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  • #143,401
  • Sep 16, 2009 6:29pm Sep 16, 2009 6:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
hey newbies out there. you hear a lot of stuff tonight take it all with a grain of salt. we may go south but its not the trend. you can lose your account here. <snip>i
Great post....thank you. A timely reminder for us novices to be careful
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #143,402
  • Sep 16, 2009 6:41pm Sep 16, 2009 6:41pm
Quoting The Fool
Let us say my vision has been blurred somewhat lately. From what I hear and read the upside for gold has lots of legroom. I am not sure how I have developed such a trend fader bias at this young age. But there must surely be some dips to fade & buy.

I have some cojones de hierro on order from Amazon.com, yeah, the jumbos. But until they come in I am just a watcher...
Ha, ha - as my three year old likes to say "Yeah, babe".

Hey, we all like to do it - fade the trend that is. It teaches good lessons As long as your account can handle it, I say fade away, it's going to turn at some stage ....

P.S. For the newer traders, don't take this as advice - I'm joking ...
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #143,403
  • Sep 16, 2009 6:49pm Sep 16, 2009 6:49pm
Quoting X.Oden
What's your take on oil and your reactions depending on how it goes..
imho oil has to be headed north of 75 pb for pair to take off north. keep in mind at some point unknown oil will strangle equitys and eu pair. and it will have to turn south.. the longer it moves (with high oil) the sharper the turn. the unknown number for oil could be 73pb or 90pb ect. number is unknown. higher oil will harm economy each dollar will take a toll on a weak economy. each dollar adds to more then 1% of cost to oil. oil cost adds to anything made..it is all shipped..rising oil has to be gradual as to not to shock system. oil took out a 14,000 dow a few years back and could easily harm a weak 9,700 dow ect.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #143,404
  • Edited 11:03pm Sep 16, 2009 6:55pm | Edited 11:03pm
Quoting sophiaphia
hello people why are you not shorting all over 1.47?!!!!!!!! -it is dying -NFP run is now over
You may have an entry soon for this thread... http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=157440
FUBAR...
  • #143,405
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:00pm Sep 16, 2009 7:00pm
i dont have a oil chart but someone could do an overlay with same tf with dow or s/p verses oil.. ... then we could see where oil crossed and what happend after. historicly, just a thought...if it looks ok maybe we could do a updated version as a indi..but i dont have an oil chart.. hint
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #143,406
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:03pm Sep 16, 2009 7:03pm
I am shorting on EU now. Quick target on 1.4695.
  • #143,407
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:05pm Sep 16, 2009 7:05pm
short NOW! Just got a signal.
  • #143,408
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:06pm Sep 16, 2009 7:06pm
Placed a short, here's why 2% rule...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #143,409
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:06pm Sep 16, 2009 7:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
hey newbies out there. you hear a lot of stuff tonight take it all with a grain of salt. we may go south but its not the trend. you can lose your account here. and even if we are going to turn around it may take a while. and if we do you have lots of time for a trend to develop. i posted some stuff about this area and you would be a fool to blindly follow it. since your gonna more then likely ignore this post at least take a position that will not hurt your account. the trend is up..until its not. i have posted reasons why it may turn here but it...

I'm shorting this pair right now, leveraged to the gills....if my account blow up I will blame Gator... !!
  • #143,410
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:09pm Sep 16, 2009 7:09pm
Quoting Platypus
I'm shorting this pair right now, leveraged to the gills....if my account blow up I will blame Gator... !!
*L* i got a little ridding here also.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #143,411
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:09pm Sep 16, 2009 7:09pm
morning koalas
  • #143,412
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:09pm Sep 16, 2009 7:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
i dont have a oil chart but someone could do an overlay with same tf with dow or s/p verses oil.. ... then we could see where oil crossed and what happend after. historicly, just a thought...if it looks ok maybe we could do a updated version as a indi..but i dont have an oil chart.. hint
Here you go Gator - just for you. Crude is candlesticks and DJI is line. DJI turned before oil and what a perfect bottom for both of them (around the time that Helicopter Ben was on TV).

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DJI-OIL.PNG Size: 71 KB
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #143,413
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:10pm Sep 16, 2009 7:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
*L* i got a little ridding here also.
.....you don't think I'm serious...right.....
  • #143,414
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:17pm Sep 16, 2009 7:17pm
I hope this thing starts going down...I want to get a new car by early next year. he he he
  • #143,415
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:17pm Sep 16, 2009 7:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
*L* i got a little ridding here also.
You joining FXCM's clients?

SSI: Retail Traders Still Trying to Fight the Trend but Stops are Stepping In
Wednesday, 16 September 2009 18:01:54 GMT
Written by John Kicklighter, Currency Strategist

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1253140365

Intraday Highlight:

EURUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at -3.04 as nearly 75% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -3.07 as 75% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 2.5% higher than yesterday and 4.6% weaker since last week. Short positions are 1.6% higher than yesterday and 7.2% stronger since last week. Open interest is 1.8% stronger than yesterday and 12.8% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more EURUSD gains.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #143,416
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:29pm Sep 16, 2009 7:29pm
Quoting Patience
Ha, ha - as my three year old likes to say "Yeah, babe".

Hey, we all like to do it - fade the trend that is. It teaches good lessons As long as your account can handle it, I say fade away, it's going to turn at some stage ....

P.S. For the newer traders, don't take this as advice - I'm joking ...

I laughed like hell and couldn't help but think of you

Inserted Video
  • #143,417
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:29pm Sep 16, 2009 7:29pm
Quoting Patience
You joining FXCM's clients?

SSI: Retail Traders Still Trying to Fight the Trend but Stops are Stepping In
Wednesday, 16 September 2009 18:01:54 GMT
Written by John Kicklighter, Currency Strategist



Intraday Highlight:

EURUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at -3.04 as nearly 75% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -3.07 as 75% of open positions were short. In detail,...

hi buddy.. u were advising me to try the demo.. but unfortunately demo dont offer this report
  • #143,418
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:29pm Sep 16, 2009 7:29pm
Vroom vroom...I can just hear it now
  • #143,419
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:30pm Sep 16, 2009 7:30pm
Quoting Patience
Here you go Gator - just for you. Crude is candlesticks and DJI is line. DJI turned before oil and what a perfect bottom for both of them (around the time that Helicopter Ben was on TV).

Attachment
the best i can tell (from chart) it was about 90/95 pb when market started to fall. then crossed around 125pb. then crashed as oil continued up. i dont think its 90/95 this time since we are not starting at 14000..were starting 40% less this time... add in eu and maybe you get a good indi and a smaller tf..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #143,420
  • Sep 16, 2009 7:35pm Sep 16, 2009 7:35pm
Quoting knuckledrag
I laughed like hell and couldn't help but think of you

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_rlHv13sH4
*L* you gotta know your limitations.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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