a breakout in one direction is bound to happen relatively soon.
On the dow valuations, we agree. I sold the last of my stocks this week. The power of the press and positive thinking has taken us a long way... but cannot last forever. I mean, how long can we keep having new unemployment claims over 500k and that news trigger buying euphoria?
  • #144,468
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:21pm Sep 18, 2009 1:21pm
head and shoulder on 1 hour
  • #144,469
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:24pm Sep 18, 2009 1:24pm
Quoting FX-Petra
On the dow valuations, we agree. I sold the last of my stocks this week. The power of the press and positive thinking has taken us a long way... but cannot last forever. I mean, how long can we keep having new unemployment claims over 500k and that news trigger buying euphoria?
Unemployment data is not a leading indicator, but your question is still a valid one. I also am selling stocks as they float into positive territory after being in a coma for over a year. Who is buying? Well, the banksters have been buying/selling & making huge profits with the bailout money we gave them. Meanwhile, credit is still tight. Hey, but no worries, right? The recession is over, whoopee! Kinda rings hollow if you're unemployed & your bennies are about to run out. Welcome to the new bubble.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,470
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:24pm Sep 18, 2009 1:24pm
Quoting FX-Petra
On the dow valuations, we agree. I sold the last of my stocks this week. The power of the press and positive thinking has taken us a long way... but cannot last forever. I mean, how long can we keep having new unemployment claims over 500k and that news trigger buying euphoria?
cali 12% florida 10.7% nevada 13%..... unemployment. one of the better states arizona is now 9%.. newyork is in bad shape also.. i dont recall number.. but most of the bigger states suck..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #144,471
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:26pm Sep 18, 2009 1:26pm
Closing off the short position at 1.4714 for 11 pips. Lost my patience and I am not holding over the weekend.
  • #144,472
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:28pm Sep 18, 2009 1:28pm
Since we are on funnymentals, just stumbled across this vid Apologies if it has already been posted on here and I missed it.

Bernanke: Why are we still listening to this guy?

Inserted Video
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #144,473
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:28pm Sep 18, 2009 1:28pm
Can any one give me a ball park figure of how many forex traders there are worldwide, i need to get a rough figure for some work/analysis I am doing.
Bizarre question I know, but it would be great to get some estimates from some of you,

Many thanks,

Pipsaway
  • #144,474
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:36pm Sep 18, 2009 1:36pm
should break soon & some movements at the end of the week.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #144,475
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:39pm Sep 18, 2009 1:39pm
EUR/USD

Today’s support: - 1.4665, 1.4620 and 1.4577(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4552, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4514. Break of the latter would result in 1.4490. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4477. Continuation will give 1.4442.
Today’s resistance: - 1.4760(main). Break would give 1.4783, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4819. Break of the latter would result in 1.4840. If a strong impulse, we’d see 1.4861 Continuation will give 1.4884.
  • #144,476
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:42pm Sep 18, 2009 1:42pm
Quoting Patience
Bernanke: Why are we still listening to this guy?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HQ79P...layer_embedded

Oh, man, that's rich: "...I'm confident that the bank regulators will pay attention....."
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,477
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:44pm Sep 18, 2009 1:44pm
I don't see it....can ya post?


Quoting Alihuzaifa
head and shoulder on 1 hour
In Charts We Trust!
  • #144,478
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:49pm Sep 18, 2009 1:49pm
Once Dow gets a sniff of 10,000 it won't give up. Euro is resilient. Perhaps another 2 days. Just time your entries, when the Dow hits that level, sell Euro. That's half my plan for next week.
  • #144,479
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:50pm Sep 18, 2009 1:50pm
Now I know what feeling violated is like...

I just checked the Weekly and Monthly charts...I'm in for a rude hemerhoid awakening....




Quoting Atlast
Once Dow gets a sniff of 10,000 it won't give up. Euro is resilient. Perhaps another 2 days. Just time your entries, when the Dow hits that level, sell Euro. That's half my plan for next week.
In Charts We Trust!
  • #144,480
  • Sep 18, 2009 1:54pm Sep 18, 2009 1:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
ok..lets c what happens at 4750
same chart different day. i added some longterm fibs. they are the dotted lines. they are real fibs.. solid lines are are predictive march chart. almost everything i see says long longer term. although i do have a problem with usdx not getting below fib and oil.. Yet..i just cant get past the smell test with everthing else going on. we were stuck below 4444 for 6wks or so and now we got 300 pips higher. between that time im sure most of you made and lost thousands of pips.

anyway this chart shows what i said in the past. and i still stick by it. untill 75.83 is taken out on usdx. and oil is above 75pb plus...

by next tuesday if nothing happens oil contracts mature. so we will see. my charts said we would retrace here dow/s-n-p/eu.. we do overshoot and level becomes s/r many times. chart told me 4646.. it also told me 4750 yesterday... now it tells me we break one or the other for direction...i usaully exit a winning trade when we hit these levels..on a lossing one i let it bounce before exit....
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